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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Anyone else tempted to take boston
spocsstocks
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spocsstocks
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#1
Posted: 7/28/2012 2:32:17 PM
Im seeing 74% on yankees.  Boston isnt a bad road team and yankees coming off a 10-3 win yesterday.  Hard for me to believe yanks will play very inspired baseball.  Red sox are 4-1 lesters last 5 starts against yanks on the road.  Lester is also 8-4 in his career vs yankees.  I understand yanks are a better team i just dont get the feeling they will play well today and with boston a +170 dog and a winning record on the road im will to take a chance.
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ONEforthaMONEY send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
ONEforthaMONEY
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#2
Posted: 7/28/2012 2:34:15 PM
ON EM'
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joshfactor send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
joshfactor
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#3
Posted: 7/28/2012 2:35:52 PM
i would advise to stay off. i am sympathetic to contrarian angles. but with this play, you are backing your money with bobby valentine. A hard rule for anyone looking to make money gambling is that one should not bet on bobby valentine.

GL if you play. 
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Denson7
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#4
Posted: 7/28/2012 2:42:35 PM
Lester isn't the same pitcher this year. He's stumbling hard as of late. ERA last 3 games is above 15. I don't see how anyone can bet on him. 
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dcgmt
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#5
Posted: 7/28/2012 2:45:41 PM
no 
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duranizm
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#6
Posted: 7/28/2012 2:55:13 PM
didn't check lester's current detailed stat, but i did when he was raped at fenway. well, i'm 100% sure lester is not the same, his biggest weapon is cutters, but the balls are not effective this year. plus, his cutters can be hittable if he keeps pitching his style, almost middle in the plate without late movement. even though i didn't study this game, don't take lester. some guys posted annibal sanchez is garbage, well, anibal sanchez is way way better than lester, anibal sanchez is not that bad either, maybe thouse guys don't know or CAN NOT read sabermetrics. No lester this season so far. probably he will pitch well, but from my view on sabermetrics, he is suck really
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hairspray
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#7
Posted: 7/28/2012 3:00:22 PM
saw Lester vs the Jays as well...and he isnt the same ....cant bet on him until he rights the ship
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spocsstocks
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#8
Posted: 7/28/2012 3:03:09 PM
Sabathia is 1-4 his last 5 starts vs boston and is 7-9 in his career with 4.14.  Sorry but boston will win this game.  Small play not large but with that kind of juice and the numbers im looking at i feel pretty confident.
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DeezyAZ81
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#9
Posted: 7/28/2012 3:05:44 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by spocsstocks:

Sabathia is 1-4 his last 5 starts vs boston and is 7-9 in his career with 4.14.  Sorry but boston will win this game.  Small play not large but with that kind of juice and the numbers im looking at i feel pretty confident.


Nice stats this is hardly the same boston team though.  No Ortiz is a big problem for Boston.
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