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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Savants Second Half MLB Wagers
idiot_savant
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idiot_savant
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#1
Posted: 7/13/2012 9:14:26 AM
So for the second half of the season I will be running a total of 4 systems on top of my straight bets. 

System 1: Bet against a team off scoring 0 runs in a game. Bet the next game starting a 6 game chase, doubling unit sizes each additional game to consistently win 1 unit. Teams eliminated from betting against this system are Rangers, Yankees, and Angels.

System 2: Bet for a team off allowing 0 runs total scored. Same rules as above apply, but this is a 5 game chase. Teams eliminated from betting for are Rockies and Mariners.

System 3: Bet against a team that has lost by 5 runs or more, starting a 5 game chase. Teams eliminated from betting against ate Yankees, rangers, an angels.

Home Chase System: Bet for the teams who finished the first half 10 games above .500 and 10 games above .500 at home. Maximum 6 game chase, start are first game of home stand and finish when you win one bet. Teams to bet on this year are Yankees, Rangers, Angels, Nationals, Pirates.

I will post my official plays later on closer to game times. Good luck to all for the second half! 
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#2
Posted: 7/13/2012 9:16:48 AM
gl and thx
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idiot_savant
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#3
Posted: 7/13/2012 12:12:12 PM
don't want to carry over 1st half results into 2nd half so systems 1-3 will start up tomorrow after the results of today's games. Home Chase System (HCS) kicks off today, and I'll have a few straight bets. All bets are to win 1 unit, unless otherwise noted...

Home Chase System- Yankees 1 unit

Straight bets:

Cubs/backs o.8 2 units
Giants 1 unit
Cardinals 1 unit
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idiot_savant
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#4
Posted: 7/13/2012 6:49:40 PM
Adding straight plays:

Angels @ Yanks u/9- 2 units
Cardinals @ Reds u/8- 1 unit
Blue Jays- 1 unit
Braves- 1 unit
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#5
Posted: 7/13/2012 6:52:39 PM

Have u backtested that home system at all? Seems pretty solid, curious to see results from the past. GL

 

 

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#6
Posted: 7/13/2012 6:53:27 PM
its been tested back to 1999. never lost yet...following a 6 game chase....
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#7
Posted: 7/13/2012 6:58:27 PM
click the link it'll show you the past results..

http://www.covers.com/postingforum/POST01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101091089&page=2
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#8
Posted: 7/13/2012 8:42:08 PM

Good stuff man, real good stuff

 

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idiot_savant
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#9
Posted: 7/14/2012 6:42:23 AM
Home Chase System: Yankees- winner

Angels @ Yanks u/9- lost

Cardinals @ Reds u/8- push
Blue Jays- lost

Braves-  winner
Cubs @ Dbacks o/8 2- winner

Giants- cancelled due to pitching change
Cardinals- lost

HCS: 1-0 +1 unit
Straight Plays: 2-3-1 (-1.27 units)
Total Profits: -.27 units
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idiot_savant
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#10
Posted: 7/14/2012 6:44:51 AM
Todays System plays

System 1: Fade Toronto(A)

System 2: Bet Cleveland(A)

System 3: Fade Arizona(A), Baltimore(A)
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#11
Posted: 7/14/2012 9:13:39 AM
System 1: Bet Indians to win 1 unit
System 2: Bet Indians to win 1 unit
System3: Bet Cubs, Tigers to win 1 unit

All A games
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#12
Posted: 7/15/2012 9:48:49 AM
7/14 Results: 

System 1: Indians lost
System 2: Indians lost
System 3: Cubs won, Tigers lost

Updated Record-

HCS: 1-0 +1 unit
System 1: 0-0
System 2: 0-0
System 3: 1-0 +1 unit
Straight plays: 2-3-1 (-1.27 units)
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#13
Posted: 7/15/2012 11:10:23 AM
7/15 Wagers:

System 1: bet Indians(B game)
System 2: bet Indians(B game)
System 3: bet Tigers(B game), bet Athletics(A game)
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#14
Posted: 7/15/2012 1:04:47 PM
Adding straight play

Washinton Nationals- to win 4 units
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#15
Posted: 7/15/2012 5:45:31 PM
System 1: bet Indians(B game)lost
System 2: bet Indians(B game)lost
System 3: bet Tigers(B game)win, bet Athletics(A game)win

Washington Nationals- win

Updated Record-

HCS: 1-0 +1 unit
System 1: 0-0
System 2: 0-0
System 3: 3-0 +3 unit
Straight plays: 3-3-1 (+3.27 units)

2nd Half Total: +6.27 units

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#16
Posted: 7/15/2012 5:47:45 PM
**Correction**

Updated Record-

HCS: 1-0 +1 unit
System 1: 0-0
System 2: 0-0
System 3: 3-0 +3 unit
Straight plays: 3-3-1 (+2.73 units) **

2nd Half Total: +6.73 units **

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#17
Posted: 7/15/2012 6:25:36 PM
Sunday Night Baseball

Cardinals First 5 ML- 2 units
Cardinals First 5 +.5- 2 units
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#18
Posted: 7/15/2012 9:28:46 PM
Cardinals First 5 ML- 2 units lost
Cardinals First 5 +.5- 2 units lost

Updated Record-

HCS: 1-0 +1 unit
System 1: 0-0
System 2: 0-0
System 3: 3-0 +3 unit
Straight plays: 3-5-1 (-6.17 units)

2nd Half Total: +1.83 units

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#19
Posted: 7/15/2012 9:32:31 PM
Tomorrows plays pending the last game:

System 1: Fade Toronto(C), Orioles(A), Marlins(A), Cleveland(A), Mariners(A)

System 2: Bet Cleveland(C), Detroit(A), Washington(A), Toronto(A), Texas(A)

System 3: Fade Minnesota(A), Mets(A), Dodgers(A)
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#20
Posted: 7/15/2012 9:56:10 PM
Mets and Rangers don't play tomorrow, system plays will continue on Tuesday...The locked plays are:

System 1- listed teams bet on to fade losers

Yankees(C)
Twins(A)
Nationals(A)
Rays(A)
Royals(A)

System 2-

Indians(C)
Tigers(A)
Nationals(A)
Blue Jays(A)

System 3- listed teams bet on to fade losers

Orioles(A)
Phillies(A)
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#21
Posted: 7/16/2012 6:37:39 PM
Adding a straight play

Cards/Brewers 1st 5 under 4.5- 2 units
Yankees TT o/5.5- 2 units
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#22
Posted: 7/17/2012 6:41:14 AM
Results:

System 1-
Yankees(C) winner
Twins(A) lost
Nationals(A) lost
Rays(A) lost
Royals(A) lost

System 2-
Indians(C) winner
Tigers(A) winner
Nationals(A) lost
Blue Jays(A) lost

System 3-
Orioles(A) winner
Phillies(A) winner

Cards/Brewers 1st 5 under 4.5- winner
Yankees TT o/5.5- winner

Updated Record-

HCS: 1-0 +1 unit
System 1: 1-0 +1 unit
System 2: 2-0 +2 units
System 3: 5-0 +5 units
Straight plays: 5-5-1 (-2.17 units)

2nd Half Total: +6.83 units
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#23
Posted: 7/17/2012 6:44:30 AM
**correction**

System 3-
Orioles(A) winner ** LOST

SYstem 3: 4-0 +4 units
Total: +5.83 units
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#24
Posted: 7/17/2012 6:47:47 AM
7/17:

System 1: Fade Marlins (B), Indians (B), Mariners (B), Padres (A)
System 2: Bet Nationals (B), Blue Jays (B), Rangers (A), Astros (A)
System 3: Fade Twins (B), Mets (A), Royals (A), Orioles (A)
HCS: Washington Nationals (A)
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#25
Posted: 7/17/2012 7:56:39 AM
gl 
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