Bodio's MLB Fri 09/30 (Playoffs)

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Bodio's MLB Fri 09/30 (Playoffs)
bodio PM bodio
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:44:12 PM
2011 MLB Record:
201 - 155 @ 56% for +27.81 Units



2011 MLB Playoffs:
0 - 0 @ 0% for +0.0 Units

Fri 09/30

#1: UNDER 8.5 TBR/TEX -120
#2: New York Yankees -122


Good luck!






Updated records:

'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
'10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
'10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
'10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
'10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575

'11 MLB: 201 -155 @ 56% for +$27,810
----------------------------------------------------

TOTAL: 616-432 @ 59% for +$135,390

_________________
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
bodio PM bodio
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:44:24 PM
Tampa Bay Rays 91-71 (56%) @ Texas Rangers 96-66 (59%)

M. MOORE, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of -0.77 (#1 in MLB), xFIP of -0.27 (#1 in MLB), and tERA of 1.07 (#1 in MLB), with a BABIP of .5, LOB% of 100%, and E-F of 0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 11, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .211. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 38% for a 1.13 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.

C. Wilson, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 3.24 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 3.41 (#31 in MLB), and tERA of 3.75 (#48 in MLB), with a BABIP of .287, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.78, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .23. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Tampa Bay Rays have the #25 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road record of 44-37 (54%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 5 in a row.

Texas Rangers have the #28 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 52-29 (64%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 6 in a row.



Odds: TBR +166 (38%) TEX -177 (64%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: Rays + UNDER
=======================================

Detroit Tigers 95-67 (59%) @ New York Yankees 97-65 (60%)

J. Verlander, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 2.99 (#14 in MLB), xFIP of 3.12 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.09 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP of .236, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.39, with a WHIP of 0.92, and opponent BA of .191. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 42% for a 0.96 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

C. Sabathia, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 2.88 (#10 in MLB), xFIP of 3.02 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.75 (#48 in MLB), with a BABIP of .318, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of 0.12. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.77, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .251. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 30% for a 1.54 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Detroit Tigers have the #21 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road record of 45-36 (56%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.

New York Yankees have the #9 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a home record of 52-29 (64%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.



Odds: DET +121 (45%) NYY -128 (56%) O/U = 7

Lean: none
=======================================
bodio PM bodio
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:44:53 PM
Sorry fellas.  super busy this weekend.  One of my best friends is getting married tomorrow.  No time for write-ups. 
clsmooth PM clsmooth
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:25 PM
nice!!! Let's do this!!!
Ham3381 PM Ham3381
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:35 PM
bad_dog PM bad_dog
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:40 PM
For_The_Books PM For_The_Books
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:41 PM
THNX BODIO YUR THE MAN GL BRO
5t4r5align PM 5t4r5align
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:48:10 PM
For_The_Books PM For_The_Books
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:48:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by For_The_Books:

THNX BODIO YUR THE MAN GL BRO


HOPE YOU HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND AND HAVE A BLAST AT THE WEDDING DONT GET TOO DRUNK NOW....LOL OPEN BAR?
pitbull666 PM pitbull666
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:49:07 PM
QUOTEEnjoy the wedding, just a question on the 1st 5 going u 4.5 - 20?

thoughts?



Originally Posted by bodio:

Sorry fellas.  super busy this weekend.  One of my best friends is getting married tomorrow.  No time for write-ups. 
JFEEZEE PM JFEEZEE
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:49:13 PM
pitbull666 PM pitbull666
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:50:31 PM
FUNNY THE LINE JUST WENT DOWN TO 8 O

Wonder who did that?????????????????????


moemoney PM moemoney
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:51:58 PM
BOL BODIO
bodio PM bodio
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:51:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by For_The_Books:



HOPE YOU HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND AND HAVE A BLAST AT THE WEDDING DONT GET TOO DRUNK NOW....LOL OPEN BAR?


Oh yeah!  yesterday's rehearsal dinner was intense.  The wedding should be crazy.  He's having like 500 people at it!
bodio PM bodio
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:52:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pitbull666:



not bad.  pretty solid IMO
bodio PM bodio
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:53:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pitbull666:

FUNNY THE LINE JUST WENT DOWN TO 8 O

Wonder who did that?????????????????????




I still like it.  My model has this one at 6.5 total runs.  9 would be needed for the wager to lose.  Solid value.
luiko1 PM luiko1
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:54:38 PM
GL today bro...with you all day in the under play!
yanks / CY young,,,wow is a difficult bet ,,,
best of luck!
yogz1 PM yogz1
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:54:41 PM
gl bodio.....
2112 PM 2112
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:55:35 PM
pitbull666 PM pitbull666
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:56:22 PM
I agree, I have it at 6.7 and placed the bet early this am, hoping we were on the same side.

I have considering the 1st 5 all morning since my model had such almost a 2 run variance between the actual.

1ST 4 DOWN TO 4 NOW :(


eriffic PM eriffic
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:56:46 PM
Nilshu PM Nilshu
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:57:37 PM
BOL today Bodio, I know TB has some serious momentum going into todays game but do you really think they will be able to out-bat the rangers?

Enjoy the wedding dude.

ionutt79 PM ionutt79
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:57:56 PM
I'm with you on TEX/TBR under, best of luck Bodio
Europa PM Europa
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:58:28 PM
giangho_viet PM giangho_viet
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Posted: 9/30/2011 3:59:44 PM
Bodio , can I be your best friend ?
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