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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: MLB Baseball : 07.04.2012
SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
SettleDownSpaz
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#1
Posted: 7/4/2012 10:21:56 AM

Happy 4th to everyone, hope it's an enjoyable (and profitable) day.  I've been somewhat MIA, mostly as I was away on vacation and had some struggles with the wi fi, but also seems my watch dog at work has deemed Covers to be an "inappropriate" site.  I'm working to try to get around that firewall. 

Washington Nationals EVEN (10 units to win 10)

Washington / San Francisco UNDER 7.5 (12 units to win 10.52)

Dating back to last year, Edwin Jackson has allowed less than 4 earned runs in 22 of his last 26 starts.  In his last outing, he got shelled for 8 earned runs @ Colorado.  He is not a normal regular on my bounce back list, but hard to ignore giving up 3 earned runs or less in 84% of his last 26 starts.  I'm a huge fan of Bumgarner (on my fantasy team) and I think he have a decent showing, but Giants come up short in my opinion.

Lots more 4th action coming up..

 

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#2
Posted: 7/4/2012 10:25:14 AM
good luck man
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 7/4/2012 10:25:37 AM
Happy Fourth Spaz!   
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Louis_IV
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#4
Posted: 7/4/2012 10:26:04 AM
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#5
Posted: 7/4/2012 10:32:21 AM
Giants have 8/9 hitters switch or left-handed (Jackson ranks 133/225 against lefties)

Nationals have 8/9 hitters switch or right-handed (Bumgarner ranks 76/225 against righties)
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SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#6
Posted: 7/4/2012 10:35:59 AM

thanks fellas, happy 4th!

si1ly - love the numbers buddy, solid post.  Tough pill to swallow fading Bumgarner, but Nats at home Even money with someone who seemingly pitches well enough to win, I'll take a shot

Philadelphia Phillies -122 (20 units to win 16.39)

 

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Posted: 7/4/2012 10:36:20 AM
Welcome back, Spaz!! On Nats as well!
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#8
Posted: 7/4/2012 10:37:51 AM
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#9
Posted: 7/4/2012 11:18:32 AM
GL Spaz 
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SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#10
Posted: 7/4/2012 1:10:48 PM

bunny, MIKE, switch - thanks fellas, good luck on the plays today and Happy 4th. 

I thought Bumgarner would get hit today, but wasn't expecting this.  Figured Jackson would yield 2 earned runs at most.  Way off on the under, still a chance for the Nats to come through.

Sizing up some heavy fireworks on a 4:05 EST play

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#11
Posted: 7/4/2012 1:28:45 PM
BOL today SDS..

Phils...
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#12
Posted: 7/4/2012 1:30:51 PM
Have a great 4th of July today...
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#13
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:15:07 PM
lookin forward to the heavy fireworks 4:05 play ..
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SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#14
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:16:51 PM

nakadinhi - thanks buddy

Boston / Oakland OVER 8 (32 units to win 30.48)

Stepping out here on this total and while I admit these offenses can be downright brutal, I have to play the numbers.  In his career, Aaron Cook is 2-6 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in starts following ones where he went at least 6 IP and did not allow an earned run.  Why not the A's instead of the over? I don't trust AJ Griffin as far as I can throw, and with my bad back I shouldn't be throwing anyone.  Griffin also off a 0 ER performance, so I think the BoSox tee off on him today.

 

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#15
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:18:21 PM
spaz
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#16
Posted: 7/4/2012 3:19:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

nakadinhi - thanks buddy

Boston / Oakland OVER 8 (32 units to win 30.48)

Stepping out here on this total and while I admit these offenses can be downright brutal, I have to play the numbers.  In his career, Aaron Cook is 2-6 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in starts following ones where he went at least 6 IP and did not allow an earned run.  Why not the A's instead of the over? I don't trust AJ Griffin as far as I can throw, and with my bad back I shouldn't be throwing anyone.  Griffin also off a 0 ER performance, so I think the BoSox tee off on him today.

 

Lets Rock!  
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SettleDownSpaz send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#17
Posted: 7/4/2012 5:56:59 PM

Well, was hoping to be rolling some coin from the BoSox-A's game, but that looks like a loss at the moment.  I'll likely be digging out of a 4th of July hole tonight

Colorado / Saint Louis UNDER 9 (10 units to win 9.52)

Saint Louis RL -105 (12 units to win 11.43)

Minnesota / Detroit UNDER 8 (20 units to win 19.05)

 

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#18
Posted: 7/4/2012 5:59:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SettleDownSpaz:

Well, was hoping to be rolling some coin from the BoSox-A's game, but that looks like a loss at the moment.  I'll likely be digging out of a 4th of July hole tonight

Colorado / Saint Louis UNDER 9 (10 units to win 9.52)

Saint Louis RL -105 (12 units to win 11.43)

Minnesota / Detroit UNDER 8 (20 units to win 19.05)

 


Bol - I see your on the under - any thoughts on cards tt over?
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si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#19
Posted: 7/4/2012 5:59:56 PM
I like the St. Louis run line.
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#20
Posted: 7/4/2012 11:18:46 PM
Spaz, nice to have you back, need to get you a back massage , no. Pun intended... Real talk , need to figure an alternative to get you on covers at the job site. I'm only waiting for your plays and being disciplined in the mean time. Thanks dogg
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#21
Posted: 7/4/2012 11:29:35 PM
Spaz... as solid a capper as there is... great job today my friend and thanks for comin' in to post...          
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depbmoc
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#22
Posted: 7/5/2012 7:34:40 AM
great job man 
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