Messages

Forum Index : MLB Betting : Messages Page 10 of 28 «  8 9 10 11 12   »
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE PLAYOFFS...RD.2
Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Angle4U999
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 3074
Location:
#226
Posted: 10/15/2012 11:56:28 AM
Bluewaterdude, the NCAAF 2 team parlay system that I use it take the spread and divide by the total. If you get 35% or more, then make 2 parlay wagers on the same game.

Wager 1 Fave/over
Wager 2 Dog/under

Shiman has modified the system for 44% or more.

Some books will not let you parlay games with such a high percentage of spread to total.

Example, Alabama was -21 and the total was 41

21 divided by 41 is 51%

I bet Ala - 21/over 41 in 2 team parlay
I bet Mizz + 21/under 41 in 2 team parlay.

Ala/over won and Mizz/under lost. That's 1.6 unit profit on that game. You don't have to win half your bets to make money, but you will ALWAYS lose at least half your bets since they are the opposite of each other.

When it hurts it when the large favorite covers and shuts out the other team so you may have Alabama covers 38-0 and the game goes under causing you to lose both parlays.

Or the dog will score a lot of points and cover, causing the total to go over with the dog.

Sometimes there are more fave/over winners and sometimes the dogs/under will bail you out. I ALWAYS bet BOTH ways.
quote
tailing send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
tailing
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 24
Location:
#227
Posted: 10/15/2012 11:56:47 AM
thx shady u must have posted closer to gametime all i saw was reference then and assumed they were the plays. not good eagles zona etc.hopefully ill be able to find ur college and nfl plays amazing what numbers can do when u know what to do with them. thx again
quote
bogey533 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
bogey533
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1164
Location: Florida
#228
Posted: 10/15/2012 12:01:09 PM
Congrats to a great day gentlemen.
quote
Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Angle4U999
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 3074
Location:
#229
Posted: 10/15/2012 12:07:51 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

Your tearing up those ANGLES buddy!


Thanks McShady, I hope it helps people. They don't win like that every week as you know. Sometimes 6-4 or something like that. This week was a really good week for Dogs! Many of the angles are contrarian which is usually a dog.

I hope u got in on some of the dogs this week. I had a 4 teamer that hit. As you know, the angles are not my own so I can't take credit for them and I don't want to plagerize (spelling error) the source.

I just keep giving the hint on where to find them but some people are either overlooking it or can't get the hint.

I hope Denver comes in tonight to make it 100% angle plays for NFL. I will buy one point with Denver but will not leave a half-point. If they are +1, I will buy to +2. If they are +1.5, still I will buy to 2. No half points. I wish I could get them at +3 but I don't think that will happen and I am betting early.

GL today and thanks for the shout-out!
quote
Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Angle4U999
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 3074
Location:
#230
Posted: 10/15/2012 12:46:52 PM
Clarification on Denver. My main book only allows one point buy. Therefore if Denver is +1.5 I would go to 2.

If you can buy more than one point and it goes +1.5, you could buy to 3. I don't know what the juice is on a 2 point buy as I have never had a book that would allow that.

On the total, I have some info on the under...but this is a smaller play for me, Denver is 2 unit play.

Both teams finished over this number last week as the defenses struggled. This should cause the defenses to be very focused tonight in a divisional contest. Plays on the under on home teams when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, in a divisional game following a game where both previous opponents scored 24 points or more, are 38-15 the last 10 seasons. An average of just 41.0 total points scored in this situation.

quote
Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Angle4U999
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 3074
Location:
#231
Posted: 10/15/2012 12:53:05 PM
Angle out. GL everyone!
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#232
Posted: 10/15/2012 12:56:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

Angle out. GL everyone!

Who needs luck when I have you feeding me WINNERS?! Have a good day
quote
bogey533 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
bogey533
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1164
Location: Florida
#233
Posted: 10/15/2012 12:59:27 PM
Congrats Angle on a huge NFL day. Any thoughts that the experienced ref's made a difference on the success of the angles?
quote
semperfi19 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
semperfi19
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 2120
Location:
#234
Posted: 10/15/2012 1:14:19 PM

FOR COLLEGE HOOPS, WE NEED TO GET NROPP IN HERE.

HE HIS A FREAK!   HE HAS HIS OWN THREAD AND A TWITTER ACCOUNT, KEEP AN EYE ON HIS PICKS.

I WILL CONTINUE TO LOOK AT ALL MLB GAMES BUT MOST LIKELY WILL ONLY HAVE LEANS....I F I SEE ANOTHER  BOMB I WILL LET YOU KNOW. 

quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#235
Posted: 10/15/2012 1:18:29 PM
How do u cap a game where FOULING is normal progression of a game? Cant stand hoops...esp the last 2mins
quote
semperfi19 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
semperfi19
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 2120
Location:
#236
Posted: 10/15/2012 1:38:44 PM

GAME 2    GIANTS/CARDS

Line:  Giants -115, Cards -105

Total:  6.5

Thoughts:  Vollgy vs Carp., and you have two guys that have struggled to get to the 5th inning in their starts.    The Giants have yet to have a QS from a pitcher in the playoffs and Carp is fresh off surgery. The more I dig into the pitchers the more I think  Volgelsong steps up tonight and delivers a QS at home where all his vitals (OBA,WHIP, ERA) are better than on the road.   Carp is a vet that I think matches Vollgy early then simply runs out of gas.  I like the Giants to even up the series tonight in a pitchers duel.  

My leans:

GIANTS  -115 ML

GIANTS   -1/2   F5 +120

PREDICTED FINAL   4-2 Giants

Good Luck        

 

quote
KingHernandez send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
KingHernandez
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 502
Location: New York
#237
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:17:00 PM
good stuff semper, i got giants as well
quote
KingHernandez send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
KingHernandez
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 502
Location: New York
#238
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:17:41 PM
anything on mnf??
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#239
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:20:02 PM
I got it at 3-2 final...Semper Bum....Giants only like to win by 1 
quote
KingHernandez send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
KingHernandez
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 502
Location: New York
#240
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:24:11 PM
im leaning broncos for mnf
quote
tailing send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
tailing
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 24
Location:
#241
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:28:07 PM
shady i think i see the prob when i saw sheet it had favs in +4.5 spot didnt realize that theywere supposed to be 4.5 pt dogs not favs.Thats where my confusion came from. makes sensr now of course that went 4-0. thx for the help
quote
kake7 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
kake7
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 197
Location: Alaska
#242
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:35:33 PM
any one know where to find stats on Del Rio defense when playing a Norv Turner offence ??? thanks
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#243
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:45:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kake7:

any one know where to find stats on Del Rio defense when playing a Norv Turner offence ??? thanks

Whatcha working on? Side or total?
quote
kake7 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
kake7
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 197
Location: Alaska
#244
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:48:12 PM
totals
quote
bogey533 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
bogey533
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Oct 2009
Posts: 1164
Location: Florida
#245
Posted: 10/15/2012 2:51:00 PM
Semper followed NROPP last year extremely detailed capper. Another excellent man to follow in NCAAB is JFen31. Both share alot of the same stradegys associated in capping CBB.
quote
Go_Nads send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
Go_Nads
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2012
Posts: 198
Location: United States
#246
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:12:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kake7:

any one know where to find stats on Del Rio defense when playing a Norv Turner offence ??? thanks

Here are the links to Covers box score (not sure what stats you were looking for)

2003 Jax vs Miami: http://bit.ly/RMtKe1
2004 Jax vs Oak: http://bit.ly/RMu2lf
2007 Jax vs SD: http://bit.ly/OCvsRi
2010 Jax vs SD: http://bit.ly/QJlawx
2011 Jax vs SD: http://bit.ly/We8wLt
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#247
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:15:01 PM
Go Nads...wzup? Welcome.
quote
schiman send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Wynn Las Vegas |
schiman
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 138
Location: North Carolina
#248
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:32:38 PM
Hey guys - did some more filtering on my Football 2H calcs.  I'm throwing out NFL - not consistent enough. I'm also a bigger college sports fan and the NFL is too boring to sit around until halftime after you watch 10hours of excitement on Saturdays.

Also throwing out College Dogs, they hit, but I think I found better filters.  I'm going to start posting on Covers/Twitter this weekend for those of you that have a hard time calcing it.  Toughest thing w/ College is the halftimes are all over the clock.  So unless you live on your smart phone or computer - it's tough to catch them all.  I think I found a solution to that as well.

I'll throw out a reminder and links on Thurs afternoon for those of you that like College plays.

I feel like I owe this thread a lot, been doing great in MLB w/ the heroes here, only to throw it away on Sunday's NFL with my experimental calcs.

Stay tuned
quote
Riceboi send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
Riceboi
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 5371
Location:
#249
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:35:51 PM
What you guys think about no runs 1st inning for giants/cards game? Yes it is juiced to about -150, but looks like a good bet for this pitching matchup.
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#250
Posted: 10/15/2012 3:39:20 PM
Schiman!!!  Makin garbage develop!
quote
Forum Index : MLB Betting : Messages Page 10 of 28 «  8 9 10 11 12   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.