Simple Home Chase Filters-Based on the start of the series.
1. Home team is .500 or better at home.
2. Home team is at least 5-5 last 10 games.
3. Visitor is .500 or less on the road.
4. Home team must lose first game.
5. For 4 game sets, home team must lose first 2 games.
*2009 Added Filter-The home team must be the favorite to be a chase. If
game 1 of the chase is lost and the home team is a dog for game 2, then
the chase is abandoned and we take the one game loss.
*2010 Added Filter-No chase on game 1 if the line is above -250. Not worth the risk.
**2010 No Inter league chases.
I will also add the AFC (Additional Filtered Chases) as well to the overall record:
These AFC chases are achieved when all the filters are met with the
exception of the Home team being 5-5 in their last 10 games. If they are
coming off a road trip wherein they dropped below 5-5 L10, they are a
play.
Simple Home Chase Filters-Based on the start of the series.
1. Home team is .500 or better at home.
2. Home team is at least 5-5 last 10 games.
3. Visitor is .500 or less on the road.
4. Home team must lose first game.
5. For 4 game sets, home team must lose first 2 games.
*2009 Added Filter-The home team must be the favorite to be a chase. If
game 1 of the chase is lost and the home team is a dog for game 2, then
the chase is abandoned and we take the one game loss.
*2010 Added Filter-No chase on game 1 if the line is above -250. Not worth the risk.
**2010 No Inter league chases.
I will also add the AFC (Additional Filtered Chases) as well to the overall record:
These AFC chases are achieved when all the filters are met with the
exception of the Home team being 5-5 in their last 10 games. If they are
coming off a road trip wherein they dropped below 5-5 L10, they are a
play.
n pure quality starts, we give a starting pitcher credit for exhibiting
certain skills in each of his starts. Then by tracking his "PQS Score"
over time, we can follow his progress. A starter earns one point for
each of the following criteria:
1. The pitcher must have gone a minimum of 6 innings. This measures
stamina. If he goes less than 5 innings, he automatically gets a total
PQS score of zero, no matter what other stats he produces.
2. He must have allowed no more than an equal number of hits to the number of IP. This measures hit prevention.
3. His number of strikeouts must be no fewer than two less than his innings pitched. This measures dominance.
4. He must have struck out at least twice as many batters as he walked. This measures command.
5. He must have allowed no more than one home run. This measures his ability to keep the ball in the park.
Note the absence of earned runs. No matter how many runs a pitcher
allows, if he scores high on the PQS scale, he has hurled a good game in
terms of his base skills. The number of runs allowed — a function of
not only the pitcher's ability but that of his bullpen and defense —
will even out over time.
This formula combines the individual raw skills of dominance,
control and the ability to keep the ball on the ground, all
characteristics that are unaffected by most external team factors.
n pure quality starts, we give a starting pitcher credit for exhibiting
certain skills in each of his starts. Then by tracking his "PQS Score"
over time, we can follow his progress. A starter earns one point for
each of the following criteria:
1. The pitcher must have gone a minimum of 6 innings. This measures
stamina. If he goes less than 5 innings, he automatically gets a total
PQS score of zero, no matter what other stats he produces.
2. He must have allowed no more than an equal number of hits to the number of IP. This measures hit prevention.
3. His number of strikeouts must be no fewer than two less than his innings pitched. This measures dominance.
4. He must have struck out at least twice as many batters as he walked. This measures command.
5. He must have allowed no more than one home run. This measures his ability to keep the ball in the park.
Note the absence of earned runs. No matter how many runs a pitcher
allows, if he scores high on the PQS scale, he has hurled a good game in
terms of his base skills. The number of runs allowed — a function of
not only the pitcher's ability but that of his bullpen and defense —
will even out over time.
This formula combines the individual raw skills of dominance,
control and the ability to keep the ball on the ground, all
characteristics that are unaffected by most external team factors.
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