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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: CHASE THE DOG...VOL.24
bikemcr send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#76
Posted: 6/30/2012 7:12:08 AM

McShady : do you know if Semperfi is still on the Indians . He was right to stay on the Reds at least for Friday . I was with you on all bets you posted yesterday . Still think the Giants get one of the next 2 games . GL man and thanks for posting .

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#77
Posted: 6/30/2012 9:30:18 AM
QUOTE
bikemcr...Yes on the Indians.  Per McShady, Semper is very busy Fri-Sun and can't post much.  Unless, Semper officially changes his play with a direct post, we should assume his original series plays all stand.

Hope this helps.

After another winning day yesterday (Reds!!), Personally, I'm going to take the day off and see what options we have tomorrow with the 4 game series trend.  BOL to All!


Originally Posted by bikemcr:

McShady : do you know if Semperfi is still on the Indians . He was right to stay on the Reds at least for Friday . I was with you on all bets you posted yesterday . Still think the Giants get one of the next 2 games . GL man and thanks for posting .

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Posted: 6/30/2012 11:57:50 AM
McShady, Texas is starting another minor league pitcher. He's from AAA and the other one they brought up a couple of weeks ago (Grimm) was from AA ball. This AAA Perez was their SECOND choice and only after they were forced to bring him up or use a bullpen pitcher as a starter, which they didn't want to do. This will be his major league debut as far as I know.

The streak of -1.5 winning series was mainly with their regular pitchers except for Feldman. Now we have Feldman, Oswalt and 2 minor league pitchers in the rotation. Wow.

My question is, how confident are you on the -1.5 play? Oakland has covered the F5 both games.
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#79
Posted: 6/30/2012 12:01:55 PM
Weird, my book has no F5RL or F5 total on the Astros game but does on every other game.
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paster21
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Posted: 6/30/2012 12:11:05 PM
I am on Texas -1.5 and it will be a sweat.  We got screwed last night 2 outs in the ninth and solo homer.  I am on Sox over, not sure why we just don't chase these trends.  Only ones left are Red Sox and Seattle over, Texas, Angels under and Nats Over which pushed last night
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#81
Posted: 6/30/2012 12:12:50 PM
Philly over on the road 13-3 when favored. I'll put a little on that because I read that Hamels games are usually under on the road.
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#82
Posted: 6/30/2012 12:15:31 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

I was just playing around on my MLB numbers board and I just saw the best % so far this year on my hometown team and I can't believe I didn't catch it earlier. 

When the PHILLIES are a FAVORITE, the OVER is 34-14...that's 70%. 

Easy CHASE % 

 

Playing that trend here

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Posted: 6/30/2012 12:26:25 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by paster21:

I am on Texas -1.5 and it will be a sweat.  We got screwed last night 2 outs in the ninth and solo homer.  I am on Sox over, not sure why we just don't chase these trends.  Only ones left are Red Sox and Seattle over, Texas, Angels under and Nats Over which pushed last night


I know what you mean about the trends, those have been good ones. But since there were so many 4 game series this time, there are teams that won the first game and have not won again, which the 4-game series trend says they will (Cle, Det, Sea, SF, Angels).

My problem is, this seems like too many teams to chase at one time but if a person waited until Sunday they could do a one game jump-in on the ones that are still in play.

I'm going to stay with Texas-1.5, Bos/Sea over, Angels under and Nats over and then wait until Sunday for the 4-game trend teams and play the ones that lose tonight. Of course I am already on Semper's Cleveland chase.

I am also on McShady's Astros and SF plays, but I may have to take Astros F5ML as I can't get the RL+ on the F5 for some reason.
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MR TINGLES
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Posted: 6/30/2012 12:30:45 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

McShady, Texas is starting another minor league pitcher. He's from AAA and the other one they brought up a couple of weeks ago (Grimm) was from AA ball. This AAA Perez was their SECOND choice and only after they were forced to bring him up or use a bullpen pitcher as a starter, which they didn't want to do. This will be his major league debut as far as I know.

The streak of -1.5 winning series was mainly with their regular pitchers except for Feldman. Now we have Feldman, Oswalt and 2 minor league pitchers in the rotation. Wow.

My question is, how confident are you on the -1.5 play? Oakland has covered the F5 both games.

 

NOT TRUE ..THE FIRST GAME I HAD ROSS AND THEY GAVE UP 4 RUNS IN THE INNING AS THE RELIEVER WALKED 3 AND I LOST

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Posted: 6/30/2012 12:47:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MR TINGLES:

 

NOT TRUE ..THE FIRST GAME I HAD ROSS AND THEY GAVE UP 4 RUNS IN THE INNING AS THE RELIEVER WALKED 3 AND I LOST



Yes, sorry about that. You are right. I was watching it at work and got distracted. I remember the lead 4-2 and thought it was the 5th inning but it was the 4th and Texas scored 4 in the bottom of fifth to make it 6-4. Thanks for correcting me!

So, after last night, Oakland won on F5 and F5 RL, which now makes them 12-0 in a 3-4 game series on the road on the F5RL! I wish I had it last night but I had Tex-1.5 and didn't want to bet against myself. Thanks again for your help!
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Posted: 6/30/2012 1:30:54 PM
Hey Sportsfan!  I have no real opinion on the Rangers. I'll prob play A's TT ov4.5 to cover the bet. Don't know yet. 

As far as my Chases I'm just betting the minimums today cause I have more faith in them tmrw. Added a F5 Reds/Cubs parlay +300 as a backup. 

Hey look...the Yanks scored in the 1st again 
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Posted: 6/30/2012 1:48:33 PM
McShady : do you have Giants F5 +RL or ML .
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Posted: 6/30/2012 1:49:26 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by McShady:

I was just playing around on my MLB numbers board and I just saw the best % so far this year on my hometown team and I can't believe I didn't catch it earlier. 

When the PHILLIES are a FAVORITE, the OVER is 34-14...that's 70%. 

Easy CHASE % 

Courtesy of...I AM PLOTICUS
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Posted: 6/30/2012 1:50:59 PM
GIANTS F5 ML
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Posted: 6/30/2012 2:54:17 PM
I'm still plotting my F5 data for the month of June and I found this tidbit. Dodgers are 1-12 in the F5 in League play this month. 

METS F5 
RL- (even)
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Posted: 6/30/2012 2:56:04 PM
*correction 1-11
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#92
Posted: 6/30/2012 3:05:32 PM
Added

INDIANS F5
RL- (-115)
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#93
Posted: 6/30/2012 3:07:54 PM
Damn typos...sorry in a rush

INDIANS F5
RL+ (-115)
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#94
Posted: 6/30/2012 3:10:51 PM
gl today
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Posted: 6/30/2012 4:11:21 PM

Hey everyone....Yes, I am still on my Tribe..15 hits last night and lost.  Still think they get at least a 4 game split.  

Reds a +150 winner....200 to win 300 awesome!

Tribe +105   Bet 2    200 to win 210

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Posted: 6/30/2012 4:40:54 PM
Thanks for posting Semperfi . Already on it .
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paster21
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#97
Posted: 6/30/2012 9:33:02 PM
I jumped on that Mets F5 thanks mcshady.  On Texas -1.5 and red sox over.  Need these 2.  My Rays early week chase really hurt.
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Posted: 6/30/2012 9:51:07 PM
What do you guys think about Boston and Seattle?
Posted using a mobile device.
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paster21
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#99
Posted: 6/30/2012 11:00:55 PM
I have the over, bottom of 3rd and I would say no chance Over come in.
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#100
Posted: 6/30/2012 11:29:42 PM
i guess im chasing the Boston over tomoro and the LAA under and the Giants and the Cards and LAA to win
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