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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: MLB picks using Monte Carlo simulation
pramsey1843
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#1
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:14:09 AM
Blue Jays -115   (4x)
Phillies -163     (1x)
Dodgers -145   (2x)
Red Sox 131    (1x)
Nationals -150  (1x)

Team followed by strength of play
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#2
Posted: 4/5/2012 12:46:10 AM
i like it!
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pramsey1843
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#3
Posted: 4/5/2012 1:03:36 PM
The totals this system picks are not tested.  The win/loss prediction is tested.  Putting them on  here to track them.

I am not wagering on totals but am on win/loss.

Met/Braves over 7 -110 1x


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pramsey1843
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#4
Posted: 4/5/2012 1:12:48 PM
Phils/Pirates u 7 -110 1x
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pramsey1843
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#5
Posted: 4/5/2012 1:22:57 PM
Cubs/Nats o6.5 -110 1x
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pramsey1843
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#6
Posted: 4/5/2012 1:27:53 PM
Jays/Indians o7 -110 1x
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pramsey1843
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#7
Posted: 4/5/2012 4:01:58 PM
Marlins/Reds o7.5 -110 1x   

Lol I hate what the model is saying all the pitching has been better than all the hitting today.
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pramsey1843
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#8
Posted: 4/5/2012 5:39:13 PM
Dodgers/Padres u6 -110 1x
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pramsey1843
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#9
Posted: 4/5/2012 10:13:22 PM
Good day.

4-1 +7 units


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pramsey1843
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#10
Posted: 4/5/2012 10:14:50 PM
As stated above, do not use these totals.  My total system is being beta tested.  I tested my moneyline system last year.  If you are reading this post only use the moneyline picks.   The totals are to give me a good historical archive to continue improvement on the system.

They were 2-4 -2.4 units.
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crocnzeeba
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#11
Posted: 4/5/2012 10:24:44 PM
Nice start...
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pramsey1843
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#12
Posted: 4/5/2012 11:50:32 PM
Tomorrows plays today
Brewers -119 (2x)
Rangers -170 (1x)
Rangers -1.5 110 (1x)
Twins 125 (2x)
Rockies -122 (2x)
Dodgers 122 (3x)
Angels -1.5 -105 (1x)

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pramsey1843
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#13
Posted: 4/5/2012 11:56:36 PM
Preliminary totals...Again do not play these...they could change based on a couple of variables that will be added based on weather an umpire crew tomorrow.

Rockies/Astros o8 (1x)
Giants/Diamondbacks u7 (1x)
Royals/Angels o7 (1x)
Mariners/A's u7 (1x)
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pramsey1843
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#14
Posted: 4/6/2012 11:02:11 AM
Tomorrows plays today
Brewers -119 (2x)
Rangers -170 (1x)
Rangers -1.5 110 (1x)
Twins 125 (2x)
Rockies -122 (2x)
Dodgers 122 (3x)
Angels -1.5 -105 (1x)

Adding Rays +120 (1x)

It was very border line play but its early
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pramsey1843
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#15
Posted: 4/6/2012 1:16:28 PM
Rockies/Astros o8 (1x)
Giants/Diamondbacks u7 (1x)
Royals/Angels o7 (1x)
Mariners/A's u7 (1x)

Remember do not play these, this is beta test, but go to the previous post for all of today's plays.
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pramsey1843
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#16
Posted: 4/6/2012 5:44:05 PM
The line has moved far enough 
Diamondbacks -105 (1x) needs to be added to profitable plays.
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pramsey1843
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#17
Posted: 4/7/2012 12:42:41 AM
+4.48 units today 6-3

+11.48 units in 2 days 10-4

The totals system has to be rebuilt.  The beta test is over.  You should be following my moneyline/runline system.  I will make you money all season long.  The $100 bettor is up $1148 the first 2 days of the season.  Follow my pics.  I told you the totals were not plays.  I told you I would dominate with my system.  Lets make money together.
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steelwill43 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports |
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#18
Posted: 4/7/2012 12:54:01 AM
does it only pick favourites? 
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pramsey1843
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#19
Posted: 4/7/2012 3:56:12 AM
No it only picks winners.  The only favorites that it has incorrectly picked are the Brewers and the Rangers on the runline.  The Rangers on the runline was a push really since you also had the Rangers straight up.  The Dodgers was a 3x play.  I don't see what would give you that idea.
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pramsey1843
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#20
Posted: 4/7/2012 4:23:03 AM
Indians -101 (2x)
Nationals 106 (1x)
Red Sox 104    (1x)
Angels -1.5 115  (1x)
Twins 101 (3x)
Rockies -115 (2x)
Rockies -1.5 145 (1x)
Mariners -113 (3x)
Rays -126 (1x)
Rangers -1.5 115 (1x)
Dodgers 107  (2x)
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pramsey1843
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#21
Posted: 4/7/2012 4:25:10 AM
Marlins 142 (1x) forgot one
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pramsey1843
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#22
Posted: 4/7/2012 4:29:32 AM
Giants 115 (2x) forgot another
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pramsey1843
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#23
Posted: 4/7/2012 5:34:21 AM
Steelwill43, does your system give you plays and then you determine oh no it gave me a favorite, I cannot play that.  I play what the computer tells me to.  I don't filter.  It has a high profit rate.  
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pramsey1843
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#24
Posted: 4/7/2012 10:22:54 AM
Phillies -163 (2x)
Phillies -1.5 -105 (1x)
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pramsey1843
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#25
Posted: 4/7/2012 10:24:22 AM
Indians -101 (2x)
Nationals 106 (1x)
Red Sox 104    (1x)
Angels -1.5 115  (1x)
Twins 101 (3x)
Rockies -115 (2x)
Rockies -1.5 145 (1x)
Mariners -113 (3x)
Rays -126 (1x)
Rangers -1.5 115 (1x)
Dodgers 107  (2x)
Marlins 142 (1x)
Giants 115 (2x)
Phillies -163 (2x)
Phillies -1.5 -105 (1x)
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