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[MLB Betting] Topic: Has anyone seen a line with this much juice? Det -360ML -150 RL tomorrow! |
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Bruins455 |
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#1 Posted: 8/22/2012 10:53:55 PM 
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BarcsHasBite |
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#2 Posted: 8/22/2012 10:57:13 PM
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EazyFBaby |
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#3 Posted: 8/22/2012 10:58:05 PM
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weeble5672 |
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#4 Posted: 8/22/2012 10:59:46 PM
Here's the thing, though. What if Verlander goes out and gets hurt after 2 batters? Not likely, I know. So then what if Happ has another decent start and it's 2-1 Detroit after 7 innings and Verlander gets pulled. Then you have to hope that the bullpen can hold down the fort.
My point is that it's easy to forget that you're not just betting on a starting pitcher.
Yes...the odds are highly likely that the Tigers win...that's why the line is so gosh darn high. But if it were as easy as picking the best team on paper, we ALL would gladly lay that dough to pick up some extra cash. 
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Bruins455 |
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#5 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:16:07 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by EazyFBaby:
jeez i have -305 on mine... not worth it in my opinion it is baseball after all
ya I noticed other books have it better but sportsinteraction opened up at that price which really is ridiculous, and great points weebs.... if happ pitches good all jays need is even a walk, hit, and 3 run shot from Encarnacion which certainly cap happen
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#6 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:19:38 PM
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slowphenomenon |
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#7 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:20:13 PM |
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ohmyyikes |
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#8 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:21:39 PM 
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slowphenomenon |
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#9 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:23:25 PM |
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KktdocT |
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#10 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:25:03 PM
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diondimucci |
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#11 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:30:00 PM
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#12 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:30:18 PM
Conversely Keuchel is horrible, playing for a horrible team. And the Cardinals do very well vs. LHP as it is. Even if Westbrook allows 2-3 runs it won't matter if the Cardinals have 8. At least that's how it plays out in my head 
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Albertcore |
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#13 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:32:11 PM
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Albertcore |
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#14 Posted: 8/22/2012 11:36:28 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by KktdocT:
that is it, the Jays is a hit for tomorrow.
 Why doc?
No escobar, Cooper, Rasmus is hitting 172 since the All-Star break, Verlander, comerica park, The tigers are pretty solid at day games
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Bruins455 |
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#15 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:05:34 AM
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football_007 |
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#16 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:13:40 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by KktdocT:
that is it, the Jays is a hit for tomorrow.
Don't do it.
Tigers win this garbage but even so I would not lay -300.  |
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WhySoSucK |
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#17 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:18:58 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by ohmyyikes: The Cardinals for Westbrook is -290...geezus, he ain't no Verlander! RL is -140!!!
i'm pretty sure the blow jays can still beat the shitros.
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Sparky10191 |
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#18 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:26:24 AM |
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KktdocT |
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#19 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:30:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Albertcore: Why doc? No escobar, Cooper, Rasmus is hitting 172 since the All-Star break, Verlander, comerica park, The tigers are pretty solid at day games
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As you already know, games that look too easy, are in fact, too hard. Yes, the Tigers have a higher chances of winning. But, in gambling everything is 50/50, mate. You would know this.
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KktdocT |
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#20 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:31:17 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by football_007:
Don't do it.
Tigers win this garbage but even so I would not lay -300.
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that's what they say about the Mets vs the Rockies. And, I hit them hard @ +215, remember?
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#21 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:33:17 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by weeble5672: Personally, I don't care how lopsided a matchup is in every way. There's just no way you could ever convince me that laying that kind of chalk on a team is even remotely a wise decision. But that's just MY opinion. Here's the thing, though. What if Verlander goes out and gets hurt after 2 batters? Not likely, I know. So then what if Happ has another decent start and it's 2-1 Detroit after 7 innings and Verlander gets pulled. Then you have to hope that the bullpen can hold down the fort. My point is that it's easy to forget that you're not just betting on a starting pitcher. Yes...the odds are highly likely that the Tigers win...that's why the line is so gosh darn high. But if it were as easy as picking the best team on paper, we ALL would gladly lay that dough to pick up some extra cash.
Orioles were +240 against Verlander last week. And they led 3-1 in the 6th. Yes they lost but they could have so easily won (I had 10 bucks on them!)
The point being, in ANY baseball game at this level a pitcher has the potential to throw a gem. Or for Verlander to have one bad innings, or even a good innings where a flukey grand slam gets hit.
I'll have $10 on the Jays tomorrow. They either win or lose by a stack. Pinnacle does -2.5 RL; that is the only other option on this game.... |
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wehere |
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#22 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:34:00 AM |
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#23 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:40:56 AM
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JFen31 |
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#24 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:43:12 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by wehere:
this is a trap
Why? Because squares would still play Verlander up to -500?
Traps don't exist. Only those who do not understand perception believe in them.
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#25 Posted: 8/23/2012 12:51:46 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:
Why? Because squares would still play Verlander up to -500?
Traps don't exist. Only those who do not understand perception believe in them.
Traps exist to gamblers that don't have enough information or insight to properly cap a game. We both know this is a significant portion of the gambling public. If it feels like a trap to them and they don't know why, it's probably still a good thing if they lay off the game.
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