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[MLB Betting] Topic: Score in 1st = YES Profit Thread |
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Grimmmm |
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#126 Posted: 8/29/2012 8:51:13 AM
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totalguy |
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#127 Posted: 8/29/2012 9:30:25 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by jmpkcp44:
I think betting on first inning scoring is like betting on the length of the National Anthem at the Superbowl...it's a shot in the dark. Why not play first 5 innings over on these same games?
Good question with a very simple answer. Because he has found a prop that is very very favorable towards the YES bet and a book that has very juicy lines, giving him a fantastic edge with tons of overlays. If he went from the 1st inning over to the 5 inning or full game over, he would lose that inherent edge.
Yes, it's a shot in the dark, but with plus odds. If you got +105 on heads on a coin flip, would you take it every time or pass on it because it's just a shot in the dark? Well, on the YES, he's getting anywhere from +105 to +115 every single time on literally a 50/50 play. Yet very few people on this site or any other realize that most books are offering this on the YES each and every day.
GL
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#128 Posted: 8/29/2012 11:51:13 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by totalguy:
Good question with a very simple answer. Because he has found a prop that is very very favorable towards the YES bet and a book that has very juicy lines, giving him a fantastic edge with tons of overlays. If he went from the 1st inning over to the 5 inning or full game over, he would lose that inherent edge.
Yes, it's a shot in the dark, but with plus odds. If you got +105 on heads on a coin flip, would you take it every time or pass on it because it's just a shot in the dark? Well, on the YES, he's getting anywhere from +105 to +115 every single time on literally a 50/50 play. Yet very few people on this site or any other realize that most books are offering this on the YES each and every day.
GL
Exactly, as some sharper and more observant people have noticed. I am basically pillaging the very square lines that sportsbook.ag throws at me for this prop. There is a ton of value when compared to the Pinnacle line on every single prop I play in this thread.
When this situation comes up, which is about 4 times a day on a full 15 game schedule, where I can literally arbitrage by betting yes on my book and no on pinnacle, I play about 90-95% of these opportunities. If I was not living in the U.S. I would just be betting the maximum and taking free money. |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#129 Posted: 8/29/2012 11:59:07 AM Cardinals / Pirates +100 Braves / Padres +125 Brewers / Cubs +120 |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#130 Posted: 8/29/2012 8:19:20 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball: bink a 6-1 +6.1u day
59-56 +10.20u thread ytd
2-1 +1.20
61-58 + 11.40 |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#131 Posted: 8/30/2012 12:30:15 PM Cardinals / Nationals +110 Diamondbacks / Dodgers +140 Red Sox / Angels +115 Mets / Phillies +110 Giants / Astros +110 |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#132 Posted: 8/30/2012 10:24:50 PM
65-59 + 14.85u
heater time. |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#133 Posted: 8/31/2012 12:37:19 PM Diamondbacks / Dodgers +120 Mets / Marlins +120 Phillies / Braves +125 Cardinals / Nationals +125
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capskip |
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#134 Posted: 8/31/2012 12:41:41 PM  |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#135 Posted: 9/1/2012 11:40:06 AM
66-62 +13.10u ytd |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#136 Posted: 9/1/2012 11:51:29 AM Phillies / Braves +130 Diamondbacks / Dodgers +120 Mets / Marlins +115 Pirates / Brewers +110 Giants / Cubs +105 Cardinals / Nationals +115
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#137 Posted: 9/2/2012 1:06:45 AM
69-65 +13.60u ytd |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#138 Posted: 9/2/2012 12:18:22 PM Reds / Astros +115 Angels / Mariners +130 Mets / Marlins +110 Pirates / Brewers +120
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#139 Posted: 9/4/2012 1:02:06 PM
ytd is 71-67 +13.90u
9/4: Yankees / Rays +110 Diamondbacks / Giants +130 Red Sox / Mariners +130 Rockies / Braves +110 Phillies / Reds +110
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The-OG-GunClapa |
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#140 Posted: 9/4/2012 2:20:08 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball:
Exactly, as some sharper and more observant people have noticed. I am basically pillaging the very square lines that sportsbook.ag throws at me for this prop. There is a ton of value when compared to the Pinnacle line on every single prop I play in this thread.
When this situation comes up, which is about 4 times a day on a full 15 game schedule, where I can literally arbitrage by betting yes on my book and no on pinnacle, I play about 90-95% of these opportunities. If I was not living in the U.S. I would just be betting the maximum and taking free money.
I've always wondered if something like that occurred often enough to be profitable. Would you please be so kind to point this out to me when it happens? Seems way to good to be true but who knows! I'm a member on both sites so would be interested to see if this actually works |
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The-OG-GunClapa |
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#141 Posted: 9/4/2012 2:24:24 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball: 2-2 +.30 on 9/2
ytd is 71-67 +13.90u
9/4: Yankees / Rays +110 Diamondbacks / Giants +130 Red Sox / Mariners +130 Rockies / Braves +110 Phillies / Reds +110
Also where we're u getting the +130s on both those games? I'm seeing 105 and 110 on the two sites. It didn't really drop over 20 cents over night did it? |
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#142 Posted: 9/4/2012 5:18:33 PM |
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tommyd222 |
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#143 Posted: 9/4/2012 6:52:30 PM  |
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#144 Posted: 9/4/2012 10:12:53 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball:
sportsbook.ag has both at +130 still as of me posting this.
Are we looking at runs in the first inning? Btsecause if yes then I definitely did not see that. The line was +105 YES runs in the 1st inning. We are looking at sportsbook.com right? |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#145 Posted: 9/4/2012 10:41:04 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by The-OG-GunClapa:
Are we looking at runs in the first inning? Btsecause if yes then I definitely did not see that. The line was +105 YES runs in the 1st inning. We are looking at sportsbook.com right?
www.sportsbook.ag ...yellow and black interface...run in first = yes prop for both were +130 when i posted this morning and when i reposted, i don't understand why you'd be seeing different lines.
does anyone else play these with me that saw the lines for these on sportsbook.ag today?
3-2 +1.70u tonight
74-69 +15.60u ytd
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#146 Posted: 9/5/2012 12:33:53 PM 9/5: Diamondbacks / Giants +140Cubs / Nationals +120 Rockies / Braves +110 Mets / Cardinals +125 Phillies / Reds +115 Padres / Dodgers +115
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#147 Posted: 9/5/2012 11:37:25 PM
77-72 +16.35u |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#148 Posted: 9/7/2012 12:22:00 PM Dodgers / Giants +130 Braves / Mets +120 Rockies / Phillies +120 Astros / Reds +105 Marlins / Nationals +120 Brewers / Cardinals +120
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#149 Posted: 9/8/2012 1:37:30 PM
81-74 +19.00u ytd |
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Donnie_Baseball |
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#150 Posted: 9/8/2012 1:46:55 PM Dodgers / Giants +130 Diamondbacks / Padres +140 Cubs / Pirates +125 Rockies / Phillies +115 Astros / Reds +115 Brewers / Cardinals +115 A's / Mariners +140 |
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