Royals, FG, +119 (Vargas / Vogelsong) $219 to win $260.61
BOL
Reality Check
If there is
really no good reason why the dog should lose why would anyone want to play the
favorite? At -125 the favorite pays 80 cents on the dollar of risk and at +119
the dog pays 119 cents on the dollar, so there is obviously 39 cents of line
value with the dog. You would not flip a coin with your buddy at such a
disadvantage, so why do it in a coin flip baseball game?
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Royals, FG, +119 (Vargas / Vogelsong) $219 to win $260.61
BOL
Reality Check
If there is
really no good reason why the dog should lose why would anyone want to play the
favorite? At -125 the favorite pays 80 cents on the dollar of risk and at +119
the dog pays 119 cents on the dollar, so there is obviously 39 cents of line
value with the dog. You would not flip a coin with your buddy at such a
disadvantage, so why do it in a coin flip baseball game?
Baseball playoff and World Series Saturdays and Sundays are really sweet around here. 99% of the geniuses are so busy betting football and drinking beer they stay out and let the baseball people have the forum, at least right up to game time when they know this forum is just desperate for their opinion.
BOB, agree on the false favorite angle but I only made it Royals -110
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Baseball playoff and World Series Saturdays and Sundays are really sweet around here. 99% of the geniuses are so busy betting football and drinking beer they stay out and let the baseball people have the forum, at least right up to game time when they know this forum is just desperate for their opinion.
BOB, agree on the false favorite angle but I only made it Royals -110
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