5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Today’s comment: That was a disappointing regular season but it is what it is and better than most folks do whether they admit it or not. I expect better of myself next year. If you remember correctly my old computer crashed last winter and much of the data was unrecoverable, but I think everything is OK now and next season I should begin with stronger numbers and they should adjust more accurately. Whatever happens, folks, there is still a reason they call it gambling. Thanks again to the many of you that expressed appreciation for what I attempt to contribute. The bashers, miscreants, trend lovers and other assorted sundry characters can get annoying, but if I (we) ignore them they tend to go away. The ones that consistently hang on forever (and I wouldn’t want to name anyone, but RLeith is a good example) are just too blind, ignorant (and/or possibly stupid) to see they are not welcome and are not going to get the attention they crave. BOL to all in the playoffs.
Rays F5 -118 FG -113 (Cobb / Salazar)
What catches up with the Indians now is their pathetically weak schedule down the stretch that allowed them to coast into the WC game while others were fighting their behinds off to get there. The Indians went 9-6 down the stretch versus righty starters but only 8 times in 15 did they win or push the first 5 innings with an oera of 3.7. They beat a few starters of respectable caliber but closing out versus Ventura, Clemens, Axelrod, and DeVries is less than difficult and a far cry from the playoff caliber Cobb. The Rays counter with a 4.9 oera versus a better schedule. Salazar has been Heaven sent for the Indians, outperforming 5 of his last 7 opposing pitchers down the stretch, but again, some of the opponents and offenses are the caliber of Cobb and the Rays. I make the Rays a -118 favorite mathematically with a 53.8% chance of victory with HFA included and my score projection is right on the current total of 7 with a 4-3 Rays victory.
BOL
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Today’s comment: That was a disappointing regular season but it is what it is and better than most folks do whether they admit it or not. I expect better of myself next year. If you remember correctly my old computer crashed last winter and much of the data was unrecoverable, but I think everything is OK now and next season I should begin with stronger numbers and they should adjust more accurately. Whatever happens, folks, there is still a reason they call it gambling. Thanks again to the many of you that expressed appreciation for what I attempt to contribute. The bashers, miscreants, trend lovers and other assorted sundry characters can get annoying, but if I (we) ignore them they tend to go away. The ones that consistently hang on forever (and I wouldn’t want to name anyone, but RLeith is a good example) are just too blind, ignorant (and/or possibly stupid) to see they are not welcome and are not going to get the attention they crave. BOL to all in the playoffs.
Rays F5 -118 FG -113 (Cobb / Salazar)
What catches up with the Indians now is their pathetically weak schedule down the stretch that allowed them to coast into the WC game while others were fighting their behinds off to get there. The Indians went 9-6 down the stretch versus righty starters but only 8 times in 15 did they win or push the first 5 innings with an oera of 3.7. They beat a few starters of respectable caliber but closing out versus Ventura, Clemens, Axelrod, and DeVries is less than difficult and a far cry from the playoff caliber Cobb. The Rays counter with a 4.9 oera versus a better schedule. Salazar has been Heaven sent for the Indians, outperforming 5 of his last 7 opposing pitchers down the stretch, but again, some of the opponents and offenses are the caliber of Cobb and the Rays. I make the Rays a -118 favorite mathematically with a 53.8% chance of victory with HFA included and my score projection is right on the current total of 7 with a 4-3 Rays victory.
BOL tonight bud and for all your playoff plays. I like the Rays tonight as well, but think we see bats hit tonight and Over in my opinion is set at great value @ 7. All your really need is 1 or 2 big innings and well on your way.
BOL tonight bud and for all your playoff plays. I like the Rays tonight as well, but think we see bats hit tonight and Over in my opinion is set at great value @ 7. All your really need is 1 or 2 big innings and well on your way.
Key Thanks for the consistently high caliber contributions this season...win or lose. I was unaware of your computer crash of last year. UGH. That's just plain (belated) ugly.
BOL throughout the playoffs. I agree on TB. Tonight it's battle tested vs. fools gold IMO.
Key Thanks for the consistently high caliber contributions this season...win or lose. I was unaware of your computer crash of last year. UGH. That's just plain (belated) ugly.
BOL throughout the playoffs. I agree on TB. Tonight it's battle tested vs. fools gold IMO.
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Today’s comment: That was a disappointing regular season but it is what it is and better than most folks do whether they admit it or not. I expect better of myself next year. If you remember correctly my old computer crashed last winter and much of the data was unrecoverable, but I think everything is OK now and next season I should begin with stronger numbers and they should adjust more accurately. Whatever happens, folks, there is still a reason they call it gambling. Thanks again to the many of you that expressed appreciation for what I attempt to contribute. The bashers, miscreants, trend lovers and other assorted sundry characters can get annoying, but if I (we) ignore them they tend to go away. The ones that consistently hang on forever (and I wouldn’t want to name anyone, but RLeith is a good example) are just too blind, ignorant (and/or possibly stupid) to see they are not welcome and are not going to get the attention they crave. BOL to all in the playoffs.
Rays F5 -118 FG -113 (Cobb / Salazar)
What catches up with the Indians now is their pathetically weak schedule down the stretch that allowed them to coast into the WC game while others were fighting their behinds off to get there. The Indians went 9-6 down the stretch versus righty starters but only 8 times in 15 did they win or push the first 5 innings with an oera of 3.7. They beat a few starters of respectable caliber but closing out versus Ventura, Clemens, Axelrod, and DeVries is less than difficult and a far cry from the playoff caliber Cobb. The Rays counter with a 4.9 oera versus a better schedule. Salazar has been Heaven sent for the Indians, outperforming 5 of his last 7 opposing pitchers down the stretch, but again, some of the opponents and offenses are the caliber of Cobb and the Rays. I make the Rays a -118 favorite mathematically with a 53.8% chance of victory with HFA included and my score projection is right on the current total of 7 with a 4-3 Rays victory.
BOL
Key you seem to suggest that the line is right on the money so why are you playing this? My understanding is that you play lines that are clearly value but this does not appear to fit that model?
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Today’s comment: That was a disappointing regular season but it is what it is and better than most folks do whether they admit it or not. I expect better of myself next year. If you remember correctly my old computer crashed last winter and much of the data was unrecoverable, but I think everything is OK now and next season I should begin with stronger numbers and they should adjust more accurately. Whatever happens, folks, there is still a reason they call it gambling. Thanks again to the many of you that expressed appreciation for what I attempt to contribute. The bashers, miscreants, trend lovers and other assorted sundry characters can get annoying, but if I (we) ignore them they tend to go away. The ones that consistently hang on forever (and I wouldn’t want to name anyone, but RLeith is a good example) are just too blind, ignorant (and/or possibly stupid) to see they are not welcome and are not going to get the attention they crave. BOL to all in the playoffs.
Rays F5 -118 FG -113 (Cobb / Salazar)
What catches up with the Indians now is their pathetically weak schedule down the stretch that allowed them to coast into the WC game while others were fighting their behinds off to get there. The Indians went 9-6 down the stretch versus righty starters but only 8 times in 15 did they win or push the first 5 innings with an oera of 3.7. They beat a few starters of respectable caliber but closing out versus Ventura, Clemens, Axelrod, and DeVries is less than difficult and a far cry from the playoff caliber Cobb. The Rays counter with a 4.9 oera versus a better schedule. Salazar has been Heaven sent for the Indians, outperforming 5 of his last 7 opposing pitchers down the stretch, but again, some of the opponents and offenses are the caliber of Cobb and the Rays. I make the Rays a -118 favorite mathematically with a 53.8% chance of victory with HFA included and my score projection is right on the current total of 7 with a 4-3 Rays victory.
BOL
Key you seem to suggest that the line is right on the money so why are you playing this? My understanding is that you play lines that are clearly value but this does not appear to fit that model?
Key you seem to suggest that the line is right on the money so why are you playing this? My understanding is that you play lines that are clearly value but this does not appear to fit that model?
BOL...
Almost always true Jules but there are times judgment, instinct, experience tell me there is just something "right" about a play. One thing I don't think my math handicap allows enough for is the difference in strength of schedule, because that is hard to quantify.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
Key you seem to suggest that the line is right on the money so why are you playing this? My understanding is that you play lines that are clearly value but this does not appear to fit that model?
BOL...
Almost always true Jules but there are times judgment, instinct, experience tell me there is just something "right" about a play. One thing I don't think my math handicap allows enough for is the difference in strength of schedule, because that is hard to quantify.
I agree with jb. Expect a pnc park type atmosphere tonight. It rattles lots of young pitchers. Combined with all the left handed and switch hitters on Cleveland. I take Cleveland 5-2
I agree with jb. Expect a pnc park type atmosphere tonight. It rattles lots of young pitchers. Combined with all the left handed and switch hitters on Cleveland. I take Cleveland 5-2
Cleveland has like a 44% winning record as homedog.
Rays to bank! Best of Luck to all.
somebody who doesn't know anything about takeback on an underdog. I like the Rays tonight but this statement is just asinine. What percentage of the time were they +140 or greater? 130 or greater? This is what make your stat anything worth a damn.
Cleveland has like a 44% winning record as homedog.
Rays to bank! Best of Luck to all.
somebody who doesn't know anything about takeback on an underdog. I like the Rays tonight but this statement is just asinine. What percentage of the time were they +140 or greater? 130 or greater? This is what make your stat anything worth a damn.
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