Messages

Forum Index : MLB Betting : Messages Page 22 of 31 «  20 21 22 23 24   »
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE PLAYOFFS... RD.1 OCT 5-12
js4u send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
js4u
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 618
Location:
#526
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:09:15 PM
semperfi19  May I ask why SF ML?  Doesn't the Reds own Zito?
quote
schiman send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Wynn Las Vegas |
schiman
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 138
Location: North Carolina
#527
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:26:54 PM
PLG - That's a great chase for the year and requires very little baseball knowledge (for guys like me ) ! 

I just ran this year's numbers for chasing the O/U for the grand Salami - if you chased the opposite side every night, you would had 91 chases, max bet would be 5 nights (so -19.3units w/ juice to hit 1 unit).   You're low on the year would have been -8units in early April and you're Oct 1 figure would have been +90 units. 

Supposing you couldn't stomach the 2K bet when your units are CNotes, and you restart after losing 3 times in a row.  You would still have been at 57 units on Oct 1.

Caveat - I don't have the actual salami lines, I just totaled the runs scored vs the game totals by day.  I believe the actual salami lines are about 8% higher than the sum of the totals.  Even factoring in 8% bumps and restarting after 3 losses still gives you about 30units in Oct....Hmm, worth a try next year.

quote
schiman send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Wynn Las Vegas |
schiman
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 138
Location: North Carolina
#528
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:30:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:


Yea. I threw up a bit when I saw the Eagles as a play




That's a great line!  Thanks for the details on the series plays.
quote
Moth61 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.ag |
Moth61
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 813
Location: California
#529
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:34:09 PM
Forgive my ignorance, but what is the grand salami. What are you actually betting?
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#530
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:40:54 PM
Ive Chased the Grand Salami for 2 years and its annoying and slow profit. Rain cnx happen every now and them to mess up a win. Alot of books cap it at max $500 bet
quote
semperfi19 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
semperfi19
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 2120
Location:
#531
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:47:14 PM
LOOKS LIKE CARDS +1/2 F5...CHICKEN DINNER!!!
quote
Moth61 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.ag |
Moth61
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 813
Location: California
#532
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:48:00 PM
Total runs in all games played that day?
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#533
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:49:27 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Moth61:

Total runs in all games played that day?

Yea. Most major sports post a GS
quote
ChipsNVouchers send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Mandalay Bay |
ChipsNVouchers
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 827
Location: Wyoming
#534
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:49:47 PM
McShady- what Prop are you considering today? I get a few, nowhere near the options you get, but always fun to play them.
Posted using a mobile device.
quote
semperfi19 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
semperfi19
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 2120
Location:
#535
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:50:45 PM

js4u

I just like the way the Giants play for Zito. Zito is a vet that will not get flustered in this must win situation on the road.  No stats nor trends to back me here.  Just a gut feeling that Zito gets it done 

quote
schiman send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Wynn Las Vegas |
schiman
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 138
Location: North Carolina
#536
Posted: 10/10/2012 2:51:10 PM
Good to know McShady.  That's why number calcs can never match up to the real thing!
quote
kinggeorge27
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
kinggeorge27
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2006
Posts: 3541
Location: United States
#537
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:06:12 PM
23 runners left on base so far in this Nats game. What the hockey sticks! Plate some people already!!


Ugh.
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#538
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:06:30 PM
Giants/Reds Prop - Total Bases 
Ludwick (-110) ov Belt
quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#539
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:13:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by schiman:

Good to know McShady.  That's why number calcs can never match up to the real thing!

Sent ya a PM
quote
Moth61 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.ag |
Moth61
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 813
Location: California
#540
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:26:56 PM

Giants/Reds Prop - Total Bases 

Here we go again!

quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#541
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:28:40 PM
Its not sexy, but I like it
quote
Skeptrix send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
Skeptrix
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1089
Location: Hawaii
#542
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:31:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Zweb0026:

Has anybody gotten the Sport Investor's picks today (www.thesportinvestor.com)?? My co-worker has won quite a bit of money using these guys, but he won't give me the picks. They seem to know what they are talking about, are winning a lot, and curious to see if anyone else has their picks??

I don't, but why don't you get it yourself, newb 
quote
SAILORJERRY send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
SAILORJERRY
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jun 2012
Posts: 22
Location:
#543
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:44:32 PM
Well, maybe the Cards will cover the over right here....

quote
J420 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
J420
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2012
Posts: 51
Location: Illinois
#544
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:48:00 PM
belt is benched for todays game
quote
mjnorman59 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mjnorman59
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 296
Location:
#545
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:49:24 PM
Late to the party today but took:

STL TT ov 3.5
STL ML

Score first trend in now 4-1 in AL and 5-1 away in the Div round (incl. ST/WAS today).  Last year was 8-1 AL and 6-4 NL for the Div round.

Going to chase the first to score for today SF and BAL. Will wait on DET/OAK if necessary.

Not a huge trend but Giants after an X inning win on the road this season are 1-3 SU (all losses by 1 run and F5 1-1-2) on the road but scored first all 4 games.

Gonzalez away starts since July, BAL has scored first 5-1.  Opponents scored first 4 out of 7 Kuroda starts at home since July.
quote
Moth61 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.ag |
Moth61
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 813
Location: California
#546
Posted: 10/10/2012 3:58:10 PM

Well, maybe the Cards will cover the over right here....

not looking good...

quote
McShady send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
McShady
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 2768
Location:
#547
Posted: 10/10/2012 4:12:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

Giants/Reds Prop - Total Bases 
Ludwick (-110) ov Belt

Bet CNX. Belt was pulled. Posey to 1st
quote
mjnorman59 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mjnorman59
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 296
Location:
#548
Posted: 10/10/2012 4:12:23 PM
Afternoon plays:

SF ML
SF Score first

quote
mjnorman59 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mjnorman59
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2009
Posts: 296
Location:
#549
Posted: 10/10/2012 4:16:09 PM
Damn...that was quick.  SF score first  wohoo!

As always...thx to all for the posts and insight on this thread.  Made my terrible first year seriously betting not as bad once I found this thread. 
quote
Moth61 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Sportsbook.ag |
Moth61
Participation Meter
Rookie
Joined: May 2012
Posts: 813
Location: California
#550
Posted: 10/10/2012 4:32:56 PM
Thanks MJ, I got it in just before game time.
quote
Forum Index : MLB Betting : Messages Page 22 of 31 «  20 21 22 23 24   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.