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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE PLAYOFFS...RD.2
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:17:39 PM
Stanford closed at +9.5 always wait on a dog line
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_action_ send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#77
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:18:54 PM
lesson learned - thank you prof shady. newfie is a beast btw! thank you guys. 
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#78
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:24:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by _action_:


also, shady. now that we settled on which 2nd half posts should be mentioned in the thread. you gotta start posting them here, right? 


8-0 today...15-2 last 7 days 
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#79
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:28:17 PM
did you base of the porky's middle system? what filters did you add? shady filters!! wow, thats a serious record. 
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#80
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:31:49 PM
McShady- you sir are unbelievable! I am going to advise my kids to go into mathematics or statistics to learn what you know. You may just a view into the future.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#81
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:41:54 PM
To add to McShady on his advice about the 2nd half lines. I couldnt agree more they have a ton of people in that thread because they all love the action. Also Utah Ucla I got at +10. McShady I like to bet some 2nd half games and did play the under in Stanford and N.D. I know its difficult to make a play then post your play on here but if you could share either how you are doing it or your picks I would very grateful. Thanks again gentlemen.
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#82
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:45:45 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:



8-0 today...15-2 last 7 days 

 

That's great stuff Shady, I'm gonna adjust how I bet from now on and just pound a few bets like I did today with Stanford. You're right about waiting for the line to swing on the dogs utah st +10 and Stanford +8 at some places. When it was 7 Greek @110 to buy hook was -125 and I got it +7.5 for -115 before game

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#83
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:48:30 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by bogey533:

To add to McShady on his advice about the 2nd half lines. I couldnt agree more they have a ton of people in that thread because they all love the action. Also Utah Ucla I got at +10. McShady I like to bet some 2nd half games and did play the under in Stanford and N.D. I know its difficult to make a play then post your play on here but if you could share either how you are doing it or your picks I would very grateful. Thanks again gentlemen.

 

Yeah it's tough to post 2nd 1/2 plays after getting the lines and having a look getting your bet in.

 

Math is hard lol

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#84
Posted: 10/13/2012 7:49:49 PM
any thoughts on tonights LA Tech game??
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#85
Posted: 10/13/2012 8:01:51 PM
Well said Shady. I won't post any of those plays anymore. Will definitely take your advice. I remember you once said something along the lines of... You play to invest, not gamble. I'll stay away from too many plays.

On a side note, I was curious (if you don't mind me asking) of what kind of bankroll you started this all with. Your numbers definitely show and it's probrably ungodly how you never have to pay up or deposit money. Truly inspirational.
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#86
Posted: 10/13/2012 8:04:22 PM
what do you think about texas a&m/ la tech going under?

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#87
Posted: 10/13/2012 11:37:58 PM
WHAT A NIGHT  
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#88
Posted: 10/14/2012 12:08:03 AM
Ibanez is unfucking believable ruined my Under bet. Or was it Valverde or Leyland, whatever it sucks... I was hoping to have some Bank roll for tomorrow... Unless there is one sure fire winner on the table for tomorrow... I am getting my behind handed to me, my only play for the day loses... I follow and pick the absolute wrong one to play everyday for the past week it seems...
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#89
Posted: 10/14/2012 1:29:46 AM
Great job today Shady... 
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#90
Posted: 10/14/2012 1:45:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:



8-0 today...15-2 last 7 days 


I know it may be impossible to post them here on a timely basis, but any effort is welcome, especially on NFL as that is the only time I am available for 2H lines. Whatever u want to do, you're the man!

Great job today!

I hope all Texas fans have accepted Mack Brown's apology and look forward to him getting another raise any time another coach makes more than he does! If you saw that game, you need to find the firemackbrown.com or whatever they are doing down there in Austin.
Oklahoma fans are very supportive of keeping him in Austin...

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#91
Posted: 10/14/2012 2:19:01 AM
NFL Angles for Sunday...Since 2005

Angle #1 60% Det +4

Angle #2 66% Tamp-3

Angle #3 64% Buff +4.5, GB +3.5, Oak +10, Den + (or ML if fave)

Angle #4 61% Den + (or ML if fave)

Angle #5 60% Buff +4.5 (same that won with Jets +9 last week vs Hou) (Play on teams losing by more than 25 pts vs spread)

My chase plays other than angle plays and some are the same...
Det +4 (locked in) GM2 chase if you lost last game)
Buff +4.5
Wash (off)  GM2 chase if you lost last game
Den + (or ML if fave) GM2 chase if you lost last game

My obligatory fade on Cryboys, with Balt -3 (locked in)

The only multiple angle plays are Buffalo and Denver, and with my plays on same teams that puts both in a 2 teamer for me.

That's all for now. Some of these are opposite of Newfie's plays as he has Atl -9.5 vs Oak, Phi -4.5 vs Det, Ariz-4.5 vs Buff, Hou-4.5 vs GB and Sea +4.5 vs NE (no conflict). These are lines for Newfie from McShady's sheet, you may find better lines closer to gametime, depending on what u like. I don't like to have this much conflict with Newfie, I am only posting the angles from a place where an insider looking for angles can find them.

Play, fade, ignore the conflicts and play what is left...it is up to you!
Just wanted to keep up what I have been posting for weeks now.




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#92
Posted: 10/14/2012 2:47:02 AM
Make that GB +4 for 2 units.
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#93
Posted: 10/14/2012 4:52:56 AM

Congrats on another great run McShady . You keep this up you will make Billy Waters look like a Piker .

Chased the ACLS under and the Tigers +125 . Damn Valverde almost blew them both . Sorry about Jeter but that makes McShady`s Tigers future  look more favorable .

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#94
Posted: 10/14/2012 6:50:53 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:



8-0 today...15-2 last 7 days 

Feel stupid to ask, but where are those 8 plays posted. I really have a hard time finding the bets you play every day. Can you please explain it to me. 
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#95
Posted: 10/14/2012 7:41:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani:


Feel stupid to ask, but where are those 8 plays posted. I really have a hard time finding the bets you play every day. Can you please explain it to me. 

Read the Thread
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#96
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:37:52 AM
Shady, historical lines question.  Trying to build my own model but haven't been able to find historical 2h lines. Can you share where you get your historical data or do you just have a program than updates it automatically?
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#97
Posted: 10/14/2012 9:52:45 AM
@mj

I dont have anyway for Football to load hx. I can only do current year
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#98
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:16:22 AM
Hey guys, sorry for not chiming yesterday - had an OOT wedding.

I back tested Porkys 2h system.  It works great at about 60% clip... But you're playing about 20+ games a day... Too much for me.

I've been playing this and it hits about 70% with 1-6 plays a week:

If dog is winning at half:
Score diff + game spread - 2H spread >= 19, play the dog

If fav is winning at half:
Score diff - game spread + 2H spread >= 19, play the fav. 

This assumes the 2H fav is the game fav, if not - flip the 2H sign.

I also play Angles parlays system... That hits nicely as well, if spread/total > 44% makes it a play for me.  I think that went 5-2 yesterday.  

Btw- 19 is the magic number for college, 13.5 is the number I use for NFL, I also double the unit amount  if it gets to 19... Which doesn't happen too often.

GL
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#99
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:27:39 AM

McShady    great job but I also couldn't find your post, help me out what page was it on

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#100
Posted: 10/14/2012 10:48:33 AM
McShady what is your opinion on Tigers/Yanks side and total ?
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