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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Tuesday MLB ...... One Total - One Side
KingScorpio
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#1
Posted: 7/9/2013 12:47:49 AM

YTD 149-147-4 -6.44 Units (Always one unit at a time)

I was told by rickster2312 that i should post just one or two plays a day.He believes since everyone is just a 50% capper in sports betting anyway,why drown the public with a list of guesses like the rest of the clowns do.The more bets you make,the more 50% becomes an acceptable lifestyle.He says the only way to rationalize the insanity of posting is to just post your best play and hope your on the right side.So,let's swallow my pride and give it a shot.

 

TOR ml +100

I'm going with my mind and gut here.K.C./OAK/NYM/MIL were the other's i had considered.

BOS/SEA un 7 +105

I just had the over 7 +105 last night with Lester and King Felix,now the linesmaker comes back with the same total of 7 when it should be 8.5 -120 to the under.I'm sure the line will go to 7.5 after it went over tonight.

 

 

GL

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KingScorpio
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#2
Posted: 7/9/2013 12:55:20 AM

YTD should say 157-158-4 -6.44 Units

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#3
Posted: 7/9/2013 1:05:35 AM
Im gonna add the Jays as well. Its a winner
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JEADEE12
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#4
Posted: 7/9/2013 6:40:39 AM
Why do you guys like jays ? Im jw .
When i looked at the game I really liked Indians With Jimenez on the bump
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KingScorpio
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#5
Posted: 7/9/2013 12:23:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JEADEE12:

Why do you guys like jays ? Im jw .
When i looked at the game I really liked Indians With Jimenez on the bump

Most will like the Indians because Jimenez has a winning record and he's pitching at home.The PK'em opening line tells me that TOR comes in and wins today.

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#6
Posted: 7/9/2013 12:24:11 PM
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#7
Posted: 7/9/2013 12:48:13 PM
Like them both very much. Like the new posting style as well. 
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#8
Posted: 7/9/2013 12:59:25 PM
BOL
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sicknesscity
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#9
Posted: 7/9/2013 1:27:10 PM
So you were pretty sure the total would move up to 7.5 but you bet the under at 7 for less value?  Why would you do that if you anticipated the line swinging in your favor?
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#10
Posted: 7/9/2013 1:31:11 PM

Toronto def. a beast of the east and could carry the day with a HR or two.

I know that trap lines exist, but that is the expert capping of the linesmakers. They are not 100% succesful on every trap they set. They work hard to make as many as they can to increase their probabilities, but not every game is a trap.

Ubaldo is simply hard to hit. Josh needs to pitch out there on the road vs a team that saw the best pitchers in the AL. They nearly beat a 13-0 pitcher. For me, it's Cle or pass, not worthy of investing in Toronto. BOL.

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#11
Posted: 7/9/2013 1:39:53 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sicknesscity:

So you were pretty sure the total would move up to 7.5 but you bet the under at 7 for less value?  Why would you do that if you anticipated the line swinging in your favor?

Getting +money on the under 7 which i think will be the winner.

I don't need 7.5 when the linesmaker told me 7 is enough.

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#12
Posted: 7/9/2013 1:44:59 PM
Boston/Seattle Under 7.5 is Money in the bank!  Gonna need two trucks!
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#13
Posted: 7/9/2013 1:46:33 PM
Well, what would you get right now if you wagered on under 7.5?  If it's pretty similar to +105, I'd rather have any edge I can get but I suppose it's a matter of philosophy when approaching this sport.
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KingScorpio
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#14
Posted: 7/9/2013 1:51:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

Toronto def. a beast of the east and could carry the day with a HR or two.

I know that trap lines exist, but that is the expert capping of the linesmakers. They are not 100% succesful on every trap they set. They work hard to make as many as they can to increase their probabilities, but not every game is a trap.

Ubaldo is simply hard to hit. Josh needs to pitch out there on the road vs a team that saw the best pitchers in the AL. They nearly beat a 13-0 pitcher. For me, it's Cle or pass, not worthy of investing in Toronto. BOL.

CLV 46-43 overall record

CLV 25-18 home record

Jimenez 6-4 record with 6 ip 1.50 era this year against TOR

TOR 43-45 overall record

TOR 18-24 on the road

Johnson 1-3 record

Complete mismatch here at PK'em

Why would anybody bet any other games when betting CLV is the easiest winner to take on the board today.

Home team with winning pitcher just have to win for you to cash your ticket.

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KingScorpio
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#15
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:00:30 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by sicknesscity:

Well, what would you get right now if you wagered on under 7.5?  If it's pretty similar to +105, I'd rather have any edge I can get but I suppose it's a matter of philosophy when approaching this sport.

I've learned over the years that the extra +.5 means little to nothing in totals betting when the game is done being played.You're usually paying more for the security of that +.5 when it was really never needed.Under 7 or 7.5 is still going to be a winner,i just happen to get a little +money on the under 7 without the security of the +.5

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KingScorpio
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#16
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:01:33 PM
sick, they're offering -115 on the under 7.5 right now
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#17
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:06:01 PM

think I'm on the A's again looks like they might sweep also wanted to play boston but today does not look like the day and they might get swept will call ya later with the final play...........

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#18
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:08:22 PM
Hmm... the 20 cents difference does make under 7 more worthwhile to play.  I recant my original statement.
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#19
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:08:40 PM
zig zag action..............................
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KingScorpio
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#20
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:15:04 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by rickster2312:

think I'm on the A's again looks like they might sweep also wanted to play boston but today does not look like the day and they might get swept will call ya later with the final play...........

I'm seeing SEA sweeping BOS

I have to work at the convention center tonight for Freeman 

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#21
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:22:25 PM
Seattle Is Playing Their Best Ball Right Now.
Sea ML
Posted using a mobile device.
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KingScorpio
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#22
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:39:29 PM

What do the numbers tell us today

Runs scored in July/Games played in July

TEX 37/7 vs. BAL 21/7

WSH 45/8 vs. PHI 33/7

TOR 32/7 vs. CLV 33/7

ATL 44/7 vs. MIA 35/8

K.C. 37/7 vs. NYY 39/8

CIN 33/7 vs. MIL 35/8

CWS 16/7 vs. DET 53/8

LAD 45/7 vs. ARZ 38/8

MIN 29/8 vs. T.B. 49/8

COL 23/7 vs. S.D. 22/7

BOS 31/7 vs. SEA 39/7

NYM 45/8 vs. S.F. 13/7

OAK 31/7 vs. PIT 22/7

LAA 27/6 vs. CHC 28/7

HOU 27/7 vs. STL 30/6

 

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KingScorpio
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#23
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:44:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

What do the numbers tell us today

Runs scored in July/Games played in July

TEX 37/7 vs. BAL 21/7

WSH 45/8 vs. PHI 33/7

TOR 32/7 vs. CLV 33/7

ATL 44/7 vs. MIA 35/8

K.C. 37/7 vs. NYY 39/8

CIN 33/7 vs. MIL 35/8

CWS 16/7 vs. DET 53/8

LAD 45/7 vs. ARZ 38/8

MIN 29/8 vs. T.B. 49/8

COL 23/7 vs. S.D. 22/7

BOS 31/7 vs. SEA 39/7

NYM 45/8 vs. S.F. 13/7

OAK 31/7 vs. PIT 22/7

LAA 27/6 vs. CHC 28/7

HOU 27/7 vs. STL 30/6

 

That's better

Tickets will be graded by runs scored at the end of the game.

 

 

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#24
Posted: 7/9/2013 2:56:32 PM
GL tonite brutha
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#25
Posted: 7/9/2013 3:03:47 PM
I'm with you on Toronto.  GL to both of us 
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