Man, it's been a while since I've been in these parts. Good to see the bookie killers are still slaying the man. Looking forward to the stretch run and MLB playoffs.
Disclaimer: My mind is shifted to football with the only lingering baseball occupancy in my mind is fantasy. I expect some rust as I get myself back into form
Just leans from now, but working from home so I'll be around. Happy to get some chatter on any of the below or anything else on the board
Texas Rangers ML
Texas/Los Angeles OVER 7.5
Oakland/Detroit OVER 7.5
Chicago/Kansas City UNDER 8.5
Miami Marlins ML
Boston Red Sox ML
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Man, it's been a while since I've been in these parts. Good to see the bookie killers are still slaying the man. Looking forward to the stretch run and MLB playoffs.
Disclaimer: My mind is shifted to football with the only lingering baseball occupancy in my mind is fantasy. I expect some rust as I get myself back into form
Just leans from now, but working from home so I'll be around. Happy to get some chatter on any of the below or anything else on the board
I like all of those except the Royals under and the Marlins moneyline. My model shows value on both those overs and I consider my model a bit biased towards the under so I weigh over leans a little more heavily. Red Sox have nothing to play for except beating up divisional rivals... Hellickson is a time bomb so there's great value in the Sox.
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I like all of those except the Royals under and the Marlins moneyline. My model shows value on both those overs and I consider my model a bit biased towards the under so I weigh over leans a little more heavily. Red Sox have nothing to play for except beating up divisional rivals... Hellickson is a time bomb so there's great value in the Sox.
GiL - appreciate that buddy, good being back. Glad to see you're still printing money
si1ly - thanks for the link. Going to take all my leans and match them up with your stats. Glad to see you side with most of them. The Chisox-Royals under is really a hunch. Two starters with potential but never seem to put it all together. I think Floyd is real good down the stretch. Since returning from injury, he has only allowed 3 HRs in 40 innings compared to 17 in the previous 100. Hochevar can and has been a gas can, but something tells me he does well enough today to match Floyd.
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LADaddy, perpetual - thanks guys
GiL - appreciate that buddy, good being back. Glad to see you're still printing money
si1ly - thanks for the link. Going to take all my leans and match them up with your stats. Glad to see you side with most of them. The Chisox-Royals under is really a hunch. Two starters with potential but never seem to put it all together. I think Floyd is real good down the stretch. Since returning from injury, he has only allowed 3 HRs in 40 innings compared to 17 in the previous 100. Hochevar can and has been a gas can, but something tells me he does well enough today to match Floyd.
Texas/Los Angeles OVER 7.5 (12 units to win 11.43)
Since 2008, Jared Weaver is 7-10 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in starts following ones where he allowed 0 earned runs over 7+ innings. I don't like opposing Weaver, but I get the best team in the AL, possibly in baseball at + money against a starter who historically gets hit hard in the situation that is in play tonight. Dempster has yearned to be relevant in the stretch run and help his team get to the postseason. The Rangers are well on their way, but I think Dempster relishes the opportunity to pitch in a meaningful baseball game in September. Add to this, the Angels absolutely demolished Dempster the last time he faced them, so surely a bit of personal redemption will be on Dempster's mind tonight. Last season, Dempster was 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in starts against opponents who in his previous start against them allowed 5+ earned runs. I'm cognizant that this could easily be a game where Weaver domiantes and Dempster gets lit up, but I'll invest that the situational value is with the Rangers and Dempster.
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Texas Rangers +128 (8 units to win 10.24)
Texas/Los Angeles OVER 7.5 (12 units to win 11.43)
Since 2008, Jared Weaver is 7-10 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in starts following ones where he allowed 0 earned runs over 7+ innings. I don't like opposing Weaver, but I get the best team in the AL, possibly in baseball at + money against a starter who historically gets hit hard in the situation that is in play tonight. Dempster has yearned to be relevant in the stretch run and help his team get to the postseason. The Rangers are well on their way, but I think Dempster relishes the opportunity to pitch in a meaningful baseball game in September. Add to this, the Angels absolutely demolished Dempster the last time he faced them, so surely a bit of personal redemption will be on Dempster's mind tonight. Last season, Dempster was 3-0 with a 2.00 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in starts against opponents who in his previous start against them allowed 5+ earned runs. I'm cognizant that this could easily be a game where Weaver domiantes and Dempster gets lit up, but I'll invest that the situational value is with the Rangers and Dempster.
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