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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: THE CHASE LOUNGE
S_D_17 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#126
Posted: 1/12/2013 1:46:39 PM
Since Nov.28, 2012 

Lowest Total Under is 31-10-0

Highest Total Over is 23-12-1

*At least 4 games played that day
*Closing odds

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#127
Posted: 1/12/2013 1:47:01 PM

Ucla+2.5-they are thriving now with Mohammed...Colorado has FT issues and turnovers...Ucla should be a top 15 team soon...GL

Bonus-Fade USC against the type of team that drives them nuts-slow down pace...

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#128
Posted: 1/12/2013 1:47:14 PM
I can't wait any longer Moth just in case you want to play a few more games. 11.15 your time Illinois plays Wisc in Wisconsin. I'm playing Over 127. Houston is playing So. Miss. in So. Miss. I'm playing Houston + 11. Good luck on your plays today as well everyone.
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#129
Posted: 1/12/2013 1:53:18 PM
Thanks Hoya was looking at that game also so I will play UCLA and buy a half point to +3 and will play that with Clev St at home at 4.30 EST against Detroit getting 8, so + 8 Clev St.
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#130
Posted: 1/12/2013 2:02:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by S_D_17:

Since Nov.28, 2012 

Lowest Total Under is 31-10-0

Highest Total Over is 23-12-1

*At least 4 games played that day
*Closing odds


Just dropped into this thread and saw your post.  I am very interested in this stat.  Shouldn't there be an equal number of overs and unders?  I'm assuming you play the highest over and the lowest under every day.  Or do you not play if two games have the same total.
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#131
Posted: 1/12/2013 2:14:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bluewaterdude:


Just dropped into this thread and saw your post.  I am very interested in this stat.  Shouldn't there be an equal number of overs and unders?  I'm assuming you play the highest over and the lowest under every day.  Or do you not play if two games have the same total.

I haven't started playing the highest over yet...someone mentioned it in this thread before so I decided to back track it...and some of the days there were two lowest total that were the same
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#132
Posted: 1/12/2013 3:15:06 PM
Lakers/Clips Seasonal Thread-Clips tough call today-backing off-sorry if you already played it-I will take them in the second half if even or behind when the bench does what it does...Indiana under looks suspicious too-line keeps rising while the public is sick over that Knick game-Hibert might be out too...wait and see...
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#133
Posted: 1/12/2013 4:20:14 PM
Hoya thanks for the info on the UCLA pick.
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#134
Posted: 1/12/2013 7:30:10 PM

I started a SS on lowest/highest. Here it is. 4 games minmum. skipped if 2 are the same.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0ArtvW2coXCHsdEpsNzVuQm40N2hwVkxKZlp5Vl9yOVE#gid=5

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#135
Posted: 1/12/2013 7:31:03 PM
SD thanks for pointing out these plays. As I said before, I tested the wrong week/month.
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#136
Posted: 1/12/2013 7:35:15 PM

Bogey, THANKS FOR THE HUGE WIN Indiana.

Didn't get your other games, played 18. BOL to you and everyone else.

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#137
Posted: 1/12/2013 9:42:29 PM
Under of the day, winner
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#138
Posted: 1/12/2013 11:05:37 PM

yeah, that Indiana under came in but it was close-like by a half point at closing lines..will they start seeing under 180 totals?

 

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#139
Posted: 1/13/2013 10:41:41 AM
Over of the day: winner
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#140
Posted: 1/13/2013 10:44:33 AM

Sunday's Under of the day: IND/BRK 180.5, Over of the day: LAL/CLE 211. BOL

 

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#141
Posted: 1/13/2013 11:42:38 AM

Atl-very heavy play for me today-all the  intangibles are with them most importantly no respect. The last time they felt this way was vs the NYG and how did that  go? Then we see Sea's best sack rusher of the last 3 years gone, their Coordinators interviewing for jobs yesterday, etc.

Take the birds in the first qtr too and half...

Next week assuming I'm right, though, you'll see them revert back to form as a much better Defense and running game then theirs, plus a satisfaction we proved them wrong is a reality check...

NBA total of the day-like it-Indiana-what a pathetic excuse for offense...but at some point the totals will catch up-almost did last night..Lakers-for sure over looks good and I expect them not to cover vs fast guards as usual...

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#142
Posted: 1/13/2013 11:49:01 AM
I'm taking a stab on NO 1st Qtr +2 on road (11-5) for half unit.
New York has winning record at home 1st Q but too easy. Give me the hot out of the gate Hornets 12-8 at home as well.

Billy, are these stats on your spreadsheet SU wins or is the spread involved?
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#143
Posted: 1/13/2013 11:52:26 AM
Angle, these are spreads. SS updated.
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#144
Posted: 1/13/2013 11:59:30 AM
Checkout Minny getting 4 pts 1q they're 15-1 away....but Spurs are 11-4 1q h.
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#145
Posted: 1/13/2013 12:01:10 PM
Thx Hoya for that insight on the Falcons.

Here's some info I found that sounds pretty good...

The Nuggets had won the season’s first two meetings by six and 11 points before losing 106-105 at Golden State in the most recent matchup. That loss is significant because Denver is 35-21 ATS all-time under coach Karl when out for revenge for a close loss of 3 points or less to an opponent. The Nuggets are 13-2 at home this season and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games versus teams that have a winning road record. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Warriors are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Denver.
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#146
Posted: 1/13/2013 12:19:44 PM
Here's some info on the total for ATL/SEA...

Both teams should be able to move the ball and put points on the board in the Georgia Dome. Falcons have the 21st worst defense against the run in the NFL. Look for Marshawn Lynch and Russell Wilson to gash the Atlanta for big yards. Matt Ryan averages over 400 yards per game in the dome and should be able to score against a Seahawk defense that lost its best player, defense end and sack leader Chris Clemons, last week and is making its second straight trip back east to play at 10 am pacific time. Trends also favor an over as four of the last five head-to-head meetings between the Seahawks and Falcons went over the posted total. Seattle is also 5-1 to the over in it's last six playoff games and the Falcons have gone over the total in four of their last five playoff games as well. Take over 46 in the Atlants vs Seattle playoff game today.
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#147
Posted: 1/13/2013 12:34:26 PM
Thanks for the update Billy and the heads up on Minn. Glad to see your numbers are ATS!

Here's another one I am looking at...keep in mind, these write-ups are interesting to me and I may or may not play every one of them.

Toronto has been downright dirty on the defensive end of the floor the past two games, holding Philadelphia and Charlotte to just 72 and 78 points respectively. Of course, those are two fairly bad teams so I'm not going to be sold this team has made a defensive turnaround until they can shut down a better opponent. However, any team that has allowed 40 points or less in the first half of two straight games is 119-67 for the UNDER the next game over the past five seasons. Milwaukee struggled to put points on the board last time out, shooting just 39.6% and scoring 87 points against Detroit. With the Bucks scoring just 94.4 ppg away from home and the Raptors giving up 93.3 ppg in Toronto, there is some value here with the UNDER.
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#148
Posted: 1/13/2013 12:36:23 PM
I read where one capper said all the sharps he spoke to were on ATL and the public is mostly on Seattle.

I got ATL -2.5 at -120. Not a bad value when buying down from 3.

Thanks Hoya for the inspiration and let's hope it wins!
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#149
Posted: 1/13/2013 12:43:38 PM
More info on Atlanta...

Back in Week 15, we wrote: ‘Falcons have won 11 straight here and 32 of 36 with Matt Ryan. Price appears cheap’. That was prior to facing the Giants, a game that Atlanta won 34-0 as a 1-pt favorite. The reason for pointing that out is that we feel the same way here. Why are the Falcons such a short price for this one? These Dirty Birds rarely lose at home with their only home loss this season was in a meaningless Week 17 game versus the Bucs. Under Mike Smith, Atlanta has lost just seven times in five seasons at this stadium. Granted, the Seahawks are playing well but things have also gone their way. Not to diminish anything from last week’s win over the Redskins but the injury to RGIII definitely had impact. That game was in Washington. Now the poor traveling Seahawks will fly across the country again, after trekking back to its home state, this time to face a talented Falcons bunch. Not only will that be a difficult task, Seattle will have to do it without the services of its top pass-rushing DE Chris Clemons, who suffered a season-ending knee injury in Sunday’s game at Washington. Starting in Clemons’ place will be Bruce Irvin, getting his first NFL start. Also notable, is the loss of placekicker Steven Hauschka as mid-week kicker tryouts during playoffs can be problematic. Atlanta has the offensive prowess that Seattle hasn’t seen in some time. The Falcons have been one and done in three of past four years. That all changes here.
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#150
Posted: 1/13/2013 12:46:16 PM
NO 1st QTR 26-22

Thanks Billy
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