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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Postseason - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#26 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:36:48 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by roondog248: I feel pretty good about backing Wainwright...espically at an EV moneline Cardinals love lefties too. How many times have the St. Louis hitters seen Gio? He's a pitcher that gets much easier to hit with experience. I don't know the answer to this, but it would be the first thing I looked up before locking in on the Cardinals.
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#27 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:39:06 PM Do you think the Cards 1st 5innings would be a better bet here? Cards have a better BA vs L than WAS does vs. Righties. and Was has the bullpen advantage,
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#28 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:40:57 PM Gio shut them out on 8/31/12 as a SP.
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9255 Location: Virginia	#29 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:47:54 PM Gio tends to struggle more with his control on the road from what I've seen and I'm pretty sure his metrics would confirm. When I've backed him, its been on the road (when he is cheaper) and every f'n inning is
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#30 Posted: 10/7/2012 1:56:40 PM In that same game the Nationals scored 6 runs in 3 inning on wainwright...maybe over 7 is the play here, darn.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#31 Posted: 10/8/2012 4:29:53 PM Monday, October 8th's games uploaded. Sorry for the late post today.. Monday mornings I dedicate to updating my NFL databases and running the RPI calculations.
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nepatriots_12	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2008 Posts: 2163 Location: British Columbia	#32 Posted: 10/8/2012 4:31:29 PM Any plays today Silly?
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phat03	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 31474 Location: Madagascar	#33 Posted: 10/8/2012 4:36:26 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: Cardinals love lefties too. How many times have the St. Louis hitters seen Gio? He's a pitcher that gets much easier to hit with experience. I don't know the answer to this, but it would be the first thing I looked up before locking in on the Cardinals. I agree 100%....
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#34 Posted: 10/8/2012 4:48:29 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by nepatriots_12: Any plays today Silly? Strongest lean is on the Cardinals but ultimately I decided to pass. The Yankees/Baltimore line is spot on.
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cardifkill	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Jun 2012 Posts: 2419 Location: California	#35 Posted: 10/8/2012 4:59:01 PM
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NYBUILT	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 890 Location: South Carolina	#36 Posted: 10/8/2012 6:24:23 PM Yanks ML....bro
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telemaco22	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 798 Location:	#37 Posted: 10/8/2012 6:30:49 PM syll what is the play on yankees, balt game.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#38 Posted: 10/8/2012 6:56:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by telemaco22: syll what is the play on yankees, balt game. No play. The line is perfect in my eyes. No reason to bet against the house.
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carlos1321	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Sep 2012 Posts: 841 Location: Arizona	#39 Posted: 10/8/2012 7:40:24 PM hey si1ly was wondering if you would accept my friends request.. would like to follow yoour post figure it be easier for me this way.. nice hit ealiers bet..
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#40 Posted: 10/9/2012 3:58:31 PM Today's games added. Strong lean to the Giant tonight. Also leaning on the under in Oakland.
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eknilb	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2009 Posts: 1175 Location:	#41 Posted: 10/10/2012 12:09:36 AM you should really play more leans. it's all hitting lol
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#42 Posted: 10/10/2012 10:24:50 AM October 10th's games added. Carpenter hasn't pitched enough innings to produce a reliable breakdown.. but I don't think I would have played the game anyways. Slight lean to the under if anything. Carp is a playoff vet and Jackson was one of the best second half pitchers in the MLB. Looking hard at the Yankees today.
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roondog248	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 894 Location: Florida	#43 Posted: 10/10/2012 10:41:55 AM
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TurnstoneMoney	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 1799 Location: Pennsylvania	#44 Posted: 10/10/2012 10:57:32 AM Tigers look to have serious value today based on your sheets.
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kikkoman10	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 45 Location:	#45 Posted: 10/10/2012 11:08:36 AM Thx
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alekim	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Aug 2009 Posts: 1354 Location: United States	#46 Posted: 10/10/2012 11:13:12 AM good luck on the Yanks play. I was considering them but way to high and I refuse to playing Yanks game s on the RL lost too many over the past few years. They oddly produce the most 1 run wins.
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Codearmani	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: bet365 \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2012 Posts: 383 Location: Denmark	#47 Posted: 10/10/2012 11:48:41 AM Hi silly- Where can i find the plays ?
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#48 Posted: 10/10/2012 12:00:26 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani: Hi silly- Where can i find the plays ? Haven't locked in anything yet. Still debating what to do with the Yankees and Tigers. I'll start a separate thread for any official plays like I usually do.
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Codearmani	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: bet365 \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2012 Posts: 383 Location: Denmark	#49 Posted: 10/10/2012 12:11:31 PM Ahh okay, im sorry :) What do you think about stl TT under 3.5? I am leaning that way myself
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#50 Posted: 10/10/2012 12:22:13 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Codearmani: Ahh okay, im sorry :) What do you think about stl TT under 3.5? I am leaning that way myself No value at this number. I think that's a pretty fair team total for them today. There are better bets out there I think. But I'm not really the one to ask advice on team totals. I hardly ever play them because the margin of error is so great. Weeble knows a thing or two about TT.
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