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[MLB Betting] Topic: savings account on the line |
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collegegambler |
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#276 Posted: 5/3/2012 4:15:33 PM |
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Absolutxedge22 |
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#277 Posted: 5/3/2012 4:19:48 PM  |
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collegegambler |
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#278 Posted: 5/3/2012 4:33:19 PM fair enough absolutxedge 
my list of brutal losses is still unprececedented all listed in this thread but for one afternoon game man it felt good to get a PHANTOM win |
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CappaDon |
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#279 Posted: 5/3/2012 4:41:00 PM |
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Absolutxedge22 |
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#280 Posted: 5/3/2012 4:46:49 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by collegegambler:
fair enough absolutxedge
my list of brutal losses is still unprececedented all listed in this thread but for one afternoon game man it felt good to get a PHANTOM win
There have been a lot of blowin saves this year....today you were on the right side of one. Just don't do anything stupid tonight. Let's be honest here...you were in great position and should have won the games you previoulsy posted. However, you shouldn't have won today and I'm sure you know that. I would take the rest of the night off and look for another solid play. Just my opinion but take what you deposited and some extra that you know for sure you made some profit. I would try to have a realistic goal for May since the month is still early. However, if it is not looking good then readjust your goal...or make a new one for June. I'm 25 myself...but goals and money practice management help me. |
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Airmail26 |
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#281 Posted: 5/3/2012 5:18:33 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by collegegambler:
I don't know. I assume that there were other games like today's win that have slipped your mind. We always remember the bad things.
The point everyone has been making for the last 4 days is to do your research - don't chase your losses - and stick to a game plan. Which based on your responses has had no effect on your approach... |
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#282 Posted: 5/3/2012 5:40:08 PM 
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#283 Posted: 5/3/2012 6:16:55 PM 4 team 100 dollar parlay
zona, cleveland, yanks, angels
$100/$1032
love the angels today. will play them large if the parlay is out of question based on the early games |
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#284 Posted: 5/3/2012 6:33:30 PM  ing about it |
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#285 Posted: 5/3/2012 6:34:18 PM took angels -150
$1275/$850 |
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#286 Posted: 5/3/2012 6:36:13 PM & watch out for the Jays --- Batista has not started pounding yet & they are still winning  |
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collegegambler |
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#287 Posted: 5/3/2012 8:58:22 PM everyone is on the jays. good luck they are a good ballclub i just think angels win tonight.
ill be back win or lose fellas as always |
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alekim |
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#288 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:32:59 PM
Memphis Pirates now Heat
man im 3 for 3 in this thread alone.
take the Jays tonight |
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#289 Posted: 5/3/2012 9:52:41 PM |
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Posted using a mobile device.quote |
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#290 Posted: 5/3/2012 10:59:38 PM |
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#291 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:01:07 PM |
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collegegambler |
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#292 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:02:00 PM QUOTEthanks bro. angels gotta maybe wake up just once? if i come back here ill never bitch again lol
Originally Posted by Peraski:
I hadn't seen any baseball today, and started reading this thread. Reading this was better than actually watching the game lol!!! Congrats college gambler. Your due for a streak. |
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collegegambler |
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#293 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:05:42 PM QUOTEthx bro. morrow is looking nasty need to farrel takes him out and the jays pen walks the park late again i guess lol
Originally Posted by mastermind102:
Uh oh angels are down.. will this be another phantom win?? Just might be.. you risky guy I hope you win man!! GL Cg |
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Gordon Gekko |
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#294 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:11:27 PM College,
If I can offer some advice, Angels were a play earlier in the day when they opened up at 125/135 but then they hit the price ceiling and no longer were a play. I would set a price/value on each line rather than just a team and try to incorporate a money strategy. I use a ratio (Kelly) with what each play must be percentage wise and then either maximize or minimize each buy/trade. At this rate you try and beat the market's NVL and optimize your equity in each buy.
At the time you bought the Angels at 150 they were out of range as the market had already eaten up all value. Granted, the bottom line is picking winners, but beating the oddsmakers at their lines will show profit over the long run. Understanding what the market is going to do with the lines is obviously a key.
I wish you the best of luck as I'm on the Angels as well with a buy at 126. |
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#295 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:16:10 PM |
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#296 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:16:56 PM College,
If I can offer some advice, Angels were a play earlier in the day
when they opened up at 125/135 but then they hit the price ceiling and
no longer were a play. I would set a price/value on each line rather
than just a team and try to incorporate a money strategy. I use a ratio
(Kelly) with what each play must be percentage wise and then either
maximize or minimize each buy/trade. At this rate you try and beat the
market's NVL and optimize your equity in each buy.
At the time you bought the Angels at 150 they were out of range as
the market had already eaten up all value. Granted, the bottom line is
picking winners, but beating the oddsmakers at their lines will show
profit over the long run. Understanding what the market is going to do
with the lines is obviously a key.
I wish you the best of luck as I'm on the Angels as well with a buy at 126.
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collegegambler |
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#297 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:27:47 PM QUOTEgekko u are a solid capper. appreciate your input. this team just cant hit and then that two run throwing error by trumbo just did in this team
Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:
College,
If I can offer some advice, Angels were a play earlier in the day when they opened up at 125/135 but then they hit the price ceiling and no longer were a play. I would set a price/value on each line rather than just a team and try to incorporate a money strategy. I use a ratio (Kelly) with what each play must be percentage wise and then either maximize or minimize each buy/trade. At this rate you try and beat the market's NVL and optimize your equity in each buy.
At the time you bought the Angels at 150 they were out of range as the market had already eaten up all value. Granted, the bottom line is picking winners, but beating the oddsmakers at their lines will show profit over the long run. Understanding what the market is going to do with the lines is obviously a key.
I wish you the best of luck as I'm on the Angels as well with a buy at 126. |
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collegegambler |
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#298 Posted: 5/3/2012 11:42:59 PM |
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#299 Posted: 5/4/2012 12:02:35 AM
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#300 Posted: 5/4/2012 12:21:01 AM |
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