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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SJSharks - Wednesday Bases
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#1
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:21:15 AM
Tuesday: 1-3, been a cold start to the week, completely opposite of last week. I might have to call my work and request night shifts again because that extra time was really paying off. I have a little more time for this card, so hopefully that pays off.


23-17 Last 40



Season
: 120-127-3
ML: 68-69
RL: 14-11
Totals: 28-34-2 (not touching these for a while)
Props: 10-13-1




Wednesday Bases


Pirates ML (-120)
: Jumping back on this train, they let me down on the series opener which led me to stupidly over look a golden opportunity in game two of the series on Tuesday. An action bet had a very good chance of having the Pirates vs. a Dempster less Cubs and that's exactly what happen, oh well my fault for missing it. That being said, I don't wanna miss Wednesday's opportunity to fade the garbage out of Travis Wood the Cubs slated starter. This guy has been AWFUL in every start since the all star game and has surrendered 6 runs and 8 runs (twice) in his last 3 starts. He is 0-3 with a 12.64 era in those starts. This season at home he is 2-3 with an era in the 6s, and during day games he has an era in the 5s. He also has surrendered 12 homers in 6 home starts this season. This play is a pure fade of Travis Wood and I really don't see the Pirates leaving Wrigley without taking the 3 game series.


Yankees RL (+110): I am fully aware of the fact the Yankees are w/o the likes of A-Rod and Mark, but they have proven they can put up runs with out them. They have plenty of offensive power in that line up. The Yankees need a big win to gain some of their mojo back and I like there chances off a strong outing from Hughes. This will be a day start and id imagine we will see lots of homers from the Bronx Bombers. The Orioles offense has been one of the most inconsistent all year. I honestly feel like will lay and egg in this one vs Hughes. Hughes has some solid numbers against the O's biggest threats. Adam Jones is 4-25 batting .160 with only 1 homer, Matt Wieters is 4-17 batting .230, Jim Thome has minimal experience (1-4) vs Hughes. On the other side the Yankees will get to take advantage of Zach Britton. He has surrendered 4 runs or more in 5 of his last 6 outings dating back to the end of the 2011 campaign. He will be making just his 4th start this season and is coming off a poor performance against the A's. I think the Yankees get to him quick and often and I wouldn't be surprised if this turned into a blow out win for the Yankees.


Cardinals ML (-125): What's not to like about this spot for the Cardinals. They are the #1 team in the league against left handed pitching and on Wednesday's contest they will face a young lefty in Drew Pomeranz. The young south paw got off to a good start and posted 2 very impressive outings against the Phillies and Nationals. However the wheels have fallen off big time lately. He is era in his last 3 starts is 10.12 in 3 losing starts. He has good stuff but his downfall is consistency. That's to be expected at a young age and it doesn't make it easier when you pitch at the #1 offensive park in the league. He will have a very very tall order in trying to stop the Cardinals who have crushed lefties all year. The Cards as a team are hitting an impressive .317 in the last 10 games vs. Lefties. On the other side taking the hill for the Cards will be Jake Westbrook, and he has been pitching pretty good lately. In his last 3 outings he is 2-1 with a solid 2.95 era. This season he has preferred and done better on the road then at home. His road era this season is a solid 3.19. The Cards have also loved to hand this guy plenty of run support, with a team average of 7 runs per game in his last 3 outings. I just don't see how any of this all changes heading into Wednesday's contest and Id imagine the Cardinals should and will roll here.


Braves RL (+120): The Braves are hot right now and the management has shown they want to win this year by making a nice move to bring in 2 quality pieces (Malholm and Johnson). This team has to be feeling good in the clubhouse right now and they get the luxury of some home cooking going for the sweep of the biggest disappointment of the year... the Miami Marlins. The Marlins have waved the white flag on this year and cannot wait for this awful season to end. In the series finale against the Braves they will be sending reliever Wade LeBlanc to make a spot start. That's not exactly nice of them considering he will face a very confident group who is playing good ball haha. LeBlanc has only gone more then an inning 1 time this entire season. LeBlanc has been solid coming out of the bullpen, but I don't like his chances of multiple innings of success vs this Braves squad. I honestly could stop there, but ill keep going. The Braves will be sending Ben Sheets to the hill on Wednesday and he has been absolutely dominating since his return to the bigs. Ive watched all 3 of his starts and you can honestly tell he is giving it all he can and laying it all out on the field to make this comeback a success and so far it's work in a big way. In the 3 starts this year Sheets has a 0.50 era and has allowed just 1 run. Those 3 starts weren't against bottom feeders either. His debut was a scoreless shutout vs a Mets team who was playing good at the time, he then went into Washington and cooled off a very hot Nationals team, and finally he made another great home outing shutting down a Phillies team who had all of there offensive weapons in the line up during that game. I love his chances of continued success at home vs a Marlins team who via trade and injury is missing so many key bats. In the last 5 games the Marlins are batting just .217 against righties. I expect Sheets to have another solid performance, handing the ball over to a reliable bullpen with a nice lead, and the Braves to cover the RL for + money without much of a sweat.




I had a couple leans for totals, but totals have been so unpredictable lately and have cost me profits, so I am starring clear of them for the time being.

Best of luck on HUMP day!!!
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#2
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:24:42 AM
lol starring... obv meant steering
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#3
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:27:43 AM
BOL man! So happy about picking up pence I think he thrives in SF new clubhouse new city new pence! I feel he will revert to the consistent player he was back in Houston and I couldn't be happier about this move even losing a long time giant in Nate! Go giants!!!
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#4
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:30:20 AM
LOL.  Are our brains connected or something?

I just posted Pirates, Cards, and Braves -1 (I don't play RL).

I also want to play the Yanks -1, but I don't like the value at present.  I think people will bet the O's after seeing them win the first two which could give me a better Yankee line in the morning.  We'll see.

Either way BOL to us
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#5
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:30:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by txtechpika:

BOL man! So happy about picking up pence I think he thrives in SF new clubhouse new city new pence! I feel he will revert to the consistent player he was back in Houston and I couldn't be happier about this move even losing a long time giant in Nate! Go giants!!!



I was always a big fan of Nate, but we had to do something. If we would have sat and watched the Dodgers make all of those moves w/o doing anything. It would have sent the wrong message to the team and to the fans. I think Pence will be a good addition, I can't wait for Panda to return. How does... Pagan, Theriot, Cabrera, Posey, Sandoval, Pence, Scutaro, Crawford sound... I dig it!!!
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#6
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:32:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by spidermonkey224:

LOL.  Are our brains connected or something?

I just posted Pirates, Cards, and Braves -1 (I don't play RL).

I also want to play the Yanks -1, but I don't like the value at present.  I think people will bet the O's after seeing them win the first two which could give me a better Yankee line in the morning.  We'll see.

Either way BOL to us



haha that's awesome... that's usually a very good thing bro, I think we will kick behind tomorrow... good teams and good value... let's do this!!!!
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#7
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:34:03 AM
Careful on the Yankees.  Baseball is a streaky sport and the Orioles are heading in the right direction while the Yankees are not.  The Yanks might be able to put up runs but so should the Orioles who are seeing the ball very well.  
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#8
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:38:43 AM
Holy crap your card looks a lot like mine!  I haven't finalized my picks yet but those look great to me
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#9
Posted: 8/1/2012 1:45:43 AM
I think the Yankees line will not move in our favour.  The public will see they are 0-2 in this series and think "they MUST win the next one surely".  Get it now I reckon....
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#10
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:04:05 AM
@ LAGame: I've watched the O's alot this season and just when you thought you had them pegged, they give you that head scratcher performance. The Os have been a good "spot" team to play this year and I've been able to make good money on them in those games. I just honestly feel they are due to lay an egg like they have shown they like to due all year when you least expect it. If I'm wrong, I'll live with it, but I really feel they get rolled here.
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#11
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:05:09 AM
Haha Pasteaur, that's a good sign!!!
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#12
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:07:31 AM
@ jules, I agree... Any Yankees play should be locked in now. The line will only go up on them to avoid being swept at home
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#13
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:13:59 AM

 Love the RL'S............ I  hit a grip today!

GL!

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#14
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:18:27 AM
Nice whale watcher!!! RLs have treated me okay, hopefully I can get a couple on Wednesday
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#15
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:23:38 AM
Yuck on the Yanks!  I don't know if I can play them again so quickly...
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#16
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:25:45 AM
Nice write-up, by the way
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#17
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:27:53 AM
I don't necessarily blame you... Im just playing a specific angle on this one against the O's. Its worked well so far for me. So I'm rolling with it
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#18
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:28:42 AM
Thanks... I always try and do a write up for the reasoning behind my plays
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#19
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:35:24 AM
Love the card.

I'm probrably going to go NYY TT Over. STL TT Over. Just to dodge the RL extra point and juice on ML.

Pomeranz is a joke, AND a lefty. Stl should murder.
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#20
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:39:04 AM
Thanks awdamaddix... I thought about the NYY/STL totals but I honestly dont wanna touch anything with the word total involved right now haha
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#21
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:51:36 AM


I'm pretty bad at totals too! I've got consistency with scores in the first though. Woo!

BOL tomorrow Sj!
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#22
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:55:51 AM
BOL buddy
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#23
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:56:43 AM
@ awadamix - it's all about finding what's working for you and rolling with it. Keep it up man!!
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#24
Posted: 8/1/2012 2:57:08 AM
Thanks Hustler... GL on the diamond Wednesday
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#25
Posted: 8/1/2012 3:03:53 AM

NYY is tempting. They gotta win. Hopefully sooner than later, andby sooner I mean2morrow

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