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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Blind's ML Parlays 2nd 30 Days
CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#226 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:21:58 PM Yeah, I should have gone with more dogs today...but I picked the smallest faves I could find that seemed like winners. Its not over yet, the Cards came back top 9th so we still have a chance to go +4.34U for the day if the BJays hold on after the rain delay, and the A's pull it off. A bunch of IFs, but you never know. If anyone has suggestions to improve this system in the future, just post ideas. BOL
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ShadowWarrior	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Nov 2002 Posts: 6344 Location: Hawaii	#227 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:30:56 PM Yes it is a good try with Jays, Cards and hopefully Oakland. I need Oakland to in my chase. I already split with NYY and lost with Tampa. So at least one game two chase tomorrow versus KC.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#228 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:45:45 PM Did you take my RR or are you just watching?
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#229 Posted: 6/26/2012 12:28:11 AM 1 out away from +4.34 Units on my first RR post. Hopefully a good sign of the future of this thead. Only time will tell
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ShadowWarrior	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Nov 2002 Posts: 6344 Location: Hawaii	#230 Posted: 6/26/2012 12:46:13 AM Real good since dogs outnumbered favs today. AL only NYY were fav winners. NL had only two fav winners,Phil's and CN. AL had five dog winners. NL had 4 dog winners. This was Blind's major thrust. Keep it going. You are on the right track. Blind Monkey II. I'll try to be of help any way I can. I can't cap for beans.
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TheSituation559	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 2819 Location:	#231 Posted: 6/26/2012 1:20:15 AM I'm new to following baseball and this is my first year betting it. But wouldn't it make sense for the favs to start winning more games after the break? Baseball is a marathon. The havenots do okay before the break but don't they eventually fall off and the team with more skill take off?
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Stake24	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Apr 2007 Posts: 323 Location: Nevada	#232 Posted: 6/26/2012 1:28:55 AM
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#233 Posted: 6/26/2012 12:10:14 PM TheSituation, there are a ton of factors in baseball that need to be taken into consideration. Sometimes a team will be favored slightly by having their Ace on the mound at Home even when the visiting team may have a better all around team. Taking favorites all the time is almost always a losing strategy since you have to pay the Vig when losing. The Rangers were a -240 or higher favorite over the Rockies a couple days ago and lost 11-7. So you would be paying almost 2.5 units to win 1 unit in that situation. So you are backig yourself into a hole when they lose, and when they win you are only making 1 unit. Not t
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#234 Posted: 6/26/2012 12:12:43 PM NOT SMART! IMO it is a good idea to stay away from huge faves. Any team can win on any day.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#235 Posted: 6/26/2012 12:25:36 PM Im having a couple Beers and Hot Wings at Hooters, so I will be posting today's picks in a couple hours in case anyone was wondering. Any tips on todays games are welcome until then.
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ShadowWarrior	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Nov 2002 Posts: 6344 Location: Hawaii	#236 Posted: 6/26/2012 1:44:17 PM You did good on your first RR hit. I think was good strategy to mix in a few small favs with dogs. When you hit all four is when you know you have arrived to what Blind was doing. Three out of four is good on any day. Two out of three for me but with a chase, I still have two more chances to make it a three out of three because it is a series record of no sweeps we are looking at. Totally different strategies and angles and now the guys who started this are adding totals and first five innings and other variables to the original model. I stick to the simpler model. Look for three game series where there will be no sweeps and stay off a team that gets swept. Once my team wins, I look for another chase. With NYY and Oak winning, I only have Tampa unless I start another today with new series, AZ/ATL or LAA/Balt or wait till Thurs. I have tennis and Euro soccer keeping me busy also.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#237 Posted: 6/26/2012 2:17:07 PM I follow a capper from another site who will remain nameless for all of my Soccer and Tennis picks as I have absolutely no clue about those sports. I will continue to post here everyday, and I am pretty sure 4 out of 4 will happen eventually. I ask you not to be discouraged with losing days bc the 4 out of 4 will hit eventually and will make up for all the losing days plus some. BOL all, and will have my picks up shortly.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#238 Posted: 6/26/2012 2:18:19 PM <====BTW, I look like a blimp in this pic
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#239 Posted: 6/26/2012 2:51:14 PM YESTERDAYS RESULTS Monday JUNE 25 ML Parlays STL(-109),TOR(+139),OAK(-122) 1 U to Win +7.34 U= win STL(-109),TOR(+139),TB(-110) 1 U to Win +7.75 U= loss STL(-109),OAK(-122),TB(-110) 1 U to Win +5.66 U= loss TOR(+139),OAK(-122),TB(-110) 1 U to Win +7.30 U= loss YTD 1 Wins 3 Loss = +4.34 Units Tuesday June 26th ML Parlays STL(-122),ARI(+120),TB(+107) 1 U to Win +7.28 U STL(-122),ARI(+120),CHW(-121) 1 U to Win +6.31 U STL(-122),TB(+107),CHW(-121) 1 U to Win +5.88 U ARI(+120),TB(+107),CHW(-121) 1 U to Win +7.32 U LETS GET SOME $$$
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Chaps04	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: South Point \|
Prospect Joined: Feb 2011 Posts: 191 Location: Michigan	#240 Posted: 6/26/2012 6:41:08 PM I still like adding the 4-team parlay on the end for a unit. If you hit 3 of 4 you are still up... and if you do hit all 4 you end up with a huge pay day. This system seems to be risk/reward. So why not just go for it by adding the 1 unit 4 teamer.
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TheSituation559	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 2819 Location:	#241 Posted: 6/27/2012 11:30:31 AM you guys thinking about adding over /unders?
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#242 Posted: 6/27/2012 12:45:26 PM Chaps04...I dont like adding the 4 teamer because Blind had good success without it. When I am really feeling good about the picks I might do it on my own, but everytime you have 1 or more losing game you lose a Unit on that bet. That 1 Unit adds up pretty quickly, just my opinion. TheSituation...I almost added the Under in the CWS game yesterday in place of the Rays, but I figured decided to take the + odds instead.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#243 Posted: 6/27/2012 12:52:56 PM Todays pick(dont have time to put in BM format)... Yanks Over 7.5, Red Sox Over 10, Cardinals ML, White Sox ML. BOL all
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#244 Posted: 6/27/2012 12:57:47 PM Correction...Yanks Over 9.5
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kinggeorge27	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2006 Posts: 3541 Location: United States	#245 Posted: 6/27/2012 1:02:15 PM BOL on the parlays, CM.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#246 Posted: 6/27/2012 3:00:01 PM Thanks, same to you KG...wishing the Over was 7.5 right about now. Come on yanks, lets score some runs.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#247 Posted: 6/27/2012 5:13:15 PM Lost by .5 runs in the Yankees game, and it was the only game to go under today thus far. Oh well, we still have 1/4 that can hit. If anyone is interested in another RR for tonights games just let me know and I will start looking into it. BOL all.
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#248 Posted: 6/27/2012 6:59:40 PM YESTERDAYS RESULTS Tuesday June 26th ML Parlays STL(-122),ARI(+120),TB(+107) 1 U to Win +7.28 U= loss STL(-122),ARI(+120),CHW(-121) 1 U to Win +6.31 U= loss STL(-122),TB(+107),CHW(-121) 1 U to Win +5.88 U= loss ARI(+120),TB(+107),CHW(-121) 1 U to Win +7.32 U= loss YTD 1 Wins 3 Loss = +0.34 Units Wednesday Early Games June 27th ML Parlays STL(+118),NYYo9.5(+100), BOSo10(+100) 1 U to Win +7.72 U STL(+118), NYYo9.5(+100),CHW(-170) 1 U to Win +5.92 U STL(+118), BOSo10(+100),CHW(-170) 1 U to Win +5.92 U NYYo9.5(+100), BOSo10(+100),CHW(-170) 1 U to Win +5.35 U
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#249 Posted: 6/27/2012 7:04:23 PM Here are the 4 late game picks for another RR today. I will have it up in BM format soon. BOL TONIGHT!!! Angels ML, Braves ML, PhilliesO8, Padres/Astros O8.5
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CappyMcCappersn	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 33 Location: Texas	#250 Posted: 6/27/2012 7:18:38 PM Ok guys, sorry I didnt get these up earlier(although Im not sure anyone is following them anyways) but I had a long day at work today. Anyways, here is todays 2nd Round Robin for the Night Games in Blinds Original Format. Wednesday LATE Games June 27th ML Parlays PHIo8(-115),LAA(-123),ATL(-133) 1 U to Win +4.99 U PHIo8(-115),LAA(-123),HOUo8.5(-120) 1 U to Win +5.21 U PHIo8(-115),ATL(-133),HOUo8.5(-120) 1 U to Win +5.06 U LAA(-123),ATL(-133),HOUo8.5(-120) 1 U to Win +4.88 U
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