September Dogs - Starting with $4k

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: September Dogs - Starting with $4k
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#101
Posted: 9/15/2012 11:02:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

For today September 14th:

#929 Baltimore Orioles +138 ($59 to win $81.42) Lost
over the Oakland Athletics

Passing today.

New Bankroll: +$4,361.03
(from $4000)
pauliswilling PM pauliswilling
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quote#102
Posted: 9/15/2012 9:04:17 PM
Allright Herb,see you tomarow...I love free money! 
ticket#5292397
Sep 15 08:05 PM 
Sep 15 08:05 PM 
Internet09/15/2012 07:10 PM
MLB
MLB
parlay (2 teams)
[1977] 1H SEATTLE MARINERS +165
( J VARGAS -L / S FELDMAN -R )
[1977] TOTAL O5-120 (1H SEATTLE MARINERS Vrs 1H TEXAS RANGERS)
( J VARGAS -L / S FELDMAN -R )
ticket#5290734
Sep 15 07:12 PM 
Internet09/15/2012 06:40 PM
MLB
straight bet
[957] TOTAL O8½-115 (NEW YORK METS Vrs MILWAUKEE BREWERS)
( J MEJIA -R / S MARCUM -R )
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#103
Posted: 9/16/2012 11:36:34 AM
For Sunday, September 16th:

#929 Baltimore Orioles  +136 ($118 to win $160.48)
over the Oakland Athletics

*List: Wolf
pauliswilling PM pauliswilling
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quote#104
Posted: 9/16/2012 11:41:48 AM
I bet kansas city last night and then made another kansas city bet not realising I made the 1st one....I saw they were down 2-0 and when I signed on to my sb last night much to my surprise I was way up so had to look why.I stopped following the game when they were down 2-0 in the 8th.Was nice to see on top of those I showed you in the post above.Good luck today Herb.Going to stay off this game due to having the series thing going and feel ive jinxed them the past 2 days by playing them.
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#105
Posted: 9/16/2012 12:09:51 PM
Paul, here is some food for thought:

**The O's new starter, old timer Randy Wolf is one of MLB's most useful starters because as a Dog he's a whopping 40-29 +24.18 units in his career. Again, that's a 58% clip for a dog.

Why the Brewers traded him away and still want to pay his salary I do not know. Sure he's 7-17 this season and looks old and washed up. My opinion though is that Brewer's management doesn't know how to use him. In Buck though I trust. 

The A's now got a whopping increase in playoffs odds to 96.8% while the O's need to work today sitting at a 52.9% chance. 

Simply put, the effect of this particular game has much more impact on the O's than the A's. Precisely, if the O's lose they'll drop to 47% odds of playoffs and if they win they'll be sitting real nice at 63.7% chances. The worst the A's could fall to here is about 2% lower.

Worse bets have been made 
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#106
Posted: 9/16/2012 12:11:13 PM
"as a Dog he's a whopping 40-29 +24.18 units in his career. Again, that's a 58% clip for a dog."

*Sorry, very key typo here. I meant to add that it is that record
against plus .500 opponents. That's exactly why he's so useful.
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#107
Posted: 9/16/2012 1:49:22 PM
The Astros are my next closest Dog bet for today fyi.
halofan PM halofan
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quote#108
Posted: 9/16/2012 1:55:31 PM
BOL
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#109
Posted: 9/16/2012 7:56:21 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

The Astros are my next closest Dog bet for today fyi.

The lowly Astros beat Halladay SU. Go dogs.
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#110
Posted: 9/16/2012 7:57:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by herbshack:

For Sunday, September 16th:

#929 Baltimore Orioles  +136 ($118 to win $160.48) WINNER!
over the Oakland Athletics

*List: Wolf

New Bankroll: +$4,521.51
(from $4000)
gbpackman PM gbpackman
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quote#111
Posted: 9/16/2012 8:52:25 PM
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#112
Posted: 9/17/2012 11:38:37 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gbpackman:

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quote#113
Posted: 9/17/2012 12:30:32 PM
Any interest in CWS in the early game. Congrats on the recent success!
Denson7 PM Denson7
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quote#114
Posted: 9/17/2012 12:59:16 PM
Congrats on the hits and plays bro. You are doing a hard thing and doing it well. I always rely on heavy favorites to win some money back as my dogs don't always hit for me. You are in the Green, while just  betting dogs.
pauliswilling PM pauliswilling
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quote#115
Posted: 9/17/2012 5:56:37 PM
Hey herb,just wanted you to know I changed my mind and did play balty last night and played a decent size,way to go!
Pendo PM Pendo
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quote#116
Posted: 9/17/2012 6:46:06 PM
Gimme a 'D' for Denver
Gimme a 'D' for Dog
gbpackman PM gbpackman
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quote#117
Posted: 9/17/2012 7:54:45 PM
No picks today?
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#118
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:35:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by gbpackman:

No picks today?

Sorry yall; I'm passing today. I forgot to post up...but trust me if I had one I'd be here.

Anyways, my closest one is on Seattle (home dog) tonight, but I just don't know if I can bet against my O's. A little emotion involved there so maybe some of you will take a stab. 

Food for thought though: This season the O's are 45-36 55.6% +14.94 units off of a win. Usually a team is worth a second look when they're off a win (to fade), but Baltimore seems to be the freak team of 2012 that I don't want to bet against while they're rolling.
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#119
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:38:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Pendo:

Gimme a 'D' for Denver
Gimme a 'D' for Dog

 Yes. This could be close. A few beers deep, I've got the game on and ready for kickoff, but this is EXACTLY the kind of game I'd pass on betting. Too marquee.

Go Broncos though; for some reason I always hate how cock the Falcons get at home--and love when they get blown out at home. Peyton has a few things to prove I think more than anyone: he doesn't want to be old and washed up and go out all 'tarded like Brett recently did.
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#120
Posted: 9/17/2012 8:43:54 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Denson7:

Congrats on the hits and plays bro. You are doing a hard thing and doing it well. I always rely on heavy favorites to win some money back as my dogs don't always hit for me. You are in the Green, while just  betting dogs.

Thanks Denson. I've been doing this a long time, and will admit that while this is the prime time to bet dogs in the MLB season, we're sure as hell lucky hitting dogs at such a rate.

Take this to the bank though for the rest of your gambling career: The money is in what gives you that gut twister.

Example: What NFL play stunk the most last week? I'd say +13.5 against the New England Patriots at home. It ended in an upset. These are the sort of plays I like. No one thought Arizona had a chance here and they won SU!
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#121
Posted: 9/18/2012 5:27:00 PM
Looks like another passing day:

Current Bankroll: +$4,521.51
(from $4000)
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#122
Posted: 9/19/2012 12:10:31 PM
For Wednesday, September 19th:

#981 Toronto Blue Jays +196 ($61 to win $117.73)
over New York Yankees

(That's GM #1 @ 1:05 ET)
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#123
Posted: 9/19/2012 3:54:25 PM
Adding:

#979 Baltimore Orioles +140 ($122 to win $170.80)
over the Seattle Mariners
herbshack PM herbshack
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quote#124
Posted: 9/19/2012 3:55:36 PM
KC looks great today too if you're looking for another dog. The Yanks lucked out early today. Now they have the momentum for the night game in the dbl header so I'd lay off Toronto.
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quote#125
Posted: 9/19/2012 9:55:55 PM
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