I couldn't pull the trigger on fading Felix for the second time this road trip, I should have . . . at least I didn't get sucked into to backing him as a slight favorite. It appears the Mariners offense of yesteryear has returned in full bloom. Thus, going under 7.5 paid dividends in spite of the King coughing up 6 runs.
On the strength of home runs, the Mariners are scoring 4.1 runs per game since May 3, but the team average sits at .226/.309/.398 over that same stretch.
Since May 3, Mariners are 7-7, and thats likely a good representation of what kind of team they are and will be.
Meanwhile, since April 20, no team in baseball has a better winning pct than your cleveland indians (20-7)
Felix Hernandez has always had "bad" stretches in his career, periods of time when is not very effective at all. Iwakuma doesn't . . . albeit with a much smaller sample size . . . nonetheless, the Japanese import has been as consistent as any pitcher in baseball since he joined the rotation in early July of last season.
Moving forward, I don't like the idea of fading Iwakuma and only getting -102 for my efforts . . . will need to research Kazmir a bit . . . but under 7.5 seems appealing once again.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I couldn't pull the trigger on fading Felix for the second time this road trip, I should have . . . at least I didn't get sucked into to backing him as a slight favorite. It appears the Mariners offense of yesteryear has returned in full bloom. Thus, going under 7.5 paid dividends in spite of the King coughing up 6 runs.
On the strength of home runs, the Mariners are scoring 4.1 runs per game since May 3, but the team average sits at .226/.309/.398 over that same stretch.
Since May 3, Mariners are 7-7, and thats likely a good representation of what kind of team they are and will be.
Meanwhile, since April 20, no team in baseball has a better winning pct than your cleveland indians (20-7)
Felix Hernandez has always had "bad" stretches in his career, periods of time when is not very effective at all. Iwakuma doesn't . . . albeit with a much smaller sample size . . . nonetheless, the Japanese import has been as consistent as any pitcher in baseball since he joined the rotation in early July of last season.
Moving forward, I don't like the idea of fading Iwakuma and only getting -102 for my efforts . . . will need to research Kazmir a bit . . . but under 7.5 seems appealing once again.
The Mariners have gone over the total in Iwakuma's last three starts so they tend to swing the bats well in his starts. Kazmir's last start had him allowing 4 runs against a Philadelphia team that doesn't hit lefties well.
The Mariners are 8-5 against lefties this year and average 4.5 runs per game against them, almost a full run better than their team average of 3.6 runs for all games. I think the over is a better play but I need to see the lineups before I make a decision.
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The Mariners have gone over the total in Iwakuma's last three starts so they tend to swing the bats well in his starts. Kazmir's last start had him allowing 4 runs against a Philadelphia team that doesn't hit lefties well.
The Mariners are 8-5 against lefties this year and average 4.5 runs per game against them, almost a full run better than their team average of 3.6 runs for all games. I think the over is a better play but I need to see the lineups before I make a decision.
Mariners and Phillies are quite similar when it comes to facing LHP
Seattle .736 OPS 12th in MLB Phillies: .721 OPS 14th in MLB
Seattle: .247 AVG 14th in MLB Phillies .240 AVG 19th in MLB
I can't read too much into a single start for Kazmir, otherwise I might think he is a steal at these prices if I draw a line through the Philly start and focus solely on his 10k, 0 walk, 1 run start vs oakland on May 9th
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Mariners and Phillies are quite similar when it comes to facing LHP
Seattle .736 OPS 12th in MLB Phillies: .721 OPS 14th in MLB
Seattle: .247 AVG 14th in MLB Phillies .240 AVG 19th in MLB
I can't read too much into a single start for Kazmir, otherwise I might think he is a steal at these prices if I draw a line through the Philly start and focus solely on his 10k, 0 walk, 1 run start vs oakland on May 9th
Oakland's offense has struggled in the last couple weeks so I don't know how to evaluate that start. I mean, they've scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 13 games. It might have been the case of Kazmir facing a team that wasn't playing well rather than stellar pitching.
I do like the lineups for both teams today, although the Indians' lineup looks better.
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Oakland's offense has struggled in the last couple weeks so I don't know how to evaluate that start. I mean, they've scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 13 games. It might have been the case of Kazmir facing a team that wasn't playing well rather than stellar pitching.
I do like the lineups for both teams today, although the Indians' lineup looks better.
Oakland's offense has struggled in the last couple weeks so I don't know how to evaluate that start. I mean, they've scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 13 games. It might have been the case of Kazmir facing a team that wasn't playing well rather than stellar pitching.
I do like the lineups for both teams today, although the Indians' lineup looks better.
All good stuff . . . I'm just cautious when it comes to small sample sizes, hence I generally don't read much into Batter-Pitcher matchup stats in most cases.
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Quote Originally Posted by sicknesscity:
Oakland's offense has struggled in the last couple weeks so I don't know how to evaluate that start. I mean, they've scored 3 runs or fewer in 9 of their last 13 games. It might have been the case of Kazmir facing a team that wasn't playing well rather than stellar pitching.
I do like the lineups for both teams today, although the Indians' lineup looks better.
All good stuff . . . I'm just cautious when it comes to small sample sizes, hence I generally don't read much into Batter-Pitcher matchup stats in most cases.
I think I'm going to land on the Mariners ML for this Juego . . . it's just a matter of price . . . should I wait and squeeze a few more cents out of it . . . or will waiting cost me some money.
I'm thinking this might not move in the direction I seek.
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I think I'm going to land on the Mariners ML for this Juego . . . it's just a matter of price . . . should I wait and squeeze a few more cents out of it . . . or will waiting cost me some money.
I'm thinking this might not move in the direction I seek.
If Iwakuma pulls out the win today then Seattle bats will need to pound Kazmir, no doubt Cleveland will scrape a few runs, so i'm thinking Cleveland and Under or Seattle and Over.. will wait and see game time movement and then slam a parlay. Good Luck fellas
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If Iwakuma pulls out the win today then Seattle bats will need to pound Kazmir, no doubt Cleveland will scrape a few runs, so i'm thinking Cleveland and Under or Seattle and Over.. will wait and see game time movement and then slam a parlay. Good Luck fellas
depending on how one defines a "few runs", Iwakuma has been very, very good about not letting that happen. in 18 of 25 career starts, the opposing team plated 2 runs or less while he was pitching. . . . and in 13 of those 25 career starts, he allowed 1 ER or less.
price has moved 3 cents, looks like i bought at the right time.
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depending on how one defines a "few runs", Iwakuma has been very, very good about not letting that happen. in 18 of 25 career starts, the opposing team plated 2 runs or less while he was pitching. . . . and in 13 of those 25 career starts, he allowed 1 ER or less.
price has moved 3 cents, looks like i bought at the right time.
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