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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Big play tomorrow!
KVEGAS send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:15:34 AM
M-E-T-S METS! METS! METS!


What a gift-line from the odds-makers for those of us wise enough to see it. In my humble opinion, the line was made in regards to public perception and the fact the public will think the Fish won't get swept. But my god..why not?! The Fish are flapping around like flounders up there vs. Lefties. They haven't been able to hit 'em all season and it won't change tomorrow. Niese is the Mets best pitcher on a very capable pitching staff, and has also done very well vs. the men from Miami in his career. On the bump for the fish is Ricky Nolasco who has had a brutal time in his career facing the boys from Flushing. They own him. Namely so, third basemen David Wright, who has more RBI's vs. Ricky then any other pitcher in his carrer. 13 of them. off 4 Homeruns, and hitting to the tune of close to .400 off of him. At the price of -115? GIFT. whether they win or not. I suspect they do. 7-1 METS. 
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#2
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:20:17 AM

i havent looked at the game but thank god for ur avatar and keep on posting because of that avatar alone  goodluck and ill think you win because after today im on FADE MARLINS MODE

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#3
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:24:32 AM
Love it - fade the marlins..

Wright could be poised for another big game against scheduled starter Ricky Nolasco (2-0, 3.93), against whom he is batting .444 with a homer and two doubles in 18 at-bats since 2010.

Nolasco was 0-1 with 3.95 ERA in two starts against the Mets last season, and is 1-1 with a 5.10 ERA in five career outings at Citi Field.
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#4
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:27:25 AM
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#5
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:28:54 AM
I can go on and on...

  • Niese' splits dictate he is a better DAY pitcher then a NIGHT pitcher and a better HOME pitcher then an AWAY pitcher.


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#6
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:30:31 AM
  • Marlins are hitting .182 vs. Lefties, and strikeout in more then 1/3rd of those at bats 
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#7
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:30:43 AM
Niese has a 3.68 daytime ERA since the start of last season compared to 4.70 under the lights.
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#8
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:33:06 AM
I just said that 
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#9
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:34:48 AM
Original post should have read.."Close to .500 off of him". 
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#10
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:36:32 AM

this all sounds too good to be true !

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#11
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:37:20 AM
thanks for the lead, im gonna crunch all the numbers and report back to you here
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#12
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:50:37 AM
I also looked in to this game. Definitely betting big on the Mets!

Score prediction: 6-2 Mets

Good Luck
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#13
Posted: 4/26/2012 12:56:26 AM
I like it, thanks for sharing!

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#14
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:07:46 AM
Good luck Kvegas. Looks good on paper but like my Uncle Richie Jr. says "thats why they play the game"......Regardless what Uncle Richie says, I will throw a unit on the Mets 
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#15
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:08:34 AM
hmm

collectively the mets are betting .200 vs him with .299 obp, lots of walks...
10 walks 9 ks

unusual because niese is a good k/b pitcher

i still dont have faith in this guy

career = 4.32 era 1.44 whip .280baa
career at citi = 4.14era 1.46 whip .273baa
career vs fla = 5.67era 1.38 whip .252baa
2012 @ citi field = 4.50era 1.25 whip .196baa
2012 ST = 5.73era 1.35whip .311baa
2011 @ citi field = 3.54era 1.45whip .279baa
2011 post all star = 5.11era 1.54 whip .315baa

THESE PITCHING NUMBERS CAN MAKE ANYONE LOOK GOOD AT ANY TIME



looks like your wager is more of a Ricky FADE
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#16
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:09:00 AM
METS!

SECOND STANZA.
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#17
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:13:17 AM

The Marlins can not hit lefties right now if their life depended on it, it is more then a ricky nolasco fade. 
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#18
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:15:23 AM
If you took Ross Detwilers carreer #'s before he faced the Marlins, you would have said the same thing. They could make the Marlins look good at any time. Jon Niese's stuff is Universes better then Detwilers. Detwiler shut em out. They just cant hit lefties right now, and it all starts with making Reyes bat from the right side. 
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#19
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:18:42 AM
Not to mention things like the Mets will be at home, and going for the sweep, with all the momentum on their side, and the fact that the mets once again will throw out tons of lefties tomorrow to go up against right handed Ricky. Every-single-thing in this one point the Mets. I don't even think it's possible to make a case for the Marlins tomorrow. 
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#20
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:22:09 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by RyanTRuchie:

hmm

career = 4.32 era 1.44 whip .280baa
career at citi = 4.14era 1.46 whip .273baa
career vs fla = 5.67era 1.38 whip .252baa
2012 @ citi field = 4.50era 1.25 whip .196baa
2012 ST = 5.73era 1.35whip .311baa
2011 @ citi field = 3.54era 1.45whip .279baa
2011 post all star = 5.11era 1.54 whip .315baa



looks like your wager is more of a Ricky FADE

These statistics, are too basic. They are for buffoons. Niese had a 3.36 FIP last season, to go along with a .333 BABIP  
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#21
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:22:35 AM
im not trying to make a case for the marlins, nieses numbers i just posted above DO NOT point METS
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#22
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:24:50 AM
how are ERA, WHIP, and BAA stats for buffons wtf are u talking about?
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#23
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:26:17 AM
Even if those numbers mattered. Which they don't. Because like i said before ERA is for grade-school level baseball fans......The METS clearly have the better pitcher, with the better history vs. the opposing team...and who is hands-down pitching better then his opponent....so yes...pitching as well as everything else...DOES point to the METS.
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#24
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:28:11 AM
E.R.A. and WHIP are so two decades ago.
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#25
Posted: 4/26/2012 1:29:48 AM
im taking a look at the fip and babip

never knew about those

thanks for the tip this website will work wonders for me
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