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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Bodio's MLB Fri 09/30 (Playoffs)
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#1
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:44:12 PM
2011 MLB Record:
201 - 155 @ 56% for +27.81 Units



2011 MLB Playoffs:
0 - 0 @ 0% for +0.0 Units

Fri 09/30

#1: UNDER 8.5 TBR/TEX -120
#2: New York Yankees -122


Good luck!






Updated records:

'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
'10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100
'10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400
'10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175
'10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575

'11 MLB: 201 -155 @ 56% for +$27,810
----------------------------------------------------

TOTAL: 616-432 @ 59% for +$135,390

_________________
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
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#2
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:44:24 PM
Tampa Bay Rays 91-71 (56%) @ Texas Rangers 96-66 (59%)

M. MOORE, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of -0.77 (#1 in MLB), xFIP of -0.27 (#1 in MLB), and tERA of 1.07 (#1 in MLB), with a BABIP of .5, LOB% of 100%, and E-F of 0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 11, with a WHIP of 1, and opponent BA of .211. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 38% for a 1.13 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 13%.

C. Wilson, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 3.24 (#33 in MLB), xFIP of 3.41 (#31 in MLB), and tERA of 3.75 (#48 in MLB), with a BABIP of .287, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.78, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of .23. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 32% for a 1.55 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Tampa Bay Rays have the #25 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #2 in fielding. They have a road record of 44-37 (54%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 5 in a row.

Texas Rangers have the #28 bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a home record of 52-29 (64%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 6 in a row.



Odds: TBR +166 (38%) TEX -177 (64%) O/U = 8.5

Lean: Rays + UNDER
=======================================

Detroit Tigers 95-67 (59%) @ New York Yankees 97-65 (60%)

J. Verlander, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 2.99 (#14 in MLB), xFIP of 3.12 (#11 in MLB), and tERA of 3.09 (#11 in MLB), with a BABIP of .236, LOB% of 80%, and E-F of -0.59. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.39, with a WHIP of 0.92, and opponent BA of .191. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 42% for a 0.96 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.

C. Sabathia, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 2.88 (#10 in MLB), xFIP of 3.02 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.75 (#48 in MLB), with a BABIP of .318, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of 0.12. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.77, with a WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .251. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 30% for a 1.54 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.

Detroit Tigers have the #21 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a road record of 45-36 (56%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 4 in a row.

New York Yankees have the #9 bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a home record of 52-29 (64%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Lost 4 in a row.



Odds: DET +121 (45%) NYY -128 (56%) O/U = 7

Lean: none
=======================================
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#3
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:44:53 PM
Sorry fellas.  super busy this weekend.  One of my best friends is getting married tomorrow.  No time for write-ups. 
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#4
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:25 PM
nice!!! Let's do this!!!
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#5
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:35 PM
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#6
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:40 PM
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#7
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:45:41 PM
THNX BODIO YUR THE MAN GL BRO
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#8
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:48:10 PM
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#9
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:48:22 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by For_The_Books:

THNX BODIO YUR THE MAN GL BRO


HOPE YOU HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND AND HAVE A BLAST AT THE WEDDING DONT GET TOO DRUNK NOW....LOL OPEN BAR?
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#10
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:49:07 PM
QUOTEEnjoy the wedding, just a question on the 1st 5 going u 4.5 - 20?

thoughts?



Originally Posted by bodio:

Sorry fellas.  super busy this weekend.  One of my best friends is getting married tomorrow.  No time for write-ups. 
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#11
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:49:13 PM
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#12
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:50:31 PM
FUNNY THE LINE JUST WENT DOWN TO 8 O

Wonder who did that?????????????????????


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#13
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:51:58 PM
BOL BODIO
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#14
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:51:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by For_The_Books:



HOPE YOU HAVE A GREAT WEEKEND AND HAVE A BLAST AT THE WEDDING DONT GET TOO DRUNK NOW....LOL OPEN BAR?


Oh yeah!  yesterday's rehearsal dinner was intense.  The wedding should be crazy.  He's having like 500 people at it!
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#15
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:52:23 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pitbull666:



not bad.  pretty solid IMO
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#16
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:53:42 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pitbull666:

FUNNY THE LINE JUST WENT DOWN TO 8 O

Wonder who did that?????????????????????




I still like it.  My model has this one at 6.5 total runs.  9 would be needed for the wager to lose.  Solid value.
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#17
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:54:38 PM
GL today bro...with you all day in the under play!
yanks / CY young,,,wow is a difficult bet ,,,
best of luck!
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#18
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:54:41 PM
gl bodio.....
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#19
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:55:35 PM
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#20
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:56:22 PM
I agree, I have it at 6.7 and placed the bet early this am, hoping we were on the same side.

I have considering the 1st 5 all morning since my model had such almost a 2 run variance between the actual.

1ST 4 DOWN TO 4 NOW :(


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#21
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:56:46 PM
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#22
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:57:37 PM
BOL today Bodio, I know TB has some serious momentum going into todays game but do you really think they will be able to out-bat the rangers?

Enjoy the wedding dude.

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#23
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:57:56 PM
I'm with you on TEX/TBR under, best of luck Bodio
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#24
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:58:28 PM
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#25
Posted: 9/30/2011 3:59:44 PM
Bodio , can I be your best friend ?
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