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[MLB Betting] Topic: 5-8 Team Parlay - System |
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Guaji |
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#226 Posted: 7/1/2012 11:21:04 AM
1. Arizona ML
2. Cleveland/Baltimore over 10
3. LAA ML
4. Oakland 
Risk 0.2 unit to win 3.7 units.
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Guaji |
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#227 Posted: 7/1/2012 11:39:19 AM
1. Philies ML
2. Nationals ML
3. Arizona ML
4. Col/SD Padres Over 12
Risk 1 unit to win 14.4 units.
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Guaji |
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#228 Posted: 7/1/2012 11:47:59 AM
1. Philis
2. Cleveland/Baltimore Under 9.5
Risk 1 unit to win 2.8 units.
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Guaji |
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#229 Posted: 7/1/2012 11:51:16 AM
1. Philies/Miami Over 9. Risk 2.3 to win 2 units (The Over System).
2. Cleveland/Baltimore Under 9.5 Risk 1.05 unit to win 1 unit.
3. Philis ML risk 1.07 to win 1 unit.
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archtown |
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#230 Posted: 7/1/2012 11:55:25 AM
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Guaji |
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#231 Posted: 7/1/2012 11:57:13 AM
1. Nationals/Braves Over 8
2. SD padres/Col Over 12
3. Yankees/Whitesox Over 10
Risk 1 unit to win 6 units.
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Guaji |
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#232 Posted: 7/1/2012 12:04:50 PM
1. Philies/Miami Over 9. Risk 2.3 to win 2 units (The Over System).
2. Cleveland/Baltimore Under 9.5 Risk 1.05 unit to win 1 unit.
3. Philis ML risk 1.07 to win 1 unit.
4. Atlanta/Nationals Over 8 Risk 1 unit win 1 unit.
5. Arizona ML risk 1 unit win 1.23 units
6. SD/Col Over 12 risk 2.4 to win 2 units
7. Cleveland/Baltimore risk 2.2 to win 2 units.
8. Detroit ML risk 1 unit win 1.06 units
9. Yankees/White Sox over 10 risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit.
10. KC Royals/Twins under 8 risk 1 unit to win 1 unit.
11. (EURO) First half Italy vs Spain Draw risk 1.25 units to win 1 unit.
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cardifkill |
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#233 Posted: 7/1/2012 12:07:11 PM  |
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Guaji |
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#234 Posted: 7/1/2012 12:10:37 PM
1. Philis/Miami Under 9
2. Nationals ML 
3. Arizona ML
4. Pits/Cardinals Over 9
5. Cubs ML 
6. Rockies ML
Risk 1 unit to win 43 units
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popeyoss |
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#235 Posted: 7/1/2012 12:39:18 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Guaji:
LOL Tell me that man, I even didn't check the results till next day. I know many people don't believe in that but I will tell you how I see it:
1. Texas (81%) vs Oakland (19%) : Texas won and the line movement was -15 points.
2. Baltimore (81%) vs Cleveland (19%): Cleveland won and the line movement was -11 points.
3. NY Yankees (81%) vs Chicago white sox (19%): Yankees won and the line movement was up +17 points.
4. Boston (81%) vs Mariners (19%): Mariners won and the line movement was -11 points.
Can you see the relation here that Vegas give us? I know that 90% of the people don't believe in movements and things like this. But believe me they 90% of the time will win, they have extremely complex algorithms to get some results and not to mention the BIGGEST data that they have in sports.
Why the under? Well, Boston and Mariners bats are really bad. But also is something like I explained with the side.
Definitely. It's just that the amount of runners in scoring position that the red sox squandered against their bullpen was absurd. That coupled with their brainless manager having zero strategy for manufacturing runs in crucial situations, you know?
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Guaji |
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#236 Posted: 7/1/2012 12:44:21 PM
1.Nationals +1.5 (RL)
2. Col/SD padres Over 12
3. Indians/Baltimore Under 9
4. Whitesox RL +1.5
5. Oakland RL +1.5
Risk 2 units to win 30 units (This is the first time I risk 2 units in a 5 team parlay).
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cardifkill |
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#237 Posted: 7/1/2012 12:58:50 PM
Cinci and Lad today.
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Guaji |
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#238 Posted: 7/1/2012 12:59:40 PM
1. Nationals RL
2. Arizona RL
3. METS RL
4. Baltimore/Cleveland under 9
5. Baltimore ML
6. Detroit RL
7. Chicago Whitesox/Yankees Over 10
8. CHI WSOX ML
9. LAA ML
10. OAKLAND RL
Risk 0.2 to win 28 units.
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Guaji |
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#239 Posted: 7/1/2012 1:02:14 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by cardifkill:
Yo Guaji.
Cinci and Lad today.
I was going with LAD today with a closed eyes but there were a move that I didn't like it
NYM: 36% ML : +130
LAD: 64% ML: -150
Then it moved:
NYM: 36% ML : +115
LAD: 64% ML: -135
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Guaji |
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#240 Posted: 7/1/2012 1:06:44 PM
1.Nationals
2. Arizona
3. NY METS
4. Baltimore
5. CHI W SOX
6. OAK
Risk 0.2 to win 20 units.
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Guaji |
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#241 Posted: 7/1/2012 1:08:16 PM
1. Philies/Miami Over 9. Risk 2.3 to win 2 units (The Over System).
2. Cleveland/Baltimore Under 9.5 Risk 1.05 unit to win 1 unit.
3. Philis ML risk 1.07 to win 1 unit.
4. Atlanta/Nationals Over 8 Risk 1 unit win 1 unit.
5. Arizona ML risk 1 unit win 1.23 units
6. SD/Col Over 12 risk 2.4 to win 2 units
7. Cleveland/Baltimore risk 2.2 to win 2 units.
8. Detroit ML risk 1 unit win 1.06 units
9. Yankees/White Sox over 10 risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit.
10. KC Royals/Twins under 8 risk 1 unit to win 1 unit.
11. (EURO) First half Italy vs Spain Draw risk 1.25 units to win 1 unit.
12. Baltimore risk 2.2 to win 2
13. Nationals risk 2.3 to win 2
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Guaji |
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#242 Posted: 7/1/2012 1:09:35 PM
1. Arizona
2. Baltimore
Risk 1 unit to win 3.1 units.
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Guaji |
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#243 Posted: 7/2/2012 7:32:37 AM
1. Philies/Miami Over 9. Risk 2.3 to win 2 units (The Over System). (-2.3)
2. Cleveland/Baltimore Under 9.5 Risk 1.05 unit to win 1 unit. (+1.0)
3. Philis ML risk 1.07 to win 1 unit. (-1.07)
4. Atlanta/Nationals Over 8 Risk 1 unit win 1 unit. (+1.0)
5. Arizona ML risk 1 unit win 1.23 units (-1.0)
6. SD/Col Over 12 risk 2.4 to win 2 units (-2.4)
7. Cleveland/Baltimore risk 2.2 to win 2 units. (+2.2)
8. Detroit ML risk 1 unit win 1.06 units (+1.06)
9. Yankees/White Sox over 10 risk 1.15 units to win 1 unit. (-1.15)
10. KC Royals/Twins under 8 risk 1 unit to win 1 unit. (-1.0)
11. (EURO) First half Italy vs Spain Draw risk 1.25 units to win 1 unit.(-1.25)
12. Baltimore risk 2.2 to win 2 (-2.2)
13. Nationals risk 2.3 to win 2 (+2.0)
Total:
Parlays: 10 - 49 ( 2.77 units)
Single
Bets: 33 - 36 - 3 ( +5.95 )
The Over System: 3-3 (+0.7) (This is counted already in the single bets, but just to document the over system that I am testing). |
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Guaji |
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#244 Posted: 7/2/2012 8:00:38 AM
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Guaji |
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#245 Posted: 7/2/2012 9:05:40 AM
Parlay #1: "Big Card"
1. Houston +1.5 RL
2. Atlanta ML
3. Miami +1.5 RL
4. COLORADO +1.5 RL (I think this the big trap of today)
5. Dodgers +1.5 RL (They will start to win finally)
6. Cleveland Indians +1.5 RL
7. Detroit ML (Again they will start to win)
8. TB Rays (Finally!)
9. Oakland +1.5 RL
Risk 0.2 to win 22.2 units.
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Paidonjok |
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#246 Posted: 7/2/2012 9:06:16 AM  . BOL to you on your picks today!
Once ITALY's Balotelli said that he's gonna score 4 goals on Spain, I jumped ship. He got way too arrogant and proud of himself to make a statement like that. Little boy has a lot of learn. 
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GLENNNASS |
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#247 Posted: 7/2/2012 9:25:04 AM |
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Guaji |
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#248 Posted: 7/2/2012 9:34:48 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Paidonjok: I like how you name your parlays! That, alone, is interesting to read! . BOL to you on your picks today! Once ITALY's Balotelli said that he's gonna score 4 goals on Spain, I jumped ship. He got way too arrogant and proud of himself to make a statement like that. Little boy has a lot of learn.
Dammm I didn't read that, I wish I read that I will put 10* on Spain... 
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Guaji |
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#249 Posted: 7/2/2012 9:36:12 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by GLENNNASS:
Just started following.Great effort you put in , lets get some parlays.
Thanks mate, the beauty of Parlays that you don't need to win all of them to be positive, just one per day and you will be in the positive side 
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Guaji |
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#250 Posted: 7/2/2012 6:00:03 PM
1. Colorado Rockies ML
2. Rockies/STL Under 9
3. CIN/Dodgers Under 7
4. Dodgers ML
5. Yankees/TB Rays Under 8.5
6. Seattle/Baltimore Under 7
Risk 0.5 to win 37 units.
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