not sure what you mean by "cashed out"… did yiou take the Braves after 7?
if you cashed out of a 4-0 game after 7 innings then you should probably stay away from gambling. the probability of losing a game when you're up 4 runs after 7 innings is absurdly low.
not sure what you mean by "cashed out"… did yiou take the Braves after 7?
if you cashed out of a 4-0 game after 7 innings then you should probably stay away from gambling. the probability of losing a game when you're up 4 runs after 7 innings is absurdly low.
not sure what you mean by "cashed out"… did yiou take the Braves after 7?
if you cashed out of a 4-0 game after 7 innings then you should probably stay away from gambling. the probability of losing a game when you're up 4 runs after 7 innings is absurdly low.
By cash out I mean hedge so if the braves win I don't lose. The odds are absurdly low, yet look what happened.
not sure what you mean by "cashed out"… did yiou take the Braves after 7?
if you cashed out of a 4-0 game after 7 innings then you should probably stay away from gambling. the probability of losing a game when you're up 4 runs after 7 innings is absurdly low.
By cash out I mean hedge so if the braves win I don't lose. The odds are absurdly low, yet look what happened.
By cash out I mean hedge so if the braves win I don't lose. The odds are absurdly low, yet look what happened.
think about your statement for a moment.
one, the odds are unequivocally low. do you know how uncommon it is for a team to come back from a 2 run deficit - let alone 4 runs - after 7 innings? how many times have the Angels blown a 4 run lead with 2 innings left to play?
two, an event doesnt imply long-run odds… for example, a coin flip is 50/50. If we repeat the experiment 1,000 times the number of times heads comes up will be quite close to 500. you can't flip once or twice - and have heads come up - and think that the odds of heads is greater than 50%.
three - and most important - why did you bet on the Angels if you were going to hedge with a 4 run lead? did you need more than a 4 run lead to keep your wager that late in the game? seems quite ridiculous and - to be frank - sounds like you're full of it.
By cash out I mean hedge so if the braves win I don't lose. The odds are absurdly low, yet look what happened.
think about your statement for a moment.
one, the odds are unequivocally low. do you know how uncommon it is for a team to come back from a 2 run deficit - let alone 4 runs - after 7 innings? how many times have the Angels blown a 4 run lead with 2 innings left to play?
two, an event doesnt imply long-run odds… for example, a coin flip is 50/50. If we repeat the experiment 1,000 times the number of times heads comes up will be quite close to 500. you can't flip once or twice - and have heads come up - and think that the odds of heads is greater than 50%.
three - and most important - why did you bet on the Angels if you were going to hedge with a 4 run lead? did you need more than a 4 run lead to keep your wager that late in the game? seems quite ridiculous and - to be frank - sounds like you're full of it.
Do none of you idiots understand the concept of hedging?
I 100% understand hedging. I am a trader. It's what I do for a living.
Hedging high probability events isn't wise betting.
I will ask again. What lead did you need going into the 8th to not hedge? Why did you take the Angels full game if you had such little doubt in the bullpen's ability to hold a 4 run lead with 2 innings left?
If you had that much doubt, then you would have expressed that view in your side bet by betting first 5.
Hedging with a 4 run lead is just silly. Monetizing with a marginal lead (e.g., 1-2 runs) bc you are afraid of the bullpen is believable.
The Braves have one of the worst offenses in the National League. This was not to be expected and is quite flukish.
Regardless, best of luck to you. I would reconsider your strategy though.
Do none of you idiots understand the concept of hedging?
I 100% understand hedging. I am a trader. It's what I do for a living.
Hedging high probability events isn't wise betting.
I will ask again. What lead did you need going into the 8th to not hedge? Why did you take the Angels full game if you had such little doubt in the bullpen's ability to hold a 4 run lead with 2 innings left?
If you had that much doubt, then you would have expressed that view in your side bet by betting first 5.
Hedging with a 4 run lead is just silly. Monetizing with a marginal lead (e.g., 1-2 runs) bc you are afraid of the bullpen is believable.
The Braves have one of the worst offenses in the National League. This was not to be expected and is quite flukish.
Regardless, best of luck to you. I would reconsider your strategy though.
also, calling people idiots is quite ironic when you're the one making questionable decisions… regardless of it whether it works out for you on this one particular instance.
also, calling people idiots is quite ironic when you're the one making questionable decisions… regardless of it whether it works out for you on this one particular instance.
Yes I agree it is quite flukish and the braves do have a bad offense, yet it did happen, the braves have power in their lineup, and the braves have 15 hits. I did this because I got such great +money on the braves, and now I have zero risk on this game and if the angels win I make money.
Yes I agree it is quite flukish and the braves do have a bad offense, yet it did happen, the braves have power in their lineup, and the braves have 15 hits. I did this because I got such great +money on the braves, and now I have zero risk on this game and if the angels win I make money.
Elias said that there was only one other game in history in which the visiting blew at least a 4 run lead in the ninth,blew another lead in extra innings,then went on to win.
Elias said that there was only one other game in history in which the visiting blew at least a 4 run lead in the ninth,blew another lead in extra innings,then went on to win.
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