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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: May 3 Mariners at Tampa Bay
3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#1 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:27:24 AM Can I go back to well again? It would pain me to do so, but you can't just subscribe to the theory of large numbers when you want to. Need to do a bit of research on the pitchers before hand. If Michael Saunders makes two great, but not Griffeyesque catches, the past two games are perhaps a diffferent story. I still trust Wedge to have the team focused, but this is the final day of an 11 day trip for a young ball club. Hmmmm. Basically, I'm trying to talk my way out of backing these clowns again at the same price for a third consecutive day. The Rays haven't exactly made Beavan and Noesi and the poor end of the Mariners pen look like Rangers pitchers of the pre-Ryan era.
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Maydaymalone	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jun 2009 Posts: 5983 Location: New York	#2 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:31:03 AM I really like the Ms in this spot. especially at +1.5 I think all the games have been close and the M's might be able to steal this one or at least keep it close. Seems like a lot of M's games they score early then check out Maybe M's 1st 5?
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#3 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:51:12 AM Good point on the first 5, the mariners have struggled versus most bullpens this year.
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#4 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:53:42 AM Mariners Lineup LF Figgins 2B Ackley RF Ichiro 3B Seager C Jaso DH Carp 1B Smoak CF Saunders SS Kawasaki downgrade for this lineup, Jaso for Montero . . . Seager batting 4th . . .and how many more MLB starts will Figgins gets. At least he can get the ball out of infield, unlike Brendan Ryan
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Maydaymalone	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jun 2009 Posts: 5983 Location: New York	#5 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:59:43 AM I agree Figgins is slumping but maybe today he breaks out. He is 7/14 lifetime vs Niemann with avg at .500 Ichiro hasnt had much success though going 4/18 batting .222 Rays suck vs Millwood lifetime too. Jeez maybe we switch gears to the UNDER? LOL
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Getty3	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Jan 2010 Posts: 14836 Location: Florida	#6 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:11:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Maydaymalone: I agree Figgins is slumping but maybe today he breaks out. He is 7/14 lifetime vs Niemann with avg at .500 Ichiro hasnt had much success though going 4/18 batting .222 Rays suck vs Millwood lifetime too. Jeez maybe we switch gears to the UNDER? LOL Malone, the under in Tamap is never a bad move. The Rays are 20-41 to the under last 61 games at home vs. a team with a losing record. I,too have burned thru $300 on the Mariners in this series. The fact the Rays have won 3 straight nail-biters is the microcosm of why they'll be in the playoffs, and Seattle won't. Sadly, I'm willing to try one more time.
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dallasvike	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: SBGEuro.com \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2004 Posts: 5008 Location: United States	#7 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:11:38 AM garbage here I go again..... Back on the m's Gl to u 3825
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Maydaymalone	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jun 2009 Posts: 5983 Location: New York	#8 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:14:06 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Getty3: Malone, the under in Tamap is never a bad move. The Rays are 20-41 to the under last 61 games at home vs. a team with a losing record. I,too have burned thru $300 on the Mariners in this series. The fact the Rays have won 3 straight nail-biters is the microcosm of why they'll be in the playoffs, and Seattle won't. Sadly, I'm willing to try one more time. Yeah I really like the +1.5 RL for the M's and the under. and M's 1st 5 innings. Good luck to us. Hopefully the M's can squeek out a win maybe 4-2
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#9 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:19:58 AM Rays Lineup CF Jennings 1B Pena RF Joyce DH Scott LF Allen 2B Rhymes 3B Keppinger C Giminez SS Rodriguez
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#10 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:21:43 AM Derryl Cousins is the scheduled home plate umpire
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PujolsJunkie	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2010 Posts: 1828 Location: New York	#11 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:24:16 AM I'm on the Ms first five as part of a chase. Odds are good enough that I'd actually make up for my losses on the first two games if it hits without needing to up my bet.
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PujolsJunkie	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Oct 2010 Posts: 1828 Location: New York	#12 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:24:41 AM Also on the Under 8 -117.
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Maydaymalone	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jun 2009 Posts: 5983 Location: New York	#13 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:25:21 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by 3825: Derryl Cousins is the scheduled home plate umpire He is an UNDER machine as an ump. OK I am hooked. M's 1st 5 M's RL +1.5 Under Good Luck
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#14 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:30:40 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Maydaymalone: He is an UNDER machine as an ump. OK I am hooked. M's 1st 5 M's RL +1.5 Under Good Luck Tread a bit lightly with Cousins, his previous 4 seasons are not consistent with his record this season.
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Maydaymalone	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jun 2009 Posts: 5983 Location: New York	#15 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:32:30 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by 3825: Tread a bit lightly with Cousins, his previous 4 seasons are not consistent with his record this season. He was just the icing on the cake. I am going by hitters career numbers vs pitchers who is in, who isnt. Getaway day, early game as well as umps.
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Henry-Lilly	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: Bellagio \|
All-Star Joined: Nov 2007 Posts: 10326 Location: Texas	#16 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:42:56 AM Under 8
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#17 Posted: 5/3/2012 12:30:45 PM I'm joining the others Mariners ML 0.8 units at +153 Mariners Alt RL 0.3 units at +240
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#18 Posted: 5/3/2012 12:33:10 PM Season Record: 6-8 -0.68 units Average Price: +117
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kaponofor3	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Nov 2007 Posts: 33915 Location: California	#19 Posted: 5/3/2012 12:58:41 PM One of my favorite MLB daily threads, thanks for the info 3825
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tinfoils	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jun 2002 Posts: 34952 Location:	#20 Posted: 5/3/2012 1:03:00 PM As always great conversation here!
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BET-MAN	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 5195 Location:	#21 Posted: 5/3/2012 1:05:51 PM M´S +1.5
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#22 Posted: 5/3/2012 1:25:05 PM kapono, thanks. . . i will be slacking a bit this weekend, as my attention shifts to the dirt in louisville. first race at 7:30am pacific. will need some 5 hour energies before i hit the cold ones.
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fedex11204	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2003 Posts: 2441 Location: New York	#23 Posted: 5/3/2012 1:32:42 PM Cousins Notoriously has had one of the smallest strike zones from all umpires along with Joe West and Mclelland
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fedex11204	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2003 Posts: 2441 Location: New York	#24 Posted: 5/3/2012 1:33:41 PM and does not believe in giving the knee high strike
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3825	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Jan 2006 Posts: 8629 Location: British Columbia	#25 Posted: 5/3/2012 1:43:31 PM agreed on cousins, his under record this season does not correlate with his low strike % of years past.
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