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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE PLAYOFFS... RD.1 OCT 5-12
semperfi19 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
semperfi19
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#626
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:57:59 AM
A word of caution for the Giants backers today.  One thing I learned from McShady is that it's tough to fight a trend  and 21 out of 21 is a tough nut to crack and I know every series is diffferent, but, 21/21 is a mountain I am not climbing.  Just hoping for a starters pitching duel!     
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randognsac send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#627
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:00:33 PM
I am gonna tail Semper on the Under 3.5 F5 play. Then I am gonna sit back and enjoy watching the game with my Grandma who is a big Giants fan. She's been watching baseball since she was a little girl. I hope the Giants win.
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shawty321 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:05:03 PM
realllllly want to play the no runs first inning prop for a full unit... anybody have any thoughts on this one?
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PTOTOUR send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#629
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:07:23 PM
I AM HAVING AS MUCH FUN READING ALL THE GREAT WRITEUPS AND COMMENTS AS WATCHING RAUL SMASH THE HOMER IN THE 12TH LAST NIGHT. KEEP UP THE GOOD KARMA BOYS!!    WENT TO SLEEP THINKIN I HIT WITH DETROIT AND THE UNDER, ONLY TO SEE THIS MORNING A PUSH AND LOSS. I DID HIT THE DETROIT TO SCORE FIRST THOUGH, THANKS GUYS!!!   
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Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:07:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by semperfi19:

A word of caution for the Giants backers today.  One thing I learned from McShady is that it's tough to fight a trend  and 21 out of 21 is a tough nut to crack and I know every series is diffferent, but, 21/21 is a mountain I am not climbing.  Just hoping for a starters pitching duel!     


Isn't this the FIRST year of the 2-3 away/home split on the best of 5?

Seems like it has always been 2-2-1.

If you were home team in the first 2 games you were the HIGHER seed. Now, the first 2 games are the LOWER seed.
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#631
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:11:27 PM
Giants/Reds - Totals Bases

Ludwick (-110) ov Belt


This Prop is juiced to Belt...I'll be a sucker


He is starting today
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Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 12:15:53 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

Thursday nite football. UNDER is 4-0 NFL Thursday night games this year.

NCAA home dogs on ESPN this year alone are 2-0 ATS. I believe that will be Colorado (vs Ariz). Take home dog if on ESPN, not  ESPNU. This has been very profitable over the years!

Ariz/Colo qualifies on correlated parlay system, so bet 2 parlays one with Ariz/over and the other with Colo/under. ( 1 unit each)

(Fits system...Divide spread by total and bet if over 35% and up)

NFL. Tennessee is ugly dog, Pitt is -6 and I will probably take that home dog at +7 or more for 2 units. After the way Tenn played last week the public will be all over Pitt and they really didn't play that well against the Eagles or anybody else this year.

So there you go, get Tenn + as many points as possible for 1 unit and 2 units on the UNDER. I will also tease these for 1 unit.

Get Colo + as str8 bet for 2 units and then the parlay system with the under and then another on Ariz - 23 or so and the OVER, both parlays for 1 unit each.

Recap.  Tenn plus hopefully 7
             Tenn under
             6pt or whatever makes the line better teaser on Tenn/under
(I like to use 6.5 or 7 points teaser sometimes depending on lines)

Colo plus the points hopefully 24 at least

2 teamer on Colo/under and Ariz/over

2 team parlay on the strongest trends (Tenn/Pitt under and Colo)

Units listed above. Last week the plays were on the under NFL and the home dog ESPN for 2 units each and 1 unit on parlay and ALL WON.

I will do this every time it happens.

Remember, I always buy plus points to cover above key numbers of 3, 7, 10, 14 and 21 if dog and buy minus points to cover below same numbers if fave. This is standard NFL procedure for me.

NCAA, if there is 23 I would buy to 24 for the game as I have seen line at +23. Key numbers not as important in NCAA but numbers above still qualify. It gets weird once you get over 21 points in NCAA.

Angle out for tonight, any plays before noon central by Semper/McShady will be appreciated!

Wish I had more on the games toay!!


This is my post from last night if anyone missed. Two corrections and one addition. It's Ariz St, not Ariz and I am only putting one unit on Tenn at +7 (7.5 if u can get it).

Addition: All NCAA home dogs on Thursday and Friday nights are 8-3 ATS ( I read this somewhere that I'm pretty sure is accurate).
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ApexPredator send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#633
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:24:36 PM
Just heard on giants radio that this is cain's first road playoff start...could be bad for someone who doesn't pitch well against reds.
Posted using a mobile device.
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SAILORJERRY send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#634
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:35:00 PM
Good stuff on the NCAA fb Angle, thanks my man. I have found myself glues to the baseball games this post season and am having a ball. Thank you guys for all the efforts and positive threads. You guys are true class acts (just brows around some of the more popular threads for comparison) and like you said McShady, this fire seems to be burning under the radar.
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Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#635
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:46:16 PM
I really like Balt today. I am tailing Semper on the F5 and ML. I'm going 2 units on the ML just (in case the F5 loses) just to cover my butt!

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#636
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:49:28 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by shawty321:

realllllly want to play the no runs first inning prop for a full unit... anybody have any thoughts on this one?


Limited time to look this morning but Cain away since end of July has not been a scored on in first, 7 starts. Latos has not been scored on in first at home since end of July, 8 starts, 3 shutouts in those 8. 

May not be a bad prop. 
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#637
Posted: 10/11/2012 12:53:40 PM
NO 1st inning prop is worth -150 or more. Its a desperation play to recover $. If ur playing strategy...YES is the only choice
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Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 1:04:13 PM
Here's some info on Cards game. I'm definitely playing Semper's F5 RL- play and I'm now thinking full game ML as well. But this info favors fading Detwiler, which is a good reason for the F5 play.

Cards have hammered lefties all season, hitting .284 and scoring 5.6 runs per game. Expect them to keep their bats going tonight against the Nats struggling Ross Detwiler, who has a 6.08 ERA over his last 3 starts. The Cards touched him for 7 runs Sept. 30, and should have his number again. St. Louis’ Kyle Lohse should be solid. He’s 17-3 with a 2.87 ERA this season.
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mjnorman59 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 1:06:06 PM
That prop is juicy.  Didn't have the line.   Staying away from first game.  No feel either way. 
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Angle4U999 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 1:16:28 PM
Angle out, GL everyone! I went ahead and placed 2 units on Tenn +7.5
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shawty321 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 1:44:17 PM
got out of that prop by the skin of my teeth lol... now for the under 3.5...
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McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#642
Posted: 10/11/2012 2:17:19 PM
Ludwick is swinging at junk today...
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#643
Posted: 10/11/2012 2:31:27 PM
damn that under 3 1/2 F5 is not looking so good all of the sudden
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vano send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#644
Posted: 10/11/2012 2:31:40 PM
bases loaded....
F5 -3.5 looking shaky
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shawty321 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#645
Posted: 10/11/2012 2:43:18 PM
woow that one shot cost me HUGE. had the under 3,5 and the under 7
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#646
Posted: 10/11/2012 2:51:29 PM
None of my SBs will let me bet a correlated parlay system.
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tommyd222
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#647
Posted: 10/11/2012 3:07:16 PM
UUgghhhhh
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#648
Posted: 10/11/2012 3:09:51 PM
Ludwick.....BOMB!
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McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#649
Posted: 10/11/2012 3:16:32 PM
This game went from an Under to a quick Over
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shawty321 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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Posted: 10/11/2012 3:20:54 PM
unbelievable man..
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