Score in 1st = YES Profit Thread

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Score in 1st = YES Profit Thread
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/4/2012 11:43:32 PM
21-18 +5.60. I hope to get about 10 cent value on my picks, so I'm still doing above expectation after the 0-5 run. Thank you naysayers! You two must be runnin RIDIC bad to post that.

I'll be back tomorrow and hit a niiiiiiiiiiiice play tonight on the Giants.
awdamaddix PM awdamaddix
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Posted: 8/5/2012 3:39:03 AM
Tough day. I hit even, lost on juices.

I was so optimistic of a day full of yes too.
dayshawn7 PM dayshawn7
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Posted: 8/5/2012 7:14:46 AM
gl
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/5/2012 11:54:43 AM
8/5:
Diamondbacks / Phillies +120
Marlins / Nationals +125
Mets / Padres +125
Pirates / Reds +110

Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/5/2012 4:28:36 PM
23-20 +5.95 ytd
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/6/2012 2:10:24 PM
8/6:
Cubs / Padres +125
Rockies / Dodgers +120
Angels / A's +140

Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/7/2012 12:44:25 PM
24-22 +5.15 YTD

8/7:
Cubs / Padres +120
Reds / Brewers +120
Rockies / Dodgers +120
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/8/2012 9:37:54 PM
25-24 +4.35u YTD
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/10/2012 6:34:27 PM
8/10:
Nationals / Diamondbacks +110
Braves / Mets +105
Mariners / Angels +125
Cardinals / Phillies +105
Rays / Twins +100
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/11/2012 6:16:43 PM
27-27 +3.40u

8/11:
Dodgers / Marlins +110
Padres / Pirates +115

Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/11/2012 7:29:52 PM
28-28 +3.55u
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:22:36 PM
8/12:
Dodgers / Marlins +110
Padres / Pirates +110
Cardinals / Phillies +100
I-Got-5-On-It PM I-Got-5-On-It
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:23:36 PM
today Donnie
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/12/2012 12:51:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by I-Got-5-On-It:

today Donnie

Thank you, you too brother.


8/12:
Dodgers / Marlins +110
Padres / Pirates +110
Cardinals / Phillies +100

adding:
Reds / Cubs +115
Rockies / Giants +120
Brewers / Astros +110
Nationals / Diamondbacks -110

It's gonna be a good day tater.


shawty321 PM shawty321
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Posted: 8/12/2012 1:14:29 PM
Thanks for the picks donnie!
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tbg1123 PM tbg1123
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Posted: 8/12/2012 5:49:46 PM
Anything on tonights game?

Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/13/2012 11:10:01 AM
32-31 +4.85u YTD
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/13/2012 11:10:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball:

32-31 +4.85u YTD

didn't take out juice on dbacks loss

+4.75u ytd
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/13/2012 12:58:51 PM
Damn, a lot of games looking good to me for score in 1sts again today.

8/13:
Nationals / Giants +140
Indians / Angels +115
Astros / Cubs +115
Dodgers / Pirates +115
Phillies / Marlins +120
Padres / Braves +110
CalifDreamin PM CalifDreamin
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Posted: 8/13/2012 4:38:24 PM
Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/16/2012 10:57:30 AM
33-36 +1.15u YTD

Took a couple of days off after a steady decline followed a hot start to this thread. Looked at a few things, trying to make sure what I'm using correlates well enough with past results. Small sample size, I think variance was just getting the better of me; frustrating nonetheless.
Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 8/16/2012 11:22:24 AM
donnie how often do the high juice yes or no props hit? im talking like the -160 to-190 juiced. if you know thanks
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Donnie_Baseball PM Donnie_Baseball
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Posted: 8/16/2012 11:57:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Riceboi:

donnie how often do the high juice yes or no props hit? im talking like the -160 to-190 juiced. if you know thanks

You could probably find some sort of statistics filtered that way, but I haven't seen them. There's some good stuff here

http://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game

Baseball reference also has a bunch of sortable first inning stats.




8/16:
Phillies / Brewers +115
Marlins / Rockies -140
Dodgers / Pirates +120
Diamondbacks / Cardinals +110


Riceboi PM Riceboi
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Posted: 8/16/2012 12:08:25 PM
oh ok i thought there was a chance you were tracking all yes or no props. thanks
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totalguy PM totalguy
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Posted: 8/16/2012 12:13:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Riceboi:

donnie how often do the high juice yes or no props hit? im talking like the -160 to-190 juiced. if you know thanks


Usually the high-juiced lines are all negative expectation bets.  I'll occasionally play a NO for an O/U game of 6.5 if the line is right.  Generally speaking, you're much better off playing the YES at plus money for any game with an O/U of between 7.5 and 9.5.  Those are all going to be positive expectation plays.
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