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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: savings account on the line
collegegambler send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#276
Posted: 5/3/2012 4:15:33 PM
once i see posted lineups if the angels arent resting anyone i will be on them tonight.  they have cost me so much but i think they are going to start to turn it around.   two good pitchers i give slight edge and home field to haren
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#277
Posted: 5/3/2012 4:19:48 PM
So, collegegambler...no hard feelings here or anything but please don't girl on the next bad beat or a blown save. Things like this happen all the time. You have been wagering for a few years so you know this. Be smart with what you did today and don't wager on anything tonight. The smaller amount of plays you make the better. Good luck.
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#278
Posted: 5/3/2012 4:33:19 PM

fair enough  absolutxedge  

my list of brutal losses is still unprececedented all listed in this thread  but for one afternoon game   man it felt good to get a PHANTOM win

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#279
Posted: 5/3/2012 4:41:00 PM
I lose almost every time I try to win back my losses on one game.  Its like the gambling gods wont allow it to be that easy.  And the only one I remember hitting was 2 years ago Cavs at Kings.  Bet my whole account on Cavs moneyline and they needed a 4th quarter comeback just to take it to OT and win.  Like I said, never easy.  Maybe your luck is better than mine, but I would advise against doing this
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#280
Posted: 5/3/2012 4:46:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by collegegambler:

fair enough  absolutxedge  

my list of brutal losses is still unprececedented all listed in this thread  but for one afternoon game   man it felt good to get a PHANTOM win

There have been a lot of blowin saves this year....today you were on the right side of one. Just don't do anything stupid tonight. Let's be honest here...you were in great position and should have won the games you previoulsy posted. However, you shouldn't have won today and I'm sure you know that. I would take the rest of the night off and look for another solid play. Just my opinion but take what you deposited and some extra that you know for sure you made some profit. I would try to have a realistic goal for May since the month is still early. However, if it is not looking good then readjust your goal...or make a new one for June. I'm 25 myself...but goals and money practice management help me.

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#281
Posted: 5/3/2012 5:18:33 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by collegegambler:

 

I don't know.  I assume that there were other games like today's win that have slipped your mind.  We always remember the bad things.

The point everyone has been making for the last 4 days is to do your research - don't chase your losses - and stick to a game plan.  Which based on your responses has had no effect on your approach...

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#282
Posted: 5/3/2012 5:40:08 PM
Take the Thunder plus the points tonight!!!
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#283
Posted: 5/3/2012 6:16:55 PM

4 team 100 dollar parlay 

zona, cleveland, yanks, angels

$100/$1032

love the angels today.  will play them large if the parlay is out of question based on the early games

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#284
Posted: 5/3/2012 6:33:30 PM
I lost on the CUBS, but not ing about it
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#285
Posted: 5/3/2012 6:34:18 PM

took angels -150

$1275/$850

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#286
Posted: 5/3/2012 6:36:13 PM

& watch out for the Jays --- Batista has not started pounding yet & they are still winning

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#287
Posted: 5/3/2012 8:58:22 PM

everyone is on the jays.  good luck they are a good ballclub i just think angels win tonight.

ill be back win or lose fellas as always

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#288
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:32:59 PM
LOL at knicksfan.

Memphis 
Pirates
now Heat

man im 3 for 3 in this thread alone.

take the Jays tonight
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#289
Posted: 5/3/2012 9:52:41 PM
I hadn't seen any baseball today, and started reading this thread. Reading this was better than actually watching the game lol!!! Congrats college gambler. Your due for a streak.
Posted using a mobile device.
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#290
Posted: 5/3/2012 10:59:38 PM
Uh oh angels are down.. will this be another phantom win?? Just might be.. you risky guy I hope you win man!! GL Cg
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#291
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:01:07 PM
they cant hit fellas.   good call whoever took the jays at + money.  i figured the angels were due to hit one night? guess not
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#292
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:02:00 PM
QUOTE

thanks bro.   angels gotta maybe wake up just once?  if i come back here ill never bitch again lol

Originally Posted by Peraski:

I hadn't seen any baseball today, and started reading this thread. Reading this was better than actually watching the game lol!!! Congrats college gambler. Your due for a streak.

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#293
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:05:42 PM
QUOTE

thx bro. morrow is looking nasty  need to farrel takes him out and the jays pen walks the park late again i guess lol

Originally Posted by mastermind102:

Uh oh angels are down.. will this be another phantom win?? Just might be.. you risky guy I hope you win man!! GL Cg

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#294
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:11:27 PM

College,

If I can offer some advice, Angels were a play earlier in the day when they opened up at 125/135 but then they hit the price ceiling and no longer were a play.  I would set a price/value on each line rather than just a team and try to incorporate a money strategy.  I use a ratio (Kelly) with what each play must be percentage wise and then either maximize or minimize each buy/trade.  At this rate you try and beat the market's NVL and optimize your equity in each buy. 

At the time you bought the Angels at 150 they were out of range as the market had already eaten up all value.  Granted, the bottom line is picking winners, but beating the oddsmakers at their lines will show profit over the long run.  Understanding what the market is going to do with the lines is obviously a key.

I wish you the best of luck as I'm on the Angels as well with a buy at 126. 

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#295
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:16:10 PM
Another dog with fleas...just like bluestar
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#296
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:16:56 PM

College,

If I can offer some advice, Angels were a play earlier in the day when they opened up at 125/135 but then they hit the price ceiling and no longer were a play.  I would set a price/value on each line rather than just a team and try to incorporate a money strategy.  I use a ratio (Kelly) with what each play must be percentage wise and then either maximize or minimize each buy/trade.  At this rate you try and beat the market's NVL and optimize your equity in each buy. 

At the time you bought the Angels at 150 they were out of range as the market had already eaten up all value.  Granted, the bottom line is picking winners, but beating the oddsmakers at their lines will show profit over the long run.  Understanding what the market is going to do with the lines is obviously a key.

I wish you the best of luck as I'm on the Angels as well with a buy at 126. 



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#297
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:27:47 PM
QUOTE

gekko u are a solid capper.  appreciate your input.  this team just cant hit and then that two run throwing error by trumbo just did in this team

 

Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

College,

If I can offer some advice, Angels were a play earlier in the day when they opened up at 125/135 but then they hit the price ceiling and no longer were a play.  I would set a price/value on each line rather than just a team and try to incorporate a money strategy.  I use a ratio (Kelly) with what each play must be percentage wise and then either maximize or minimize each buy/trade.  At this rate you try and beat the market's NVL and optimize your equity in each buy. 

At the time you bought the Angels at 150 they were out of range as the market had already eaten up all value.  Granted, the bottom line is picking winners, but beating the oddsmakers at their lines will show profit over the long run.  Understanding what the market is going to do with the lines is obviously a key.

I wish you the best of luck as I'm on the Angels as well with a buy at 126. 

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#298
Posted: 5/3/2012 11:42:59 PM
this ones hopeless fellas   no reverse jinx here   what a garbage bet   blow jays look tough
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#299
Posted: 5/4/2012 12:02:35 AM
I HIGHLY suggest that you stop this madness and get help immediately.  You have an intense gambling problem that will do nothing but bury you and make your future extremely difficult.  I beg you to STOP.  You'll thank me later.
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#300
Posted: 5/4/2012 12:21:01 AM
You should be happy because you had two shitty picks but got bailed out on pure luck. Quit and do something else. Please please listen to me dude.
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