Posted: 7/27/2012 12:27:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Red1987:
More then half the games had a score in the first half, how are you determining your picks?
There are several key factors that go into my picks. A lot of obvious factors such as first inning score and score against rate as far back as I deem to be relevant, ballpark, weather, trends, OBP/2B of leadoff hitter, K/9, BB/9, GB/FB, BABIP, confirming lineups to the best of my ability before they are announced officially.
I have been working on my model since near the beginning of last season, and it has had success so far. I was posting these types of picks in my season long MLB thread the first couple months of the season with success, but stopped because many could not bet this prop or get the same lines so I didn't want to reflect it on my win/loss record for mls, rls, and totals.
Best of luck, hopefully I can find some value today.