In 8 starts vs the Rangers, Price has an ERA of 5.98, which is the 2nd worst of his entire career vs any team. David Prices ERA at the ballpark in Arlington? 10.86. That is his worst ERA in any ball park in the league.
To make matters worse, the Texas Rangers are the best batting team in all of baseball vs left handers with a .282 average, .353 OBP, and .447 SLG (1st in all 3 of those categories in the league).
Texas has a lot of good fastball hitters (esp now that Cruz is back) and that is Prices main pitch. The Rangers have all the momentum in this game while the Rays struggled to barely get 1 game out of that Jays squad. Also, Texas will be staying at home enjoying a good nights sleep, while the Rays have to travel from Toronto to Texas.
With regards to Perez, he may be young but has good all around stats and has pitched well when it has mattered for the Rangers this season.
Taking all of that into consideration, how could the Rays be -142 in this spot, which is what my book has right now...
In 8 starts vs the Rangers, Price has an ERA of 5.98, which is the 2nd worst of his entire career vs any team. David Prices ERA at the ballpark in Arlington? 10.86. That is his worst ERA in any ball park in the league.
To make matters worse, the Texas Rangers are the best batting team in all of baseball vs left handers with a .282 average, .353 OBP, and .447 SLG (1st in all 3 of those categories in the league).
Texas has a lot of good fastball hitters (esp now that Cruz is back) and that is Prices main pitch. The Rangers have all the momentum in this game while the Rays struggled to barely get 1 game out of that Jays squad. Also, Texas will be staying at home enjoying a good nights sleep, while the Rays have to travel from Toronto to Texas.
With regards to Perez, he may be young but has good all around stats and has pitched well when it has mattered for the Rangers this season.
Taking all of that into consideration, how could the Rays be -142 in this spot, which is what my book has right now...
I was really expecting a PK or one team barely being a favorite and I am generally not off by this much on any game when I try to guess the line, which has me thinking.
I was really expecting a PK or one team barely being a favorite and I am generally not off by this much on any game when I try to guess the line, which has me thinking.
if it dont make sense then take the opposite team. I'm gonna wait and see how both pitchers are dealing and hope to get texas at +130ish. Nelson will be the X factor.
if it dont make sense then take the opposite team. I'm gonna wait and see how both pitchers are dealing and hope to get texas at +130ish. Nelson will be the X factor.
All numbers indicate Texas should be at worst pick-em... the only thing I see is that Tampa Bay hitters hit well vs the rangers in particular Longoria and Myers and hit better on the road than at home.....
All numbers indicate Texas should be at worst pick-em... the only thing I see is that Tampa Bay hitters hit well vs the rangers in particular Longoria and Myers and hit better on the road than at home.....
if Rays line is from -134 to -139 or more, Rays will take this game, possibly OVER, and if Rays line is from -119 to -123 AT MOST, Rangers will come back tomorrow. this one is from my MLB system. maybe OVER is the answer.
if Rays line is from -134 to -139 or more, Rays will take this game, possibly OVER, and if Rays line is from -119 to -123 AT MOST, Rangers will come back tomorrow. this one is from my MLB system. maybe OVER is the answer.
The line is set like this because Price won the Cy Young last year. It's the same stuff with Verlander. He's not pitching great either but always has crazy lines. Just take Texas. Tampa has no bats. Maddon has to reshuffle their lineup every day because he doesn't know what to do. Texas looks to have a massive edge in the pen. This has walkoff win written all over it. There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game. Texas should definitely be the favorite.
The line is set like this because Price won the Cy Young last year. It's the same stuff with Verlander. He's not pitching great either but always has crazy lines. Just take Texas. Tampa has no bats. Maddon has to reshuffle their lineup every day because he doesn't know what to do. Texas looks to have a massive edge in the pen. This has walkoff win written all over it. There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game. Texas should definitely be the favorite.
The line is set like this because Price won the Cy Young last year. It's the same stuff with Verlander. He's not pitching great either but always has crazy lines. Just take Texas. Tampa has no bats. Maddon has to reshuffle their lineup every day because he doesn't know what to do. Texas looks to have a massive edge in the pen. This has walkoff win written all over it. There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game. Texas should definitely be the favorite.
Agree with your pts, I m still going with Texas here, just a smaller bet than I was planning for before the line came out.
The line is set like this because Price won the Cy Young last year. It's the same stuff with Verlander. He's not pitching great either but always has crazy lines. Just take Texas. Tampa has no bats. Maddon has to reshuffle their lineup every day because he doesn't know what to do. Texas looks to have a massive edge in the pen. This has walkoff win written all over it. There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game. Texas should definitely be the favorite.
Agree with your pts, I m still going with Texas here, just a smaller bet than I was planning for before the line came out.
if Rays line is from -134 to -139 or more, Rays will take this game, possibly OVER, and if Rays line is from -119 to -123 AT MOST, Rangers will come back tomorrow. this one is from my MLB system. maybe OVER is the answer.
if Rays line is from -134 to -139 or more, Rays will take this game, possibly OVER, and if Rays line is from -119 to -123 AT MOST, Rangers will come back tomorrow. this one is from my MLB system. maybe OVER is the answer.
These two usually win on the road in playoff match ups. That may factor in the line. They played in 2010 and 2011 in ALDS. Texas has lost a lot of pop since then. Price has pitched better lately as well
These two usually win on the road in playoff match ups. That may factor in the line. They played in 2010 and 2011 in ALDS. Texas has lost a lot of pop since then. Price has pitched better lately as well
line seems more then correct to me. I mean your talking about a pitcher that is considered top 10 versus a guy that has 1.5 years of mlb experience. The Rangers have lost 3 of his last 4 starts. Line seems way more then fair.
line seems more then correct to me. I mean your talking about a pitcher that is considered top 10 versus a guy that has 1.5 years of mlb experience. The Rangers have lost 3 of his last 4 starts. Line seems way more then fair.
first off david price struggles in Arlington prob worse than the angels with like a 10.5 ERA.....not to mention it will not be easy to have HOME FIELD AND BE A DOG IN THE PLAYOFFS! cruz is back and texas winners of 7 staight are gonna play to keep their season alive...the line is like that for people to see that david price justifies that price....which he does not! Rangers by two!
first off david price struggles in Arlington prob worse than the angels with like a 10.5 ERA.....not to mention it will not be easy to have HOME FIELD AND BE A DOG IN THE PLAYOFFS! cruz is back and texas winners of 7 staight are gonna play to keep their season alive...the line is like that for people to see that david price justifies that price....which he does not! Rangers by two!
In 8 starts vs the Rangers, Price has an ERA of 5.98, which is the 2nd worst of his entire career vs any team. David Prices ERA at the ballpark in Arlington? 10.86. That is his worst ERA in any ball park in the league.
To make matters worse, the Texas Rangers are the best batting team in all of baseball vs left handers with a .282 average, .353 OBP, and .447 SLG (1st in all 3 of those categories in the league).
Texas has a lot of good fastball hitters (esp now that Cruz is back) and that is Prices main pitch. The Rangers have all the momentum in this game while the Rays struggled to barely get 1 game out of that Jays squad. Also, Texas will be staying at home enjoying a good nights sleep, while the Rays have to travel from Toronto to Texas.
With regards to Perez, he may be young but has good all around stats and has pitched well when it has mattered for the Rangers this season.
Taking all of that into consideration, how could the Rays be -142 in this spot, which is what my book has right now...
I questioned this line also.so what I did was took texas+1.5(-160)@heritage.GL
In 8 starts vs the Rangers, Price has an ERA of 5.98, which is the 2nd worst of his entire career vs any team. David Prices ERA at the ballpark in Arlington? 10.86. That is his worst ERA in any ball park in the league.
To make matters worse, the Texas Rangers are the best batting team in all of baseball vs left handers with a .282 average, .353 OBP, and .447 SLG (1st in all 3 of those categories in the league).
Texas has a lot of good fastball hitters (esp now that Cruz is back) and that is Prices main pitch. The Rangers have all the momentum in this game while the Rays struggled to barely get 1 game out of that Jays squad. Also, Texas will be staying at home enjoying a good nights sleep, while the Rays have to travel from Toronto to Texas.
With regards to Perez, he may be young but has good all around stats and has pitched well when it has mattered for the Rangers this season.
Taking all of that into consideration, how could the Rays be -142 in this spot, which is what my book has right now...
I questioned this line also.so what I did was took texas+1.5(-160)@heritage.GL
The line is set like this because Price won the Cy Young last year. It's the same stuff with Verlander. He's not pitching great either but always has crazy lines. Just take Texas. Tampa has no bats. Maddon has to reshuffle their lineup every day because he doesn't know what to do. Texas looks to have a massive edge in the pen. This has walkoff win written all over it. There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game. Texas should definitely be the favorite.
There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game
We had 2 one game playoffs last season....
Cardinals went into Atlanta and won 6-3. Orioles went into Texas and won 5-1.
The line is set like this because Price won the Cy Young last year. It's the same stuff with Verlander. He's not pitching great either but always has crazy lines. Just take Texas. Tampa has no bats. Maddon has to reshuffle their lineup every day because he doesn't know what to do. Texas looks to have a massive edge in the pen. This has walkoff win written all over it. There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game. Texas should definitely be the favorite.
There is no way I would touch a road team in an elimination game
We had 2 one game playoffs last season....
Cardinals went into Atlanta and won 6-3. Orioles went into Texas and won 5-1.
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