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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: MLB Tuesday : 9.18.2012
SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 9/18/2012 10:54:55 AM

Man, it's been a while since I've been in these parts.  Good to see the bookie killers are still slaying the man.  Looking forward to the stretch run and MLB playoffs. 

Disclaimer: My mind is shifted to football with the only lingering baseball occupancy in my mind is fantasy.  I expect some rust as I get myself back into form

Just leans from now, but working from home so I'll be around.  Happy to get some chatter on any of the below or anything else on the board

Texas Rangers ML

Texas/Los Angeles OVER 7.5

Oakland/Detroit OVER 7.5

Chicago/Kansas City UNDER 8.5

Miami Marlins ML

Boston Red Sox ML

 

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#2
Posted: 9/18/2012 10:55:48 AM
,gL
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#3
Posted: 9/18/2012 10:56:11 AM
Angles under 7.5 here
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#4
Posted: 9/18/2012 11:17:19 AM

  SPAZ OUT  



Glad to see you making an appearance in the MLB area  -  Spazzy's Selections have been missed.


Best of Luck today buddy.    



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#5
Posted: 9/18/2012 11:43:07 AM
I like all of those except the Royals under and the Marlins moneyline.  My model shows value on both those overs and I consider my model a bit biased towards the under so I weigh over leans a little more heavily.  Red Sox have nothing to play for except beating up divisional rivals... Hellickson is a time bomb so there's great value in the Sox.
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#6
Posted: 9/18/2012 11:43:23 AM
https://docs.google.com/folder/d/0B8gd-be68XCvcThxV0dtXzBENlE/edit
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Posted: 9/18/2012 11:51:48 AM
gl
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#8
Posted: 9/18/2012 12:05:32 PM

LADaddy, perpetual - thanks guys

GiL - appreciate that buddy, good being back.  Glad to see you're still printing money

si1ly -  thanks for the link.  Going to take all my leans and match them up with your stats.  Glad to see you side with most of them.  The Chisox-Royals under is really a hunch.  Two starters with potential but never seem to put it all together.  I think Floyd is real good down the stretch.  Since returning from injury, he has only allowed 3 HRs in 40 innings compared to 17 in the previous 100.  Hochevar can and has been a gas can, but something tells me he does well enough today to match Floyd.

 

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#9
Posted: 9/18/2012 12:39:02 PM

Texas Rangers +128 (8 units to win 10.24)

Texas/Los Angeles OVER 7.5 (12 units to win 11.43)

Since 2008, Jared Weaver is 7-10 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in starts following ones where he allowed 0 earned runs over 7+ innings.  I don't like opposing Weaver, but I get the best team in the AL, possibly in baseball at + money against a starter who historically gets hit hard in the situation that is in play tonight.  Dempster has yearned to be relevant in the stretch run and help his team get to the postseason.  The Rangers are well on their way, but I think Dempster relishes the opportunity to pitch in a meaningful baseball game in September.  Add to this, the Angels absolutely demolished Dempster the last time he faced them, so surely a bit of personal redemption will be on Dempster's mind tonight.  Last season, Dempster was 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in starts against opponents who in his previous start against them allowed 5+ earned runs.  I'm cognizant that this could easily be a game where Weaver domiantes and Dempster gets lit up, but I'll invest that the situational value is with the Rangers and Dempster.

 

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#10
Posted: 9/18/2012 12:50:51 PM
On KC, take a look.
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#11
Posted: 9/18/2012 12:52:53 PM

bunny, I'll take a look, interested in your thoughts there.

Miami Marlins +132 (8 units to win 10.56)

 

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Posted: 9/18/2012 12:57:52 PM
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#13
Posted: 9/18/2012 1:00:03 PM
BOL
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#14
Posted: 9/18/2012 1:21:22 PM
Bol tonight buddy....
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#15
Posted: 9/18/2012 1:32:38 PM

thatsagoodone, halo, cap - thanks guys

Boston Red Sox +152 (6 units to win 9.12)

Chicago/Kansas City UNDER 8.5 (10 units to win 9.09)

 

 

 

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#16
Posted: 9/18/2012 1:49:00 PM
gl buddy, will be on the over in Anaheim also. Probably going to sell a half point and play it at 8 +119
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#17
Posted: 9/18/2012 2:00:41 PM

GL SDS

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#18
Posted: 9/18/2012 2:01:56 PM
bol
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#19
Posted: 9/18/2012 3:19:54 PM
Best of Luck 
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#20
Posted: 9/18/2012 3:54:45 PM
Spaz...
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#21
Posted: 9/18/2012 4:17:18 PM
like that LAA over
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#22
Posted: 9/18/2012 6:59:56 PM

Looks good Spaz

 

 

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#23
Posted: 9/18/2012 7:15:33 PM
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#24
Posted: 9/18/2012 7:27:09 PM
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#25
Posted: 9/18/2012 8:29:56 PM
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