Pit opens up as a 150 fav (donbest.com)-currently around 140. Leake has a numerical rating of 38 and volq. 43 (lower the better)....the rating is a formula I use based on numbers from sagarin.com. The reason you take Cincy in this case.....is not because Leake has a lower number.....it's because history has shown when you have pitchers with these numerical ratings....and an opening line of 150....the away team....usually gets the victory. I'm on Cincy.
Pit opens up as a 150 fav (donbest.com)-currently around 140. Leake has a numerical rating of 38 and volq. 43 (lower the better)....the rating is a formula I use based on numbers from sagarin.com. The reason you take Cincy in this case.....is not because Leake has a lower number.....it's because history has shown when you have pitchers with these numerical ratings....and an opening line of 150....the away team....usually gets the victory. I'm on Cincy.
bunny - what I find is you have is 3 seasons in baseball - before the trade deadline, after the trade deadline and the playoffs. When I record and analyze the data - I separate it into those 3 worksheets. During the second season (after the trade deadline) - I find you gotta be more cautious.....but I don't find the day of the week makes a difference.......if it does then it would be reflected in the line.
I use to look up left vs right, day of the week etc......I figured the linemakers already consider those things....so by recording the numerical ratings, the opening line and the results....I can identify trends/patterns.....that's what I try to do.
bunny - what I find is you have is 3 seasons in baseball - before the trade deadline, after the trade deadline and the playoffs. When I record and analyze the data - I separate it into those 3 worksheets. During the second season (after the trade deadline) - I find you gotta be more cautious.....but I don't find the day of the week makes a difference.......if it does then it would be reflected in the line.
I use to look up left vs right, day of the week etc......I figured the linemakers already consider those things....so by recording the numerical ratings, the opening line and the results....I can identify trends/patterns.....that's what I try to do.
We got bit on that cincy game....as soon as I saw Broxton.....something was telling me we were in trouble....anyways...hopefully wash....dodgers and LAA can come thru.
We got bit on that cincy game....as soon as I saw Broxton.....something was telling me we were in trouble....anyways...hopefully wash....dodgers and LAA can come thru.
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