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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Score in 1st = YES Profit Thread
Donnie_Baseball send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 7/17/2012 4:41:19 PM
all the lines I post will be from sportsbook.ag. all (-) odds are to win 1u, all (+) odds will be a 1u bet. all bets will be for a score in the 1st inning to happen. i'll keep this going for the rest of the season.

7/17:
Diamondbacks / Reds +110
Astros / Padres +130
Phillies / Dodgers +120
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#2
Posted: 7/17/2012 4:50:09 PM

There was a poster on another site that was excellent with 1 inning score analysis and it was actually quite profitable for him.

Always thought it was intriguing to handicap.

GL

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#3
Posted: 7/17/2012 4:56:40 PM
Best of Luck 
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#4
Posted: 7/18/2012 12:54:42 AM
7/17: 2-1 +1.30u

Thanks for the good luck guys.
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#5
Posted: 7/18/2012 12:08:02 PM
Probably just one for today

7/18:
Indians / Rays +115
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#6
Posted: 7/18/2012 1:04:19 PM
GL, mate.
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#7
Posted: 7/19/2012 11:28:49 AM
YTD 2-2 -0.30u

7/19:
Marlins / Cubs +120
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#8
Posted: 7/19/2012 11:29:06 AM
should be +.30 instead of -.30 total units ytd
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#9
Posted: 7/19/2012 11:32:20 AM
DB  good luck today...
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#10
Posted: 7/19/2012 11:33:37 AM
Looks good! 
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#11
Posted: 7/19/2012 12:28:27 PM
gl
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#12
Posted: 7/22/2012 12:52:31 PM
YTD 2-3 -0.70u

Got annoyed with some run bad and haven't posted in a couple days. Staying active in MLB Contest for anyone that wants to follow plays. I picked up about one normal bet (2u'ish) each of the last 2 days.

For this thread I set aside $2500 and am betting 2% of that bankroll per bet. After the first 5 wagers, I'm at $2465.85. I've got it all on its own bankroll as RIF props is all I use sportsbook.ag for at the moment. I'll keep that bankroll updated when I post.

7/22 (wagering $49.24 per on dogs, and to win that much on faves):
Braves / Nationals +105
Rockies / Padres +110
Marlins / Pirates +110
Giants / Phillies -110

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#13
Posted: 7/22/2012 6:33:29 PM
4-0 today

YTD 6-3 +3.55u
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#14
Posted: 7/23/2012 8:13:25 PM
7/23:
Royals / Angels +115
Yankees / Mariners +110
Padres / Giants +140
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#15
Posted: 7/23/2012 8:15:50 PM
If one is going to roll the dice on these kind of crap shoots, you're definitely doing the right thing by playing the plus money. BOL
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#16
Posted: 7/23/2012 11:00:31 PM
YTD 7-5 +2.95u
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#17
Posted: 7/23/2012 11:16:50 PM
gl
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#18
Posted: 7/25/2012 12:18:24 PM
Betting 2% of bankroll per bet starting with 2500, thread is at 2646.82.

7/25:
Dodgers / Cardinals +100
Braves / Marlins +115
A's / Blue Jays +100
Padres / Giants +125

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#19
Posted: 7/25/2012 12:45:11 PM
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#20
Posted: 7/25/2012 11:33:12 PM
YTD 9-7 +3.20u
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#21
Posted: 7/25/2012 11:43:55 PM
More then half the games had a score in the first half, how are you determining your picks?
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#22
Posted: 7/27/2012 12:27:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Red1987:

More then half the games had a score in the first half, how are you determining your picks?

There are several key factors that go into my picks. A lot of obvious factors such as first inning score and score against rate as far back as I deem to be relevant, ballpark, weather, trends, OBP/2B of leadoff hitter, K/9, BB/9, GB/FB, BABIP, confirming lineups to the best of my ability before they are announced officially. 

I have been working on my model since near the beginning of last season, and it has had success so far. I was posting these types of picks in my season long MLB thread the first couple months of the season with success, but stopped because many could not bet this prop or get the same lines so I didn't want to reflect it on my win/loss record for mls, rls, and totals.

Best of luck, hopefully I can find some value today.
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#23
Posted: 7/27/2012 12:36:04 PM
7/28:
Royals / Mariners +120
Pirates / Astros +100
Padres / Marlins +100
Cardinals / Cubs +120
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#24
Posted: 7/28/2012 7:41:18 AM

Hi ,  are these todays bets  or fridays?

  Thx Pete

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#25
Posted: 7/28/2012 4:41:21 PM
Wrong date, those were yesterday. 2-2 +.4

YTD 11-9 +3.60
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