|Kinda liking this ATL RL deal. The
first day I hit BALTY -1.5 at +170. Then later that night lost SEA ATL
RL -2.5 +400 but I only risked 0.25 units on that one as a lil action
play. Then I hit the MUTS -2.5 +325 against STL on Wednesday afternoon
and dropped a unit on SEA later than night. And I did lose 1 more unit
Thursday afternoon on MIL -2.5 but got it back with BALTY -2.5 +325 vs
the YANKS last night. So all in all they're 3-3 +5.95 units after a few
days of tinkering with it.
Posted: 9/7/2012 2:53:09 PM
falling in love with them but in certain spots I think I'll give'em a
poke,especially with teams that like the long ball and can put those
crooked numbers up. Or against horrid teams and teams that have packed
it in for the year like,CHIC,HOU,T.O,BOS ect.
for example PIT -2.5 +190 against the Grubbies may make the card.
Burnett (picked him up for a spot start) has been rock solid at home
with a 2.94 era,8-2 rec,73 K's to 23 BB's in 85.5 IP and is holding
opposing batters to a .234 avg. Also he's owned the CUBS this year with a
2-0 rec in 2 starts (1 home 1 away) 14.1 scoreless innings allowing
only 7 hits and 4 BB's while K'ing 14 and holding CHIC to an ugly .140
goes for CHIC and he hasn't been horrid but when you play for the cubs a
road era of 4.36 and an opposing b.a of .247 and 37 K's to 21 BB's will
only get you a 2-6 rec in 9 starts. Also his young looks to be totally
gassed. Check out his pre & post all star splits.
Pre: 62 IP over 10 starts for a 4-3 record,3.05 era and .208 opponent batting avg
Post:58.1 IP over 10 starts for an 0-8 record,6.33 era and .279 opponent batting avg
sure how I'm gonna play this yet but right now I see the -1.5 is
even,-2.5 is +190 and -3.5 is +300 and for the daring/crazy -4.5 +450.
Also leaning towards using WASH & CIN ML's with PIT ML in a couple
of vig busters. Just not a big fan of laying that -200 on S.U plays. I
do it about once every 6 months and quickly get reminded of why it's
been 6 months since I did it last.