Money Ball, Saturday 8-18-2012

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Money Ball, Saturday 8-18-2012
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/18/2012 11:32:21 AM

4-0-1, +485 Friday gives us 16-8-1, +987 for the week and if anyone on this site or anywhere else is hitting 67% with an average winning line of +124 I wish he would step forward and introduce himself. Very few Covers posters ever hit 67% picking medium to large favorites. ‘nuff said.

5 Inning Plays

White Sox -147, (Peavy / Chen)

Giants-Padres Over 4, -105, (Zito / Stults)

9 Inning Plays

White Sox -1.5, +110, (Peavy / Chen)

Pirates-Cardinals Over 8, -115 (Bedard / Lynn)

Orioles-Tigers Over 9.5, -110 (Britton / Porcello)

Giants-Padres Over 7.5, -110, (Zito / Stults)

BOL

All plays are a flat 100 units. Lines are current at 5 Dimes or BetOnline as I type the plays

5 Inning YTD: 83-92-19, -146 9 Inning YTD: 153-139-1, +3,555 NET. +3,409 (+7.3 % RoR)

Teaser78 PM Teaser78
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Posted: 8/18/2012 11:37:47 AM
 great job ... you have all my respect and props .. you are killing the books ..wish I got on board earlier ...
si1ly PM si1ly
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Posted: 8/18/2012 11:44:45 AM
Stay hot Key.  Love what you do.  Brass balls.
cardifkill PM cardifkill
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Posted: 8/18/2012 11:45:58 AM


Sf/Sd over looking good, as it is 4:30 pm start. It has been hotter and drier then all hell lately in SD, so the ball should be jumping.
Jeeves PM Jeeves
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Posted: 8/18/2012 11:51:56 AM
GL today Key

Cheers
KktdocT PM KktdocT
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Posted: 8/18/2012 11:54:42 AM
GL, mate.
lltb43 PM lltb43
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:05:35 PM

Good morning Key,

I have to disagree with you on the KC-CWS full game. For some reason the Royals get up for the White Sox and I think they do the same thing tonight. I think you have a chance at the 1st Five innings but I believe the Royals win outright or lose by just one. I would love to see you go 5-1 tonight (as I have taken the Royals +1.5 ).

KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:07:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cardifkill:



Sf/Sd over looking good, as it is 4:30 pm start. It has been hotter and drier then all hell lately in SD, so the ball should be jumping.
That sir is a very good observation. The perception of the West Coast parks as under oriented parks is normally true, but hot, dry weather and daylight games, before he Marine Layer moves in, change the prospectus of those parks radically. In spite of that the totals are set relatively low because the linemakers and books have to accommodate the perceptions of the majority of bettors.
 
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:14:04 PM
U r hot.  So is SJSharks99, Si1ly and a few can not recall at the top of my head.  Some are probably one time wonders, time will tell.  You guys do the research and crank out the numbers.  Fadestat uses a sheet from a friend that he has been giving winners in MLB an d NFL.  Never heard of a sheet giving out daily winners.  NFLx has been 7-2 as of yesterday from him.
kjmontalv PM kjmontalv
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:17:08 PM
Keep it rolling Key You are one of the few cappers I check in on daily. thanks for all the hard work
jezhead PM jezhead
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:17:24 PM
ratbastard PM ratbastard
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:22:14 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cardifkill:



Sf/Sd over looking good, as it is 4:30 pm start. It has been hotter and drier then all hell lately in SD, so the ball should be jumping.


I'm seeing it as an 8:30 start??
ratbastard PM ratbastard
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:22:41 PM
Nice run Key! Keep it up. 
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:26:21 PM
Nuggetmonster is good but usually I miss his plays as he releases them late like 30 min. Prior and Weebles has good picks too but lots to choose from.  So many others and will change from sport to sport.  JFen was killing it in CBB!
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:31:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ratbastard:



I'm seeing it as an 8:30 start??
Local time will be 5:35 PM. You must be looking at EDT
ShadowWarrior PM ShadowWarrior
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:33:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ShadowWarrior:

U r hot.  So is SJSharks99, Si1ly and a few can not recall at the top of my head.  Some are probably one time wonders, time will tell.  You guys do the research and crank out the numbers.  Fadestat uses a sheet from a friend that he has been giving winners in MLB an d NFL.  Never heard of a sheet giving out daily winners.  NFLx has been 7-2 as of yesterday from him.

Sorry, just checked NFL forum, Fades record in NFLx is 8-0!  I know, hard to believe from a friend's newsletter, 4-0 yesterday, I know because I had one of them, Vikings.
NastyNate9 PM NastyNate9
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:37:09 PM
Keep Rollin' Key 
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/18/2012 12:45:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by ShadowWarrior:

U r hot.  So is SJSharks99, Si1ly and a few can not recall at the top of my head.  Some are probably one time wonders, time will tell.  You guys do the research and crank out the numbers.  Fadestat uses a sheet from a friend that he has been giving winners in MLB an d NFL.  Never heard of a sheet giving out daily winners.  NFLx has been 7-2 as of yesterday from him.
You know, there are about 5, maybe 7 other handicappers in the MLB Forum I actually have respect for and you will find one common trait among us all. We are workers, not guessers or "likers". Sort of like successful people in most of life's endeavors. The rest of the forum could stop posting and be followers and be better off, but it ain't going to happen, and Thank God for that. Without losers the books would not have money to pay the winners. They don't do it out of their own pockets.
ratbastard PM ratbastard
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Posted: 8/18/2012 1:28:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Local time will be 5:35 PM. You must be looking at EDT


Oops..my bad. I'll be alright! An early football scrimmage this morning.. a little tired I guess!
kinggeorge27 PM kinggeorge27
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Posted: 8/18/2012 1:51:49 PM
BOL Key, like the plays...on the Pale Hose and Padres over as well. 
motorcitymama PM motorcitymama
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Posted: 8/18/2012 1:56:27 PM
keep up the great work! Thanks for sharing your picks....
Stew Baker PM Stew Baker
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Posted: 8/18/2012 2:07:11 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KeyElement:

That sir is a very good observation. The perception of the West Coast parks as under oriented parks is normally true, but hot, dry weather and daylight games, before he Marine Layer moves in, change the prospectus of those parks radically. In spite of that the totals are set relatively low because the linemakers and books have to accommodate the perceptions of the majority of bettors.
 
What time does the Marine layer move in?
tafter12 PM tafter12
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Posted: 8/18/2012 2:13:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KeyElement:

You know, there are about 5, maybe 7 other handicappers in the MLB Forum I actually have respect for and you will find one common trait among us all. We are workers, not guessers or "likers". Sort of like successful people in most of life's endeavors. The rest of the forum could stop posting and be followers and be better off, but it ain't going to happen, and Thank God for that. Without losers the books would not have money to pay the winners. They don't do it out of their own pockets.


Very well said, Key.  BOL 


Denverb PM Denverb
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Posted: 8/18/2012 2:36:38 PM
KeyElement PM KeyElement
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Posted: 8/18/2012 2:39:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Stew Baker:

What time does the Marine layer move in?
During sunset, but the lower the sun gets it progresses exponentially. When they have to turn the lights on you can figure it underway, but won't be a problem for at least another half hour. After 7 P.M. starts are most effected.
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