MLB THIS YEAR: 38-30-2 (parlay 0-3) (54.4%)
MLB LAST YEAR: 27-12-1 (67.5%)
I had Trigg ask me the following in yesterday's post:
"What's your overall profit/loss on the season? And what are the average odds of all your picks? Percentages and records don't mean very much in baseball without showing the total amount won/lost."
I went through all the picks earlier in the day that I had made. For each bet I make, the value is the same.
A $100/pick bettor off of my picks would have the following results:
Wins = +$3,900
Losses = $-3,170
Parlays = -$150 ($50/ea)
TOTAL = +$580
All the picks I made this year were in the -125 to +130 range. Nothing more, nothing less
So hope that clarifies things Trigg
For Tonight, going with 2 road teams:
Blue Jays ML (-110)
Stroman vs. De La Rosa
Stroman pitched against Boston in his last start and baffled the Sox, going 7 innings and giving up just 1 hit. Now he faces them once again, but in Beantown. His away numbers aren't as pretty as those home numbers, but his July numbers are lights out. In July, 24.2 IP, 1.82ERA, 0.89WHIP, people are hitting just .184 off him. Kids dirty. LH hitters are hitting him for .210 this year, so it makes me feel a little better knowing theres a good chance Big Papi's bat might held in check.
On the flip side, we have De La Rosa who has great home numbers on the year, compared to horrific away numbers. However, in July, he has been yucky, posting a 5.63ERA, a 1.63WHIP and people are hitting .313 off him. And to top it off, his last start was also against the Jays and they knocked him around for 7 runs in his 4 IP that day. The Jays will look to keep their bats red hot against him again today.
Post All-Star Break: Jays rank #1 in BA, batting .312. Last 3 games, Jays have accumulated 35 hits, so they are on fire. Let's stick with the hot hitters and the better pitcher tonight at even money.
Diamondbacks ML (+100)
Cahill vs. Leake
Mr. Leake has been on the downtrend over the last couple months and things are getting ugly. His May-June-July WHIP is as follows: 1.10, 1.34, and July's is 1.71. Batters in July have tagged Leake, as he is offering up a 4.83ERA, 1.71 WHIP, and an opponent batting average of .353 over 31.2 innings. AWFUL! He's lost his last 3 starts and has yielded 30 hits in those starts. To make things worse, the Post All-Star break Reds have gone missing on the offensive side of the game. They rank dead last batting .171 since the break.
Cahill is no gem by any means as his numbers aren't the best looking either. I do, however, like the DBacks offense ALOT more than the Reds at this point. DBacks post all star break have batted .278, good for 6th in the league over that stretch.
The game is screaming at me to take the over, and it may very well go over, but I can't trust the Reds offense to carry their weight right now. It might be a trap number so I'm staying away.
GL TO ALL, those are the 2 early picks tonight. May have more later.
Now allow me to rest my fingers, that was a lot of typing