September Dogs - Starting with $4k

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: September Dogs - Starting with $4k
pauliswilling PM pauliswilling
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Posted: 9/9/2012 10:16:52 AM
Maybe back to kansas city and colorado today,whats your picks today Herbshack? By the way I accepted your request. Gl!
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/9/2012 11:15:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Docdulac:

Go Doggy..Go Doggy..

Woff woof 
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/9/2012 11:21:30 AM
Nothing today guys. My closest doggie is Texas +138

They don't fully check though. I haven't been trusting them off of a win this season; they are 43-39 (52.4%, -15.31 units, +12.5% roi fade). 

To be fair though, only 5 of those 82 games include matchups where Texas was a dog. The 5 games were all on the road and they were 2-3 -0.94 units. 

Passing in MLB today, but I've got a big dog in NFL that I'm hoping will get to a key mark....hint hint: 14 points.
pauliswilling PM pauliswilling
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Posted: 9/9/2012 12:45:58 PM
well..im going with Kc and Colo today..gl!
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/9/2012 4:08:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pauliswilling:

well..im going with Kc and Colo today..gl!

I can see why you'd like the Rockies, but I'm not sure about KC. Any particular reason you like the two? 
pauliswilling PM pauliswilling
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Posted: 9/9/2012 7:31:52 PM
As I told you ..Kansas city owns the sox this year,should have just lisdtened and played and as for the rockies..I should have speciefied the lower line game which is playing now
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 11:24:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pauliswilling:

As I told you ..Kansas city owns the sox this year,should have just lisdtened and played and as for the rockies..I should have speciefied the lower line game which is playing now

You're right, the Royals are now 10-5 +8.35 units against the Sox. Better record when in Chicago. 
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 11:29:53 AM
For dogs I like the Cubs and the Marlins...the Marlins a little better. My best play though is St. Louis on the -1 Runline:

#913 St. Louis Cardinals -1 +115 ($55 to win $63.25)
over the San Diego Padres
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 11:30:38 AM
Current Bankroll: +$4,204.20
(From $4000)
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 11:37:34 AM
Since 2011, the Cardinals are 36-23 +9.51 units when on a 2-4 game losing streak. Same premise, scoured another way: Since 2011, they are 45-22 (67.1%) +20.52 units after having lost 3 or 4 out of their last 4 games. Time for a snap...
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 11:49:15 AM
As for the Cubs, today their opponent (who is inherently quite bad) may be getting caught in a let down spot: This season, the Houston Astros are only 13-47 -27.79 units (+23.8% roi fade) after two or more straight road games. If the 'Stros ended a road trip (2+ games on the road) and are now playing at home that's 3-7 (-1.2 rpg, -4 units, +27.5% roi fade).
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 11:59:38 AM
As for the Miami Marlins, less than 25% of the public bets like then and yet Philadelphia has no playoff hopes. The Marlins are a road team off of a win and in late regular season (>=September and no playoffs), that's 424-439 +41.35 units since 2008. That's 312-290 (now dogs above .500 in a 500+ game sample) +71.82 units in division games.

Specifically though for this matchup, Miami's opponent today, the Philadelphia Phillies are just 10-17 -12.96 units in home division games. 


herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 12:04:29 PM
Add the two dogs woof woof:

#901 Miami Marlins +134 ($25 to win $33.50)
over the Philadelphia Phillies

#907 Chicago Cubs +107 ($25 to win $26.75)
over the Houston Astros


mrod112 PM mrod112
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Posted: 9/10/2012 12:15:45 PM
bcn PM bcn
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Posted: 9/10/2012 6:05:50 PM

 

bcn PM bcn
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Posted: 9/10/2012 6:05:51 PM

 

herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/10/2012 11:57:17 PM
#901 Miami Marlins +134 ($25 to win $33.50) Lost
over the Philadelphia Phillies

#907 Chicago Cubs +107 ($25 to win $26.75) WINNER
over the Houston Astros

+0.07 units there. Cardinals look like a flubber...
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/11/2012 9:57:21 AM
Current Bankroll: +$4,150.95
(From $4000)
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/11/2012 10:02:23 AM
#975 Kansas City Royals +125 ($110 to win $137.50)
over Minnesota Twins

-KC is 12-4 (+1.4 rpg, +11.53 units, +72.0% roi) this season after a division win as a dog now as a dog again.
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/11/2012 4:37:00 PM
ARI, MIL and WAS all look good, but KC is my best one for today.
pauliswilling PM pauliswilling
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Posted: 9/11/2012 5:17:18 PM
Ill ride with you on K.c and Im picking Pitt to do a repeat of the last time Correa/Leake faced each other in a 2 team parlay..GL!
whitesnake1983 PM whitesnake1983
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Posted: 9/11/2012 5:26:35 PM
You really think Correa has a chance in that game? I was thinking more it's time the Red Sox win a game or 2...Also the Orioles with Hammel? I am going to play Red Sox/Washington/KC parlay...GL everyone!
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/11/2012 9:20:12 PM
Royals up 4-0 in Minny. MIL trying to close out with a 1-0 lead in the 5th.  WAS 3-2 man on no outs top of the 8th. The dogs are barking. Hope they can hang on. 3-0 would be good here, but I'm still going to take ARI and fade kershaw with those broken hips against Kennedy as our last one tonight.
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/11/2012 9:21:23 PM
*Zona's Ian Kennedy is 21-4 SU (+2.1 rpg, +17.68 units since 2011 against division opponents. He's actually never been a Division home dog, and there is a reason he finally is today: Clayton Kershaw. But take a look at Kershaw: he's only 5-7 -6.65 units this season as a division favorite. Kershaw missed last Sunday's game with a hip injury; I wouldn't trust him on the road in a practically needless win: the Dodgers have a 90%+ shot right now at the playoffs. Maybe I'm wrong though, Kershaw is great, but I've never seen how he does injured / recovering.
herbshack PM herbshack
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Posted: 9/11/2012 9:24:51 PM
#964 Arizona Diamondbacks +124 ($57 to win $70.68)
over the Los Angeles Dodgers

List: Kennedy / Kershaw
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