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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE PLAYOFFS... RD.1 OCT 5-12
QBUN send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#601
Posted: 10/11/2012 3:36:27 AM
man u guys r AWESOME!!! 24 pages and counting?!?!  cant wait for the plays!!! GL to all and lets grab some $$$$$$
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#602
Posted: 10/11/2012 4:15:44 AM
BOL
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#603
Posted: 10/11/2012 9:06:19 AM
Thanks to McShady/Semper/Angle/Moth and the rest of the Chasers gang....what an unreal run!  Outstanding job, fellas! 

And, as a baseball fan, the MLB playoffs have been simply amazing thus far.  Drama, excitement, big market teams, small market teams, great comebacks, walk-off hits galore, etc....

Four more pressure packed games today, including two winner-take-all Game 5 showdowns.  Two huge pitching superstars (Verlander/Cain) both trying to win their respective series on the road.  

And, how about Raul "So Cool" Ibanez!  Unbelievable.  Anyone remember, Chad Curtis for the Yanks in Game 3 of '99 World Series against the Braves?

And, the A's!  Scored 3 runs bottom 9th to stay alive.  Wow.  You can't write a Hollywood script this good.

Here's to another fantastic day, Chasers!    


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#604
Posted: 10/11/2012 9:12:49 AM
Good mornin Loungers...

Looks like my only 2 future wagers are on the line today. 

Reds & Tigers both @ +700 to win their Pennants. Working on a couple parlays to ease the pain!


And RAUUUUUUL! Love that guy. 
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#605
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:08:05 AM
Hey Guys, nice job yesterday. It's like you all own a copy of the Sports Almanac and one you is Biff...lol. On to today.

Angle, nice write up on Thursday's NFL and NCAA. Much appreciated.

Cheers!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#606
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:23:26 AM
Newfie, what do you have for Tnf?
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#607
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:25:17 AM

REDS/GIANTS ....Line Reds/Latos  -130 and 7.

My thoughts....Dusty Baker got his managerial doors blown off yesterday and in a close game I can not rely on this guy to make the right moves. From MLB site:  "While Bochy aggressively worked the switches, maneuvering the early inning matchups in his favor by placing calls to the 'pen, Baker was more lenient with Mike Leake, and it came back to bite him when Leake ran out of gas in the fifth and the Reds didn't have a reliever ready."  I know managers don't pitch,hit or run but they do set the tone for thier clubs.  Dusty "toof picks" Baker has always been a great play against manager but the S.O.B is in a better situation right now. 

For you trends players....In Division Series history, NL teams that have gone up 2-0 are a perfect 21-for-21 in claiming that series. 

I just can't find the right feel here on a side and my gut tells me this is a close game either way.  This has the feel of a 2-1 game so I am going to pass on the side here and take the F5 under 3.5 -130.

I am not playing it, but I see the Giants becoming the first team in the NL to come all the way back and steal the series. Good Luck on this one Boys.         

 

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billyloco
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#608
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:27:45 AM
CONGRATS Y'ALL!!
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#609
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:32:04 AM
"I cant endorse this as a smart play" says the Thread Police. 

2TP +320 (1u)
Reds ML
A's ML

2TP +270 (1u)
Giants ML
Tigers ML

Looking for a split profit of 2u
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#610
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:43:10 AM
Watch out McShady.....The THREAD NAVY is going to jump you!
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#611
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:45:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by semperfi19:

REDS/GIANTS ....Line Reds/Latos  -130 and 7.

My thoughts....Dusty Baker got his managerial doors blown off yesterday and in a close game I can not rely on this guy to make the right moves. From MLB site:  "While Bochy aggressively worked the switches, maneuvering the early inning matchups in his favor by placing calls to the 'pen, Baker was more lenient with Mike Leake, and it came back to bite him when Leake ran out of gas in the fifth and the Reds didn't have a reliever ready."  I know managers don't pitch,hit or run but they do set the tone for thier clubs.  Dusty "toof picks" Baker has always been a great play against manager but the S.O.B is in a better situation right now. 

For you trends players....In Division Series history, NL teams that have gone up 2-0 are a perfect 21-for-21 in claiming that series. 

I just can't find the right feel here on a side and my gut tells me this is a close game either way.  This has the feel of a 2-1 game so I am going to pass on the side here and take the F5 under 3.5 -130.

I am not playing it, but I see the Giants becoming the first team in the NL to come all the way back and steal the series. Good Luck on this one Boys.         

 


Great write-up, Semper.

BOL with your F5 UNDER play. 

I've decided to completely pass on this Giants/Reds game.  I don't have a good read at all with Cain/Latos match-up, or how the two line-ups will fare.

I'm just going to enjoy watching a winner-take-all Game 5.  Hoping the Giants can make history (first team to win series after trailing 2-0 in Best of 5).

As a Yanks fan, I'm still on cloud 9 after Raul's heroics last night. 
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#612
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:45:13 AM

I can't see the Reds losing today. I'll wait for the guru's to chime in, but I'll probably be on the first 5. or +1.5 line

Troy Polamalu is out tonight. What is the Steeler's record with him out. I don't think it's very good.

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#613
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:51:09 AM
Thanks Semper and McShady for the early plays and info.

Correction to my late night/early morning football post. Ariz St (not Ariz) is playing Colo.

I am only putting ONE unit on Tenn + at least 7.

QBUN, where u been?
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#614
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:55:38 AM

CARDS/NATS

Line pick -110 and 8.   Detwiller/Lohse matchup no where near Cain/Latos when it comes to numbers.  The over here looks really easy but buyer beware signs are flashing here.  Both offensives here will have the look fastball early in the count concept in play......From MLB.com: " Washington swung at more first pitches (32.1 percent) than any team in the Majors. St. Louis was seventh (28.9). Five of the eight most aggressive teams in the game -- Cincinnati, Detroit and San Francisco joining the Nats and Cards -- made it to the postseason."

Both these pitchers like to try and get ahead early in counts so this could be a quick 2 hour game in the 4-2, 3-1 range or it could be a 3 hour AL style slugfest if the hitters are making solid conatct early.  Lohse is having a career year and I see him weathering the storm better than Detwiller.   I see the Cards playing looser and jumping out early and then trying to hold on.

Cards -1/2 F5 +130 is my play here. 

Good Luck Boys!

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#615
Posted: 10/11/2012 10:56:16 AM
McShady, can u find time to post the dates of the next series for the new thread as this one officially ends tomorrow on the 12th, but that depends on the Balt and StLouis both extending to Friday. If they both lose, I'd like to go ahead and start the next thread but I don't know what day it starts and stops.

Thx!
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#616
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:04:47 AM
Pro-Line Lottery:

Utah +7.5
Mich St -9.5

Falcons -9.5
Eagles -4.5
Cardinals -4.5
Texans -4.5
Seahawks +4.5


For anyone that may not understand my Pro-Line Grid. These are just the plays of the #'s im tracking. Im sure Newfie has some totals & sides additional to these that he will share. 

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#617
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:10:14 AM
Love these early games during the week..Makes the work day go a little faster!!!
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#618
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:29:03 AM

O's/ Yanks

Line Hughes -165  and 8.5

Well, the Fighting Showalters roll out" Colonel. Saunders "and his finger licking good pitching.  This write up is very easy.  There is no way, I mean no way I can back Hughes at -165, that is carzy talk to me. I am styaing with my Fighting Showalters here to force a game 5 and will be playing them:

 F5 -110 +1/2,

 ML +145 

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#619
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:36:07 AM
My Totals Prediction have been about 65% 

Leans Today...
Reds OVER
Nats OVER
Yanks OVER
A's UNDER

Funny enough, same as yesterday. It just maybe the way I calc hitting performance...we will see
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#620
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:36:07 AM
Love the info Semper, thanks!

Newfie / McShady any insight / plays on the NFL game tonight? Probably a few pages back but at this point it's hard to comb through for info.
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#621
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:39:36 AM

TIGERS/A's

Line:  Velry -140 and 6.5 

The amazing A's are unreal.  They sweep Texas in Texas to win the NL west and now lose the 1st two to the Motown Kitties and are still alive in Game 5.  Now they face the reigning CY Young and AL MVP in Verly and Mr. Triple Crown.  Holy garbage batman!    

I really want to back the A's but I can't as the Tigers have the edge in every category and the A's home field advantage is even minimal at best with all those empty seats.  I am going to pass on this game and put out a  leam on the over 6.5 for those action junkies among us.   No reason just a hunch.      

I am done here...Good Luck Boys!!!

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#622
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:42:20 AM
@Angle

Sure buddy
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#623
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:42:23 AM
was going to take the full game under 7... but then i saw semps play and i couldnt bear the thought of the game going over in the 8th inning
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#624
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:45:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by crowat:

Love the info Semper, thanks!

Newfie / McShady any insight / plays on the NFL game tonight? Probably a few pages back but at this point it's hard to comb through for info.

Looks like a Titans line, but id wait for Newfie. 
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#625
Posted: 10/11/2012 11:50:24 AM

Thanks Semper as San Francisco has the momentum and pitching Cain and no Cueto for the Reds which has to hurt. Looks like making history today.

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