Messages

Forum Index : MLB Betting : Messages Page 1 of 4  1 2 3 4  
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 7/29 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#1
Posted: 7/28/2012 11:59:40 PM


7-29





quote
KingScorpio
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
KingScorpio
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 17945
Location: Nevada
#2
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:00:32 AM

STL

K.C.

quote
KingScorpio
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
KingScorpio
Participation Meter
MVP
Joined: Nov 2005
Posts: 17945
Location: Nevada
#3
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:02:34 AM
Liriano was traded
quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#4
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:03:44 AM


Leans:

STL (-150)

CIN (-165)

HOU (+130)


quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#5
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:04:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

Liriano was traded

Yeah, I just saw that, I'll fix the sheet in the morning when they announce the replacement starter.
quote
dcgmt send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
dcgmt
Participation Meter
Captain
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 5554
Location:
#6
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:04:55 AM
quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#7
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:05:18 AM
St. Louis and Cincinnati look like no-brainers.  Can anybody make a compelling argument why not to take these two teams tomorrow in some way shape or form.
quote
DanTos8715 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
DanTos8715
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 10208
Location: Michigan
#8
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:10:42 AM
It just told me that there were too many people trying to view the document 
quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#9
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:13:58 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DanTos8715:

It just told me that there were too many people trying to view the document 

Yeah, a lot of people have had this problem lately.  I emailed customer support at Google to get an explanation on the bandwidth limit on Google Drive and to see if I can get that lifted somehow.  I'm doing everything I can to keep the files small, they're only 100 KB each.  I'm sorry about this inconvenience.
quote
DanTos8715 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
DanTos8715
Participation Meter
All-Star
Joined: Sep 2009
Posts: 10208
Location: Michigan
#10
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:15:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

St. Louis and Cincinnati look like no-brainers.  Can anybody make a compelling argument why not to take these two teams tomorrow in some way shape or form.

Just depends on if some freak lineup gets put out there.  What if Holliday and a few others rest.  I've seen stranger things.
quote
muchogusto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
muchogusto
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 209
Location: New Jersey
#11
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:17:17 AM
Not like you dont have this info, but just something to look at :Cubs are 11 of 14 at home and Mahlon is on best stretch of his career.  He is 3 and 0 last three with 1.34 and .98 era last five starts.  I am also all over the Cards which this week could be enough for anyone else to be wary.  I've been around a while and barely ever post, but I check your posts out and compare to the other top cappers daily.  You are good.  Go Cards
quote
mattdew send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
mattdew
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 218
Location:
#12
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:22:08 AM
I am surprised see you take Cin instead of Seattle.  GL on your picks.
quote
Pasteur
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
Pasteur
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 2938
Location: North Carolina
#13
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:23:05 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

St. Louis and Cincinnati look like no-brainers.  Can anybody make a compelling argument why not to take these two teams tomorrow in some way shape or form.


I'm placing a bet on STL anytime they face a lefty for the rest of the season.  Period.

The only argument not to take Cincy I can think of:  Latos has had the luxury of a pretty soft schedule, and his numbers are still just decent.  Facing Colorado in their crib does funny things to pitchers.  Even Cueto struggled there today.  But you have to think any mistake Latos makes, freaking gas can Sanchez will give back and then some?


quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#14
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:26:10 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by muchogusto:

Not like you dont have this info, but just something to look at :Cubs are 11 of 14 at home and Mahlon is on best stretch of his career.  He is 3 and 0 last three with 1.34 and .98 era last five starts.  I am also all over the Cards which this week could be enough for anyone else to be wary.  I've been around a while and barely ever post, but I check your posts out and compare to the other top cappers daily.  You are good.  Go Cards

There's still nothing 'elite' about Maholm's advanced numbers to indicate that his recent run is anything but an anomaly.  I'm still going to think of him as a 4.2 ERA with a low K-rate.  Wainwright is an ace, he's my #17 ranked pitcher.  In addition to the pitching advantage, the offenses are even more polar.  St. Louis ranks #1 against lefties and Chicago ranks #28 against righties.  
quote
sicknesscity
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
sicknesscity
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1254
Location: United States
#15
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:26:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

St. Louis and Cincinnati look like no-brainers.  Can anybody make a compelling argument why not to take these two teams tomorrow in some way shape or form.


Well, Maholm is 7-3 at home this year so far and the Cubs are 24-23 at home.  For a bad team they sure play decent baseball at home.  Also, the Cards are only 8-12 in Wainwright's starts this year and an alarming 3-6 in his starts on the road.  I'd argue there's too much juice given those statistics.

I like the Reds more but Latos is prone to giving up homers.  I think the Reds are fine if he can keep the ball in the park.  Sanchez is inconsistent, walks too many hitters and doesn't go deep into a game.  The Reds are more likely to win than the Cards but that's only my opinion.
quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#16
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:27:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mattdew:

I am surprised see you take Cin instead of Seattle.  GL on your picks.

Haven't locked in anything yet.  These are just leans based on superficial comparison of my model output and the Vegas lines.  I'll be digging deeper on all the games before I finalize anything.
quote
LawsonJames
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
LawsonJames
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Apr 2010
Posts: 31214
Location: California
#17
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:27:54 AM
Why do guys like Jonathan Sanchez and Jeremy Guthrie get shot after shot? It is perplexing to say the least.
quote
sicknesscity
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
sicknesscity
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1254
Location: United States
#18
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:30:01 AM
Actually, the Cubs are 25-23 after today's win.  I forgot to add that into their total but it's negligible.
quote
muchogusto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
muchogusto
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 209
Location: New Jersey
#19
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:30:12 AM
Absolutely.  You are preaching to the choir.  I'm all over the cards for the same reasons.  Just throwing something out there and attaching a compliment.  Good luck 
quote
eyemtlaw send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
eyemtlaw
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 1329
Location: California
#20
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:37:23 AM
Keep up the great discipline and excellent capping. This has been a great week and if these games don't give you the same feeling don't play them. 
quote
TruckerMan send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
TruckerMan
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Jul 2012
Posts: 22
Location:
#21
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:38:17 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Yeah, a lot of people have had this problem lately.  I emailed customer support at Google to get an explanation on the bandwidth limit on Google Drive and to see if I can get that lifted somehow.  I'm doing everything I can to keep the files small, they're only 100 KB each.  I'm sorry about this inconvenience.

You don't have to apologize to anyone. Thanks for taking the time.  

As for Stl tomorrow, I love them.  As another poster said, they destroy lefties.  If they can hit Capuano, and furthermore, Kershaw, they can hit Maholm.  
quote
muchogusto send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
muchogusto
Participation Meter
Prospect
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 209
Location: New Jersey
#22
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:40:11 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TruckerMan:


You don't have to apologize to anyone. Thanks for taking the time.  

As for Stl tomorrow, I love them.  As another poster said, they destroy lefties.  If they can hit Capuano, and furthermore, Kershaw, they can hit Maholm.  

Great point
quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#23
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:41:54 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by muchogusto:

Absolutely.  You are preaching to the choir.  I'm all over the cards for the same reasons.  Just throwing something out there and attaching a compliment.  Good luck 

Absolutely.  I appreciate when guys come out of the woodwork to say thanks.  I'd be lying if I didn't say a little praise gets me motivated sometimes.  Thanks for the kind words and good luck!
quote
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
si1ly
Participation Meter
Banned
Joined: Oct 2008
Posts: 12061
Location: Florida
#24
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:44:18 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:

Keep up the great discipline and excellent capping. This has been a great week and if these games don't give you the same feeling don't play them. 

Sound advise.  It's been a great two weeks in fact - I've only lost 3 bets in the last 13 days.  I'll be keeping this thought in the back of my mind while I cap Sunday's card.
quote
sicknesscity
RSI Wagerline RSI Rating
send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
sicknesscity
Participation Meter
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 1254
Location: United States
#25
Posted: 7/29/2012 12:46:37 AM
The Cards are a much stronger play if Freese plays.  He's their best hitter against lefties with a .375 average.  He was expected to play today but sat with the calf injury.
quote
Forum Index : MLB Betting : Messages Page 1 of 4  1 2 3 4  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.