CHASE THE PLAYOFFS... RD.1 OCT 5-12

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE PLAYOFFS... RD.1 OCT 5-12
Angle4U999 PM Angle4U999
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Posted: 10/5/2012 1:00:50 AM
Welcome to the latest thread for MLB in honor of Semperfi and McShady! Let's keep this train rolling!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I can't wait to see which team or total to chase in playoffs!!!!!!!!

You don't get many sweeps in the playoffs, so if we get the right play, we will ROCK!!!!!!!!!!!



Okay guys, I'm definitely going with ATL -1.5 and the under whatever in the wild card game. Awaiting other opinions!

Will Texas continue to CHOKE? Any input appreciated!!!

Angle4U999 PM Angle4U999
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Posted: 10/5/2012 1:08:39 AM
Link to McShady's spreadsheet, just copy and paste! We don't have a choice anymore, no more direct links allowed according to covers.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AnPGLJS7rK4fdE5DOUo4SFFYTmNEdkRJZ1JxOXBhc0E&f=true&noheader=true&gid=19


Angle4U999 PM Angle4U999
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Posted: 10/5/2012 1:11:56 AM
From Covers moderators, if you missed this, we need everyone to know what is up!!! I am posting this for everyone's benefit!!!


"A big part of our ability to operate, update and moderate this forum at Covers.com comes from the relationship with our advertisers.  Recently those advertisers have begun to crackdown and set higher standards for content where their ads display on a daily basis.  In order to appease our advertisers who are very valuable to the future growth of this forum, we need to implement some updates to the Community Forum guidelines.
 
We love porn and nudity just as much as you, but any images, avatars & links containing nudity or pornographic material are now banned from the forum.

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Back to Angle, I hope everyone has read this and acts accordingly, I don't want to lose anyone because of this! Let's keep this going!

Angle out, will check in Friday afternoon.

Angle4U999 PM Angle4U999
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Posted: 10/5/2012 1:13:19 AM
Please anyone who finds the new thread here, please check in to make sure someone other than me has found the thread!

Goodnight all.
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 10/5/2012 3:09:33 AM
i'm here.
awdamaddix PM awdamaddix
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Posted: 10/5/2012 5:08:33 AM
I'm definitely lurking
shawty321 PM shawty321
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Posted: 10/5/2012 8:27:11 AM
I'm lurking the hell out of this thread
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jlc PM jlc
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Posted: 10/5/2012 8:50:10 AM
Im on the edge
campjenkins PM campjenkins
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Posted: 10/5/2012 9:11:18 AM
  

The entire free world seems to be on both home teams today from a sides perspective:  Braves and Rangers.

And, probably for good reason.  

Cardinals/Braves:  Medlen has been absolutely lights out on the mound for Atlanta in the second half (and the Braves tend to put up runs at a good clip when he pitches).  But, Lohse is no slouch either, and the Cardinals have definitely "been there, done that" in regards to big-time pressure spots in the postseason.  Though, obviously, St. Louis is missing some guy named Albert in the line-up this year (and no La Russa, either).

And, the Braves did win the season series with St. Louis 5-1.

Sets up to be a real pitchers duel on paper.  Nip and tuck throughout.  Semper does like the UNDER 7 in this match-up after all 

Orioles/Rangers:  On paper, this appears to be a HUGE pitching advantage for Texas.  While Darvish was arguably the Rangers best pitcher in the second half, Saunders has been the definition of mediocre since joining the O's, and he's been absolutely terrible in his career at Rangers Ballpark (0-6...9.38 ERA in six starts).

Not to mention, the Orioles are the only American League team that has never faced Darvish.  You'd think that'd be a huge feather in the cap for the pitcher, though it is Darvish's MLB postseason debut.

If you believe in chemistry/karma, you'd have to think the Orioles come into this match-up with a bit more positive vibes.  Regardless of what happens tonight, Baltimore has exceeded all expectations by a mile.  The pressure is definitely not on the O's...in a lot of ways they're playing with house money at this point.

The same cannot be said for the Rangers.  Almost everybody's pick to represent the American League in the World Series before the season, their free-fall down the stretch to lose the AL West was shocking and eye-opening across the board.  You'd think their massive playoff experience (back to back World Series appearances), would be a major asset to Texas tonight, but there's no doubt about it:  all of the pressure rests squarely on the Rangers.  And, who knows what their mindset is after the collapse in Oakland?

The Rangers did win the season series versus the Orioles 5-2, however.

Having said all of that, for some reason, I truly believe one of the road dogs gets it done today.  Probably a gut feeling, but I'm considering taking the Cardinals (+155) in the early game.  

If St. Louis hits, I'll call it a day.  If not, I'll take a chance with Orioles (+175...or whatever the line is around gametime).  A split does yield a decent profit.

McShady/Semper/Angle/Moth/Action/Rice/Shawty/Fernandes/Bike/
PTO/Awdamaddix/KingGeorge....anybody else like the idea of playing BOTH dogs?  Cardinals first, then if needed, Orioles?  I feel like that's where the value lies in today's match-ups, with the Road Dogs, and especially considering the different start times allows a play on the Cardinals before having to submit (or not submit) a play on the Orioles.  But, what do I know? 

Thanks for any feedback/input.  BOL today, fellas 
campjenkins PM campjenkins
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Posted: 10/5/2012 9:16:09 AM
Damn...just saw that Angle likes the Braves RL -1.5.  Somehow, I missed that before my long post 

Thanks again for making this the best thread on Covers, fellas 
ChipsNVouchers PM ChipsNVouchers
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Posted: 10/5/2012 9:24:17 AM
Good luck in the playoffs guys. I would love to see the Texas free fall continue today and hope that Chipper's career continues for another month. Putting my $ on Medlen and then the fighting Showalters.
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campjenkins PM campjenkins
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Posted: 10/5/2012 9:26:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ChipsNVouchers:

Good luck in the playoffs guys. I would love to see the Texas free fall continue today and hope that Chipper's career continues for another month. Putting my $ on Medlen and then the fighting Showalters.

BOL in the playoffs, Chips  
Denman9999 PM Denman9999
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Posted: 10/5/2012 9:51:27 AM
I'm here checking in!
McShady PM McShady
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Posted: 10/5/2012 10:06:07 AM
bikemcr PM bikemcr
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Posted: 10/5/2012 10:28:46 AM
Nice write-up camp. BOL .
Moth61 PM Moth61
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Posted: 10/5/2012 10:57:27 AM

Camp, welcome back. Remember, the thread is called "chase the dogs"...

If you watched the Ranger/A's game, the Rangers  looked absolutely horrible. Who do you think has the better bullpin, because that to me would be the game decider.  Any sign of trouble, and those starters are out.

 

Chrisiz PM Chrisiz
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Posted: 10/5/2012 11:06:01 AM
@chipsnvouchers yes I'm def. wit that would love to see Texas out of it and hell yea chipper awsome lol 
BOL
awdamaddix PM awdamaddix
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Posted: 10/5/2012 11:07:18 AM
Camp, I'm on the same page except my gut tells me orioles will take the w with Darvish feeling a little too much pressure. But I'm going to leave the discussions up to the big guys here!
awdamaddix PM awdamaddix
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Posted: 10/5/2012 11:16:44 AM
Sharing my parlay. Hit a 9er last week. Feel free to join the fun if you've got some loose change.

The 6
Bears under 40.5
Nyg ml
Chargers +3.5
Dolphins under 45
Steelers ml
Redskins +3

The 11.
Jags+6
Bears under 40.5
9ers under 44.5
Pats-7
Cleveland +8.5
Chargers +3.5
Dolphins under 45
Steelers-3.5
Redskins ml
Colts +7
Carolina over 43.5


McShady PM McShady
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Posted: 10/5/2012 11:37:41 AM
Only play I put in so far....

Prop Wager
ATL/STL (Team with the most hits) ATL -110
campjenkins PM campjenkins
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Posted: 10/5/2012 12:42:45 PM
Bike, Moth, Awdamaddix....thanks for the feedback, fellas. 

Moth...very good question concerning the bullpens.  A lot of stats/charts/metrics I've quickly glanced at rank the O's bullpen around number 5 in MLB and the Rangers right around number 13.  So, the Orioles probably have the better bullpen by a slight edge (and Johnson has been a phenomenal closer for Baltimore this season).

Hopefully, the Cardinals will beat the Braves in the early game and I can just enjoy the nightcap as a baseball fan  


semperfi19 PM semperfi19
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Posted: 10/5/2012 12:44:23 PM

Man....I have made more money on the fighting Showalters this year than any other team....The Rangers just have too much everything for them today...too much pitching, hitting, and playoff experience.  O's have an edge in the outfileld defense and on the bench...so....I am going to play O's F5  +1/2  100 to win 110.  Plus the under 5 F5  for 100 to win 100.

Staying with U6.5 in Braves/cards as well

Good Luck Boys 

 

 

 

McShady PM McShady
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Posted: 10/5/2012 12:56:58 PM
Hey Angle wins in Football last night!
bbkdta PM bbkdta
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Posted: 10/5/2012 1:00:57 PM
i like both dogs and under tonight. scary to pull but i already go with cards and under on that game. if it doesnt hit i probably going for orioles RL since buck must have something on his sleeve putting saunders to start, maybe he put saunders only to get josh out (could be the 2nd out of the 1st inning, or maybe the first. definitely won't be the 3rd out i think) and then put johnson in, O's pen > Rangers pen, and Yu should be able to go deep vs O's. Lean so far for 2nd game is Rags F5, Under, O's+1.5. any thoughts?
awdamaddix PM awdamaddix
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Posted: 10/5/2012 1:07:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

Hey Angle wins in Football last night!


Speak of that, are you guys still playing 2h porky system? Didn't hit the over 27 2h utah game. And last sunday, that system got me murdered.
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