Yesterday, all the favorites won besides one game. Today, the dogs are going to take the majority of games. Thats the take I get from betting baseball this year. So by looking for dogs, I take into account the value of that dog. I find the two games worth taking are the Padres and Orioles. The Padres has their ace Ross going and should win. The home plate umpire clearly botched the call at the plate last night costing the Padres the game, therefore, the Padres should be getting more favorable calls in this game. Padres ML is looking good.
The Orioles may have lost Machado but they still have a great offense and they are in the hunt. While Chen is not always a reliable starter, I'm looking for Kluber to falter in this start. Kluber has been red hot as of late, he id due for a pounding. Just depends if the Orioles can keep their hot hitting going. To err on the side of caution, however, I like the RL +1.5 for the Orioles.
Yesterday, all the favorites won besides one game. Today, the dogs are going to take the majority of games. Thats the take I get from betting baseball this year. So by looking for dogs, I take into account the value of that dog. I find the two games worth taking are the Padres and Orioles. The Padres has their ace Ross going and should win. The home plate umpire clearly botched the call at the plate last night costing the Padres the game, therefore, the Padres should be getting more favorable calls in this game. Padres ML is looking good.
The Orioles may have lost Machado but they still have a great offense and they are in the hunt. While Chen is not always a reliable starter, I'm looking for Kluber to falter in this start. Kluber has been red hot as of late, he id due for a pounding. Just depends if the Orioles can keep their hot hitting going. To err on the side of caution, however, I like the RL +1.5 for the Orioles.
Whatever you guys decide to go with is obviously all up to you. However, I would seriously consider finding a nice dog and base it on value because all the favorites killed it last night. I like the Padres and Orioles, and really think I will catch at least on of them. I will take a parlay on those two teams and bet the Orioles game first. If the Orioles are winning after an hour, I will leave the Padres game alone and just ride my parlay. If the Orioles are losing (which I don't foresee with good probability) then I will unload on the Padres ML. This bet is not for the faint of heart, so bet whatever makes you comfortable. I might even end up winning both games and raking it in huge tonight.
Whatever you guys decide to go with is obviously all up to you. However, I would seriously consider finding a nice dog and base it on value because all the favorites killed it last night. I like the Padres and Orioles, and really think I will catch at least on of them. I will take a parlay on those two teams and bet the Orioles game first. If the Orioles are winning after an hour, I will leave the Padres game alone and just ride my parlay. If the Orioles are losing (which I don't foresee with good probability) then I will unload on the Padres ML. This bet is not for the faint of heart, so bet whatever makes you comfortable. I might even end up winning both games and raking it in huge tonight.
Lol Orioles might be underdogs but public still favoring them.
Where are you getting this info? If you base this on the percentage of Covers, it is not accurate. I see the line moving up on the Indians, which is the sum of all bets made at every sportsbook in the world. Covers percentage post is just based on this little community, not the entire sportsbooking industry.
Lol Orioles might be underdogs but public still favoring them.
Where are you getting this info? If you base this on the percentage of Covers, it is not accurate. I see the line moving up on the Indians, which is the sum of all bets made at every sportsbook in the world. Covers percentage post is just based on this little community, not the entire sportsbooking industry.
Hi UG. Interesting post. I am not here to bash you, but could you explain the logic in picking Baltimore? Your points are:
-Chen is not a reliable starter
-Machado is out
-Kluber "due" for a letd
No offense, but these are not good things.
In any case, good luck.
Many of my plays are not formulated by conventional logic (numbers, trends, etc.) as I feel in the grand scheme of things, betting sports is all about gut feelings and more importantly luck. With that noted, I like to look for games that defies conventional logic when others simply use "5 game winning streak or 2.13 ERA against sub .500 teams" as their basis for betting. They take that and put their blinders on because it is a comfortable and safe bet. They can be rest assured because it is the logical play and should surely win, right?
I do not follow the hoard to be slaughtered. I am not stating a 60% winning percentage either but I would like to think that betting with my gut keeps my sanity rather than losing my mind and breaking my TV on the team that has won their last 9 home games just to lose that 10th game when I bet on them.
Hi UG. Interesting post. I am not here to bash you, but could you explain the logic in picking Baltimore? Your points are:
-Chen is not a reliable starter
-Machado is out
-Kluber "due" for a letd
No offense, but these are not good things.
In any case, good luck.
Many of my plays are not formulated by conventional logic (numbers, trends, etc.) as I feel in the grand scheme of things, betting sports is all about gut feelings and more importantly luck. With that noted, I like to look for games that defies conventional logic when others simply use "5 game winning streak or 2.13 ERA against sub .500 teams" as their basis for betting. They take that and put their blinders on because it is a comfortable and safe bet. They can be rest assured because it is the logical play and should surely win, right?
I do not follow the hoard to be slaughtered. I am not stating a 60% winning percentage either but I would like to think that betting with my gut keeps my sanity rather than losing my mind and breaking my TV on the team that has won their last 9 home games just to lose that 10th game when I bet on them.
Link a post to show us your recorded ROI record this year on Covers, then you can start whistling sweet Dixie. To say that because favourites won yesterday will mean that tonight underdogs will win the majority of games is utter nonsense. Each game is an unique event and for you to imply that their is a linkage between favourites coasting, then underdogs the day after winning is at best wimsical wishful thinking to help you defend your plays.
Link a post to show us your recorded ROI record this year on Covers, then you can start whistling sweet Dixie. To say that because favourites won yesterday will mean that tonight underdogs will win the majority of games is utter nonsense. Each game is an unique event and for you to imply that their is a linkage between favourites coasting, then underdogs the day after winning is at best wimsical wishful thinking to help you defend your plays.
Link a post to show us your recorded ROI record this year on Covers, then you can start whistling sweet Dixie. To say that because favourites won yesterday will mean that tonight underdogs will win the majority of games is utter nonsense. Each game is an unique event and for you to imply that their is a linkage between favourites coasting, then underdogs the day after winning is at best wimsical wishful thinking to help you defend your plays.
I do not need to validate my record this year. I am here to give you something to think about before you make a bet. If you really want to know my record, then you can go ahead and check out my older posts to verify that that I have called many winners. Go ahead and YOU do the data tracking if that is what floats your boat.
Link a post to show us your recorded ROI record this year on Covers, then you can start whistling sweet Dixie. To say that because favourites won yesterday will mean that tonight underdogs will win the majority of games is utter nonsense. Each game is an unique event and for you to imply that their is a linkage between favourites coasting, then underdogs the day after winning is at best wimsical wishful thinking to help you defend your plays.
I do not need to validate my record this year. I am here to give you something to think about before you make a bet. If you really want to know my record, then you can go ahead and check out my older posts to verify that that I have called many winners. Go ahead and YOU do the data tracking if that is what floats your boat.
Moreover, I never claimed that my picks are logically sound nor mathematically correct. This isn't a calculus or statistics forum. If it were, then I would be throwing out probability and derivatives at you and sprinkle in some mind body problems from philisophy. This is purely shoot from the hip gut instincts and if it jives with what your gut was telling you, then lets go get em.
I have been betting sports for over 20 years now. I'm not an 18 year old kid hollering "all in on SD, rolling out the fatty" on every bet. Take it for what its worth.
Moreover, I never claimed that my picks are logically sound nor mathematically correct. This isn't a calculus or statistics forum. If it were, then I would be throwing out probability and derivatives at you and sprinkle in some mind body problems from philisophy. This is purely shoot from the hip gut instincts and if it jives with what your gut was telling you, then lets go get em.
I have been betting sports for over 20 years now. I'm not an 18 year old kid hollering "all in on SD, rolling out the fatty" on every bet. Take it for what its worth.
I do not need to validate my record this year. I am here to give you something to think about before you make a bet. If you really want to know my record, then you can go ahead and check out my older posts to verify that that I have called many winners. Go ahead and YOU do the data tracking if that is what floats your boat.
As Henry shows above, what you have written is as I wrote earlier, 'utter nonsense' and not really based on anything except for your gut instinct. Gut instinct my friend gets people chasing, choosing plays based on feeling rather than rationale and in the long run washed up with the other 99%.
I do not need to validate my record this year. I am here to give you something to think about before you make a bet. If you really want to know my record, then you can go ahead and check out my older posts to verify that that I have called many winners. Go ahead and YOU do the data tracking if that is what floats your boat.
As Henry shows above, what you have written is as I wrote earlier, 'utter nonsense' and not really based on anything except for your gut instinct. Gut instinct my friend gets people chasing, choosing plays based on feeling rather than rationale and in the long run washed up with the other 99%.
This year like the past have been rather profitable, I do not "chase" but rather pick two games in which I feel have the best shot at winning. Tail or fade me, let me know how you do tonight. Do it again tomorrow and please tell me.
This year like the past have been rather profitable, I do not "chase" but rather pick two games in which I feel have the best shot at winning. Tail or fade me, let me know how you do tonight. Do it again tomorrow and please tell me.
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