Messages

Forum Index : Covers MLB Betting : Messages

Page 2 of 3 ‹ 1 2 3 ›

Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: 7/6 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#26 Posted: 7/6/2012 9:25:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by 904HotPlay: Silly I don't see la angels vs Baltimore in your model... They hadn't announced Baltimore's pitcher when I ran the sheets last night. I'l add this one in a bit when I find the time.
	quote
Tone10	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2010 Posts: 4929 Location:	#27 Posted: 7/6/2012 9:57:13 AM Looks good... I know you were asking about the NYY @ BOS game. Early on here in the day but looks like you pegged that one. Movement at Pinny on the Yanks as they are now favored. I still expect the Red Sox to be favored by first pitch but we'll see. I've been posting my projected lines for the next day's games if you are interested. I just posted tomorrow's card. Check it out, hopefully can give you a good gauge of what to roughly expect on the next day's card and help plan your potential plays.
	quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#28 Posted: 7/6/2012 10:15:10 AM Greatly appreciate the work you do tone. Your threads are very informative. I already check them every day.
	quote
hoopsvader	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 3015 Location: Djibouti	#29 Posted: 7/6/2012 10:21:24 AM Any leans today
	quote
dcgmt	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Dec 2011 Posts: 5542 Location:	#30 Posted: 7/6/2012 10:23:45 AM gl
	quote

Gordon Gekko	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2003 Posts: 5731 Location: New York	#31 Posted: 7/6/2012 10:27:36 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Tone10: Looks good... I know you were asking about the NYY @ BOS game. Early on here in the day but looks like you pegged that one. Movement at Pinny on the Yanks as they are now favored. I still expect the Red Sox to be favored by first pitch but we'll see. I've been posting my projected lines for the next day's games if you are interested. I just posted tomorrow's card. Check it out, hopefully can give you a good gauge of what to roughly expect on the next day's card and help plan your potential plays. Gwarner does a good job on projected lines, but interested with what you have come up with. Don't see Sox coming back and becoming favorites with this AAA lineup at the moment.
	quote
Lar1212	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
All-Star Joined: Jan 2009 Posts: 10098 Location: Texas	#32 Posted: 7/6/2012 11:27:29 AM Really surprised you aren't interested in that LAD/ARI over 7.5 with your projection around 9.
	quote
AlohaJoe	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Dec 2008 Posts: 251 Location: Nevada	#33 Posted: 7/6/2012 12:54:19 PM
	quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#34 Posted: 7/6/2012 1:14:33 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Lar1212: Really surprised you aren't interested in that LAD/ARI over 7.5 with your projection around 9. I'm not sure I can bring myself to bet an over with the way the Dodgers have been swinging the bat lately.
	quote
Jeeves	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 7051 Location: Ontario	#35 Posted: 7/6/2012 1:20:34 PM GL today Si1ly Cheers
	quote
aloja27	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 122 Location: Hawaii	#36 Posted: 7/6/2012 1:41:27 PM How do u feel about washington and Pitt, I know based on your system the lines are right where they should be but with strasburg for the nats and zito
	Posted using a mobile device.quote
5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9255 Location: Virginia	#37 Posted: 7/6/2012 3:18:40 PM thanks for all your work silly any thoughts on Cubs/Mets UNDER? I'm leaning 1st 5 under
	quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#38 Posted: 7/6/2012 3:20:43 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align: thanks for all your work silly any thoughts on Cubs/Mets UNDER? I'm leaning 1st 5 under I like it.
	quote
MakeitRain84	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Feb 2011 Posts: 701 Location: California	#39 Posted: 7/6/2012 3:22:38 PM hey s1ly your model shows the braves/phillies at about 8 runs and the line is at 9 and i did some reading and research and cant help but feel the over is going to hit am i sick in the head?
	quote
Tone10	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2010 Posts: 4929 Location:	#40 Posted: 7/6/2012 3:24:26 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko: Gwarner does a good job on projected lines, but interested with what you have come up with. Don't see Sox coming back and becoming favorites with this AAA lineup at the moment. Have to say I'm really, really surprised at this line movement. I really don't think Beckett should be a home dog here. Though this line movement really reminds me of the Yanks-Rays game on Tuesday. I was on Shields +105, the line kept moving towards the Yanks throughout the day and got as high as around -115, and then it plummeted around 10 minutes before first pitch and Shields ended up closing -110. Could be sharp money just nudging the number to where they want it before they lay the wood on the Red Sox... or it could close with the Yanks as the faves. Who the hell knows, this stuff is so hard to predict.
	quote
Gamebred	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 36 Location:	#41 Posted: 7/6/2012 3:36:32 PM Silly, love your posts and was wondering why you quote .20c market lines instead of dime lines?
	quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#42 Posted: 7/6/2012 4:02:40 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Gamebred: Silly, love your posts and was wondering why you quote .20c market lines instead of dime lines? Two reasons. One, the wider margin of 20 cent lines help build in a factor of error into my model. Two, since I typically post the night before 20 cent lines allow for some line movement and can be used as a comparative measure for a wider audience of people depending on what they have available in Vegas, offshore or with a local.
	quote
5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9255 Location: Virginia	#43 Posted: 7/6/2012 4:14:22 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Tone10: Have to say I'm really, really surprised at this line movement. I really don't think Beckett should be a home dog here. Though this line movement really reminds me of the Yanks-Rays game on Tuesday. I was on Shields +105, the line kept moving towards the Yanks throughout the day and got as high as around -115, and then it plummeted around 10 minutes before first pitch and Shields ended up closing -110. Could be sharp money just nudging the number to where they want it before they lay the wood on the Red Sox... or it could close with the Yanks as the faves. Who the hell knows, this stuff is so hard to predict. In my Humble opinion, Kuroda has been better than Beckett lately. Kuroda has an xFIP under 4 in his last 6 games. Both Yanks bats and pen have been much better than the Sox the last couple weeks. Yankees have been playing head and shoulders above the Sox lately. No way the Sox should be favored tonight.
	quote
JEFFTHEHAT	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Aug 2010 Posts: 429 Location: California	#44 Posted: 7/6/2012 4:20:58 PM Sagarin has Beckett ranked 8 and Kuroda as 16 just food for thought
	quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#45 Posted: 7/6/2012 5:50:38 PM St. Louis and Arizona are both on my radar tonight as well.
	quote
Gamebred	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2012 Posts: 36 Location:	#46 Posted: 7/6/2012 6:11:10 PM Thanks for getting back to me Silly. Good luck.
	quote
fullabs11	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jun 2012 Posts: 131 Location: Connecticut	#47 Posted: 7/6/2012 6:36:42 PM As always, good stuff on your thread. I like Nats tonight. As well as detroit, Chisox, and Brewers. Haven't really got a gauge on any totals yet.
	quote
Shu1er	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 441 Location: Russia	#48 Posted: 7/6/2012 6:49:09 PM Detroit is bad play tonight. Sanchez is garbage but Smyly is not better. Royals hot batters will destroy him early.
	quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#49 Posted: 7/6/2012 6:50:37 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by fullabs11: As always, good stuff on your thread. I like Nats tonight. As well as detroit, Chisox, and Brewers. Haven't really got a gauge on any totals yet. Card looks pretty good. Good luck.
	quote
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#50 Posted: 7/6/2012 6:52:46 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Shu1er: Detroit is bad play tonight. Sanchez is garbage but Smyly is not better. Royals hot batters will destroy him early. What hot batters? They rank #18 offensively over the last 7 games and #23 in power over that same span.
	quote

Forum Index : Covers MLB Betting : Messages

Page 2 of 3 ‹ 1 2 3 ›

You have entered the forum as a GUEST.
You must login/register to post or reply.