Coming off a bad week that came with the end of May. Finished a little below .500 in that 7 days. New week starts this Friday. Good luck, all!
The Good:
PIT/CHC O7
Although the total has been UNDER in 5 of the last 6 in the series, those games were all played @ PIT. When @ CHC, the total has been OVER 3 of the last 4 games. The total has been OVER in 12 of the last 17 games (.706) that CHC has played at Wrigley this season. Both teams have been OVER in 3 of their last 4 games. CHC allows the most runs at HOME with a 5.18 team ERA and scores the 3rd most runs at HOME averaging 5.14 runs. Both starting pitchers are also good hitters. Liriano is 5 for 10 with 2 HRs and 7 RBIs in his last 4 starts. Wood hit a grand slam in his last start vs. CWS.
CHC (-105)
Travis Wood has owned McCutchen (.075), Alvarez (.111), Barmes (.133), Marte (.182), and Jones (.000). Marte is in a 4 for 32 slump (0.125), and Jones is in a 8 for 47 slump (.170). PIT is just coming off an ugly sweep @ ATL, and CHC is coming home after a big win @ LAA vs. another good lefty (Vargas) and a day off. PIT batters average 8.2 strikeouts a game (3rd worst in the league) now having to face Wood.
LAD (-115)
Ryu has a 4-0 record in his last 4 starts at HOME with a 1.61 ERA, 0.46 WHIP, and 4.0 K/BB ratio in that span. Opposing teams are only batting .190 against Ryu @ LAD. ATL is just 16-16 AWAY.
The Bad: Fading Jimenez (CLE), Fernandez/Harvey (MIA/NYM), TEX scoring AWAY
CLE/DET O8
The total has gone OVER just 4 of the last 10 in this series. But 3 of those 4 OVERs were when Jimenez was on the mound (2 of those 3 match-ups were vs. Verlander). The total has gone OVER in 4 of the last 6 games for CLE and 5 of their last 7 games AWAY, and 4 of the last 6 in this series.
MIA/NYM O6.5
The total has gone OVER 6.5 in 7 of the last 9 in this series, 7 of Fernandez’s last 8 starts, and 2 of Harvey’s last 3 starts.
TOR (-110)
In their most recent homestand of 9 games, TOR has averaged 6.44 runs/game at HOME. In TEX’s last 6 AWAY games, they have averaged 3.67 runs/game TEX has lost 5 of Tepesch’s last 6 starts – his one victory in that span was vs. HOU. TEX’s bullpen has been overworked lately after the “Grimm” loss @ BOS, 17-5. Rogers has pitched well in relief, throwing 12.2 shutout innings, 1.07 WHIP in his last 7 outings.
The Ugly: Fading STL/CIN scoring, BAL/TB pitching, Cain (SF) AWAY
STL/CIN U8
The total has gone UNDER 7 in 7 of the last 9 games of this series. Both pitchers have been pitching well: Wainwright (9 quality starts in his last 10), Leake (0.33 ERA, 5.5 K/BB ratio in his last 4 starts).
BAL/TB O8.5
Hammel has a 6.91 ERA vs. TB. Archer has a 5.40 ERA in 5 career starts. The total has gone OVER 8 of the last 9 in the series.
ARI (-140)
Believe it or not, Cain has
an 8.96 ERA in his last 4 AWAY starts (24 IP).
That type of performance won’t defeat a 9-0 pitcher with a 1.69 ERA (at
HOME) tonight.