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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: May 3 Mariners at Tampa Bay
3825 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#1
Posted: 5/3/2012 10:27:24 AM
Can I go back to well again?  It would pain me to do so, but you can't just subscribe to the theory of large numbers when you want to.

Need to do a bit of research on the pitchers before hand.

If Michael Saunders makes two great, but not Griffeyesque catches, the past two games are perhaps a diffferent story.

I still trust Wedge to have the team focused, but this is the final day of an 11 day trip for a young ball club.  Hmmmm.

Basically, I'm trying to talk my way out of backing these clowns again at the same price for a third consecutive day.

The Rays haven't exactly made Beavan and Noesi and the poor end of the Mariners pen look like Rangers pitchers of the pre-Ryan era.
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#2
Posted: 5/3/2012 10:31:03 AM
I really like the Ms in this spot. especially at +1.5 I think all the games have been close and the M's might be able to steal this one or at least keep it close. Seems like a lot of M's games they score early then check out

Maybe M's 1st 5?

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#3
Posted: 5/3/2012 10:51:12 AM
Good point on the first 5,  the mariners have struggled versus most bullpens this year.
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#4
Posted: 5/3/2012 10:53:42 AM
Mariners Lineup
LF  Figgins
2B  Ackley
RF  Ichiro
3B  Seager
C   Jaso
DH  Carp
1B  Smoak
CF  Saunders
SS  Kawasaki

downgrade for this lineup, Jaso for Montero  . . . Seager batting 4th . . .and how many more MLB starts will Figgins gets.  At least he can get the ball out of infield, unlike Brendan Ryan
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#5
Posted: 5/3/2012 10:59:43 AM
I agree Figgins is slumping but maybe today he breaks out.

He is 7/14 lifetime vs Niemann with avg at .500
Ichiro hasnt had much success though going 4/18 batting .222

Rays suck vs Millwood lifetime too.
Jeez maybe we switch gears to the UNDER? LOL
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#6
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:11:26 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Maydaymalone:

I agree Figgins is slumping but maybe today he breaks out.

He is 7/14 lifetime vs Niemann with avg at .500
Ichiro hasnt had much success though going 4/18 batting .222

Rays suck vs Millwood lifetime too.
Jeez maybe we switch gears to the UNDER? LOL

Malone, the under in Tamap is never a bad move. The Rays are 20-41 to the under last 61 games at home vs. a team with a losing record.

I,too have burned thru $300 on the Mariners in this series. The fact the Rays have won 3 straight nail-biters is the microcosm of why they'll be in the playoffs, and Seattle won't. Sadly, I'm willing to try one more time.

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#7
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:11:38 AM
garbage here I go again..... Back on the m's

Gl to u 3825
Posted using a mobile device.
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#8
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:14:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Getty3:

Malone, the under in Tamap is never a bad move. The Rays are 20-41 to the under last 61 games at home vs. a team with a losing record.

I,too have burned thru $300 on the Mariners in this series. The fact the Rays have won 3 straight nail-biters is the microcosm of why they'll be in the playoffs, and Seattle won't. Sadly, I'm willing to try one more time.



Yeah I really like the +1.5 RL for the M's and the under.
and M's 1st 5 innings.

Good luck to us. Hopefully the M's can squeek out a win maybe 4-2
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#9
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:19:58 AM
Rays Lineup
CF  Jennings
1B  Pena
RF  Joyce
DH  Scott
LF  Allen
2B  Rhymes
3B  Keppinger
C    Giminez
SS  Rodriguez
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#10
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:21:43 AM
Derryl Cousins is the scheduled home plate umpire
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#11
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:24:16 AM
I'm on the Ms first five as part of a chase. Odds are good enough that I'd actually make up for my losses on the first two games if it hits without needing to up my bet.
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#12
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:24:41 AM
Also on the Under 8 -117.
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#13
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:25:21 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 3825:

Derryl Cousins is the scheduled home plate umpire


He is an UNDER machine as an ump.

OK I am hooked.
M's 1st 5
M's RL +1.5
Under

Good Luck
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#14
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:30:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Maydaymalone:



He is an UNDER machine as an ump.

OK I am hooked.
M's 1st 5
M's RL +1.5
Under

Good Luck


Tread a bit lightly with Cousins,  his previous 4 seasons are not consistent with his record this season.
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#15
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:32:30 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 3825:



Tread a bit lightly with Cousins,  his previous 4 seasons are not consistent with his record this season.


He was just the icing on the cake.
I am going by hitters career numbers vs pitchers
who is in, who isnt. Getaway day, early game as well as umps.
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#16
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:42:56 AM
Under 8
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#17
Posted: 5/3/2012 12:30:45 PM
I'm joining the others

Mariners ML 0.8 units at +153
Mariners Alt RL  0.3 units at +240
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#18
Posted: 5/3/2012 12:33:10 PM
Season Record:  6-8  -0.68 units
Average Price:   +117
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#19
Posted: 5/3/2012 12:58:41 PM
One of my favorite MLB daily threads, thanks for the info 3825
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#20
Posted: 5/3/2012 1:03:00 PM
As always great conversation here!
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#21
Posted: 5/3/2012 1:05:51 PM
M´S +1.5
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#22
Posted: 5/3/2012 1:25:05 PM
kapono,  thanks. . . i will be slacking a bit this weekend, as my attention shifts to the dirt in louisville.  first race at 7:30am pacific.  will need some 5 hour energies before i hit the cold ones.
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#23
Posted: 5/3/2012 1:32:42 PM
Cousins Notoriously has had one of the smallest strike zones from all umpires along with Joe West and Mclelland
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#24
Posted: 5/3/2012 1:33:41 PM
and does not believe in giving the knee high strike
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#25
Posted: 5/3/2012 1:43:31 PM
agreed on cousins, his under record this season does not correlate with his low strike % of years past.
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