https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101568922
If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
5.08.2013, 3-3-2, +3.45 Units, +.005% ROI
YTD – 85-85-15, +40.19 Units, +4.8% ROI
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Boy, what a kiss-your-sister day that was, but any day you make a buck is a good day. I don’t know if the Marlins could look Nolasco in the eye after the game but I know I would have been ashamed. Getting shut out by Jason Marquis is horrible. Versus my average pitcher rating of 68 he posted a 77.6 yesterday, his highest of the year. That’s pathetic, but I guess that’s what I get for backing a bad team, even with the better chucker on the hill and a guy that gave us a superior 79 rated game. Guys that toss a 79 and lose should be put on suicide watch. I guess that’s why they still call it gambling, huh? I needed to rant, or moan, whatever you want to call it, but the fact remains, like I said in the first place, any day you make a buck is a good day. Thanx for listening. Let’s get on with the business at hand.
Astros F5 (+135) FG (+140) (Vargas / Harrell)
Did I say something about logic yesterday? The Angels are simply not playing good baseball and the eager young Astros are taking advantage of it. How can anyone in his right mind lay the big juice on one of the most underachieving crowds in baseball history? Are folks laying the big juice just on the “the better team won’t get swept” theory? I have cashed four straight tickets in two days on the Astros and I can’t see the Angels being favored over anyone, anywhere, under any circumstances right now. Backing a theory with big juice looks just plain stupid. I wonder how many Angels backers are just chasing bad money with good. It looks like the old Martingale doesn’t it? Keep doubling up until you win. Sheesh.
Diamondbacks F5 (-119) FG (-118) (Hamels / Corbin)
The name Hamels keeps the line down, but at this stage of the season Corbin is the guy with the credentials, and he is backed by a far better lefty hitting lineup than Hamels. Please, don’t come in here with advanced statistics or batting averages, trends or projections from some other guru. I run my own stuff and I like it that way. In the 5 inning game to date the D-backs are 7-4-3 with a 34.3 rating and 4.1 oera versus lefty, The Phillies check in at 3-3-1 with an offensive rating of 31 and a oera of 3.2. Why would I not want the better pitcher and offense, at home, at a short price?
BOL
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