|1-2 start for me. Long grind it out season. I wanna focus on one game that I really like and see what the forum thinks on it.
Posted: 4/2/2013 2:27:09 AM
Toronto Bluejays vs Cleveland Indians
A lot of changes to both teams here. Toronto adds Dickey who gets the start as well as Reyes, Melky, Izturis and some pitchers. Cleveland adds Bourne, Swisher, Myers, and Reynolds among others. The key to what I am seeing is in the pitching matchup. RA Dickey comes over from the Mets. A true knuckle baller who had immense success last year. Cleveland did not face a true knuckler last season so unfamiliarity may play a factor. Dickey also has only played with his catcher a few times in the WBC.
Major factor for me is on the other side in Masterson vs the Toronto lineup. Masterson struggled in spring with the exception of a decent stretch at the end, but he has always struggled against lefties. Last years splits for him:
vs RHB 332 AB's with a .232 avg, .308 OBP, .304 SLG
vs LHB 456 AB's with a .296 avg, .376 OBP, .450 SLG
Using a projected lineup Toronto there are 3 righties, 2 lefties, and 4 switch hitters. All of those switch hitters have taken more attempts as lefties than righties and 3 of the 4 in Reyes, Bonafacio, and Izturis are much better batting lefty, (Melky had better numbers as a righty last year). Against this lineup with up to 6/9 batting lefty against Masterson I don't see him lasting long. Toronto is a pretty neutral field not favoring batters or pitchers.
IMO Toronto is a strong play. However, the Toronto TT over is an even stronger play in my mind. I do not doubt at all that Toronto will put up runs in this one. I am unsure of how the Indians will hit the knuckle and that may make me a bit weary of the side in this one. Anyone know if Cleveland has faced a true knuckler with anyone in this lineup?
For purposes of the contest I will most likely be on both of these plays, but would love to discuss with anyone before I lay my money down.
BOL to the forum