#1: New York Yankees -141 The
'bombers' are facing another lefty starter. They're winning over 62%
of those in the last couple of years and are 18-8 this year. Colon is a
much better pitcher this year and is rested. I like the Yanks to get
'er done in this one!
#2: Cleveland Indians -107 Bit
pitching discrepancy here and better BP. Baltimore are 0-7 in their
last 7 against a team with a winning record and 10-34 on the season.
Reynolds and Guerrero are questionable for this one. Indians are 11-5
against Baltimore in their last 16 meetings. #3: San Francisco Giants +102 Not
sure how, since AT&T Park is one of the best pitchers' parks, but
Bumgarner's ERA is much better on the road than at home over the past 2
years. He has much better advanced stats in this one, while I expect
Harang to regress going forward.
Good Luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
#1: New York Yankees -141 The
'bombers' are facing another lefty starter. They're winning over 62%
of those in the last couple of years and are 18-8 this year. Colon is a
much better pitcher this year and is rested. I like the Yanks to get
'er done in this one!
#2: Cleveland Indians -107 Bit
pitching discrepancy here and better BP. Baltimore are 0-7 in their
last 7 against a team with a winning record and 10-34 on the season.
Reynolds and Guerrero are questionable for this one. Indians are 11-5
against Baltimore in their last 16 meetings. #3: San Francisco Giants +102 Not
sure how, since AT&T Park is one of the best pitchers' parks, but
Bumgarner's ERA is much better on the road than at home over the past 2
years. He has much better advanced stats in this one, while I expect
Harang to regress going forward.
Good Luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Florida Marlins 43-48 (47%) @ Chicago Cubs 37-55 (40%)
A.
Sanchez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.24 (#40 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.1 (#17 in MLB), and tERA of 3.68 (#47 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.306, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.25, with a
WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .24. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.23 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
M.
Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 2.94 (#21 in MLB), xFIP
of 2.86 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.96 (#73 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.322, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a
WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .25. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 23%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 27% for a 1.83 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Florida
Marlins have the #11 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #19 in
fielding. They have a road record of 22-22 (50%), ranked #12 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Chicago Cubs have the #24 bullpen, #14
offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a home record of 20-26
(43%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Y.
Gallardo, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.78 (#86 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.46 (#40 in MLB), and tERA of 3.98 (#74 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .303, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.02. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.36, with a WHIP of 1.36, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 33% for a 1.49 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
U. Jimenez, starting for Colorado Rockies,
has a FIP of 3.46 (#55 in MLB), xFIP of 3.59 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of
4.21 (#100 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.68.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32, with a WHIP of 1.3, and opponent BA of
.239. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 34% for a
1.37 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the
#7 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road
record of 16-29 (36%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #13 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-22 (50%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Jimenez has poor overall numbers are Coors, but his last start there was promising.
San Francisco Giants 52-40 (57%) @ San Diego Padres 40-52 (44%)
M.
Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.5 (#6 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.15 (#19 in MLB), and tERA of 3.32 (#27 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .342, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.37. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.41, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 33% for a 1.35 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
A. Harang, starting for San Diego Padres, has a
FIP of 3.76 (#85 in MLB), xFIP of 3.96 (#98 in MLB), and tERA of 3.66
(#45 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.31. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.18, with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .25.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 1.02
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
San Francisco Giants have the #3
bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-24 (50%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
San
Diego Padres have the #2 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #18 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-27 (41%), ranked #29 in MLB and
have Lost 5 in a row.
Bumgarner has a much better ERA on the road than at home in the past 2 years.
J.
Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.08 (#27 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.56 (#52 in MLB), and tERA of 3.4 (#31 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .293, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.42. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.26, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 56%, FB%: 26% for a 2.12 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
J. Guthrie, starting for Baltimore Orioles,
has a FIP of 4.12 (#122 in MLB), xFIP of 4.11 (#128 in MLB), and tERA of
4.98 (#163 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.14.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.47, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of
.269. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 41% for a
0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Cleveland Indians have the
#8 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 20-24 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-22 (50%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Lost 7 in a row.
Florida Marlins 43-48 (47%) @ Chicago Cubs 37-55 (40%)
A.
Sanchez, starting for Florida Marlins, has a FIP of 3.24 (#40 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.1 (#17 in MLB), and tERA of 3.68 (#47 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.306, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.34. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.25, with a
WHIP of 1.23, and opponent BA of .24. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.23 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
M.
Garza, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 2.94 (#21 in MLB), xFIP
of 2.86 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.96 (#73 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.322, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.33. He has a K/BB ratio of 3, with a
WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .25. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 23%, GB%: 50%, FB%: 27% for a 1.83 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Florida
Marlins have the #11 bullpen, #21 offense, and are rated #19 in
fielding. They have a road record of 22-22 (50%), ranked #12 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Chicago Cubs have the #24 bullpen, #14
offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a home record of 20-26
(43%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Y.
Gallardo, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of 3.78 (#86 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.46 (#40 in MLB), and tERA of 3.98 (#74 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .303, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.02. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.36, with a WHIP of 1.36, and opponent BA of .254. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 33% for a 1.49 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
U. Jimenez, starting for Colorado Rockies,
has a FIP of 3.46 (#55 in MLB), xFIP of 3.59 (#55 in MLB), and tERA of
4.21 (#100 in MLB), with a BABIP of .295, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.68.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.32, with a WHIP of 1.3, and opponent BA of
.239. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 34% for a
1.37 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
Milwaukee Brewers have the
#7 bullpen, #7 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding. They have a road
record of 16-29 (36%), ranked #26 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Colorado
Rockies have the #13 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-22 (50%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Jimenez has poor overall numbers are Coors, but his last start there was promising.
San Francisco Giants 52-40 (57%) @ San Diego Padres 40-52 (44%)
M.
Bumgarner, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of 2.5 (#6 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.15 (#19 in MLB), and tERA of 3.32 (#27 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .342, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 1.37. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.41, with a WHIP of 1.34, and opponent BA of .272. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 22%, GB%: 45%, FB%: 33% for a 1.35 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
A. Harang, starting for San Diego Padres, has a
FIP of 3.76 (#85 in MLB), xFIP of 3.96 (#98 in MLB), and tERA of 3.66
(#45 in MLB), with a BABIP of .286, LOB% of 76%, and E-F of -0.31. He
has a K/BB ratio of 2.18, with a WHIP of 1.28, and opponent BA of .25.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 1.02
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
San Francisco Giants have the #3
bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding. They have a road
record of 24-24 (50%), ranked #12 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
San
Diego Padres have the #2 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #18 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-27 (41%), ranked #29 in MLB and
have Lost 5 in a row.
Bumgarner has a much better ERA on the road than at home in the past 2 years.
J.
Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians, has a FIP of 3.08 (#27 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.56 (#52 in MLB), and tERA of 3.4 (#31 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .293, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.42. He has a K/BB ratio of
2.26, with a WHIP of 1.22, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 56%, FB%: 26% for a 2.12 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 4%.
J. Guthrie, starting for Baltimore Orioles,
has a FIP of 4.12 (#122 in MLB), xFIP of 4.11 (#128 in MLB), and tERA of
4.98 (#163 in MLB), with a BABIP of .296, LOB% of 69%, and E-F of 0.14.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.47, with a WHIP of 1.33, and opponent BA of
.269. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 41% for a
0.86 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Cleveland Indians have the
#8 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 20-24 (45%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 22-22 (50%), ranked #19 in MLB and
have Lost 7 in a row.
New York Yankees 53-35 (60%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 45-47 (49%)
B.
Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.7 (#81 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.28 (#27 in MLB), and tERA of 3.72 (#49 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .273, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -0.61. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.47,
with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .236. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 36% for a 1.28 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
J. Reyes, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has
a FIP of 4.37 (#139 in MLB), xFIP of 4.61 (#179 in MLB), and tERA of
4.6 (#135 in MLB), with a BABIP of .322, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.2. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.79, with a WHIP of 1.54, and opponent BA of .294.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 41% for a
0.96 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
New York Yankees have the #9
bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road
record of 23-16 (59%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Toronto
Blue Jays have the #11 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #26 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Yankees facing another lefty starter. 18-8 this year, over 62% the last couple of years.
Kansas City Royals 37-54 (41%) @ Minnesota Twins 41-48 (46%)
B.
Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.19 (#129 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.37 (#161 in MLB), and tERA of 4.57 (#132 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .293, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.93. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.9, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 45% for a 0.79 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
F. Liriano, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a
FIP of 4.43 (#146 in MLB), xFIP of 4.26 (#149 in MLB), and tERA of 4.31
(#110 in MLB), with a BABIP of .265, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.63. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.6, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .225.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 37% for a 1.3
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Kansas City Royals have the #23
bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a road
record of 13-27 (33%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding.
They have a home record of 20-19 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Which Liriano will show up?
Odds: KCR +137 (42%) MIN -146 (59%) O/U = 8
Lean: OVER =======================================
D.
Holland, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.26 (#133 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.92 (#95 in MLB), and tERA of 4.86 (#153 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .316, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.42. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a
WHIP of 1.47, and opponent BA of .276. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
J.
Vargas, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 3.59 (#68 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.03 (#111 in MLB), and tERA of 3.45 (#36 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .258, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.11. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.61,
with a WHIP of 1.14, and opponent BA of .231. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 45% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
Texas Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3
offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 20-23
(47%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 7 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a home record of 25-23 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Lost 5 in a row.
New York Yankees 53-35 (60%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 45-47 (49%)
B.
Colon, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.7 (#81 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.28 (#27 in MLB), and tERA of 3.72 (#49 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .273, LOB% of 82%, and E-F of -0.61. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.47,
with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .236. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 36% for a 1.28 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 12%.
J. Reyes, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has
a FIP of 4.37 (#139 in MLB), xFIP of 4.61 (#179 in MLB), and tERA of
4.6 (#135 in MLB), with a BABIP of .322, LOB% of 67%, and E-F of 0.2. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.79, with a WHIP of 1.54, and opponent BA of .294.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 41% for a
0.96 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 8%.
New York Yankees have the #9
bullpen, #2 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding. They have a road
record of 23-16 (59%), ranked #2 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Toronto
Blue Jays have the #11 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #26 in
fielding. They have a home record of 19-22 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Won 3 in a row.
Yankees facing another lefty starter. 18-8 this year, over 62% the last couple of years.
Kansas City Royals 37-54 (41%) @ Minnesota Twins 41-48 (46%)
B.
Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.19 (#129 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.37 (#161 in MLB), and tERA of 4.57 (#132 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .293, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.93. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.9, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .267. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 45% for a 0.79 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 8%.
F. Liriano, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a
FIP of 4.43 (#146 in MLB), xFIP of 4.26 (#149 in MLB), and tERA of 4.31
(#110 in MLB), with a BABIP of .265, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.63. He
has a K/BB ratio of 1.6, with a WHIP of 1.37, and opponent BA of .225.
His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 48%, FB%: 37% for a 1.3
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 10%.
Kansas City Royals have the #23
bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #9 in fielding. They have a road
record of 13-27 (33%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #29 bullpen, #27 offense, and are rated #12 in fielding.
They have a home record of 20-19 (51%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Won 1
in a row.
Which Liriano will show up?
Odds: KCR +137 (42%) MIN -146 (59%) O/U = 8
Lean: OVER =======================================
D.
Holland, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.26 (#133 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.92 (#95 in MLB), and tERA of 4.86 (#153 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .316, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.42. He has a K/BB ratio of 2, with a
WHIP of 1.47, and opponent BA of .276. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 20%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 33% for a 1.42 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 12%.
J.
Vargas, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 3.59 (#68 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.03 (#111 in MLB), and tERA of 3.45 (#36 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .258, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.11. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.61,
with a WHIP of 1.14, and opponent BA of .231. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 45% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
Texas Rangers have the #30 bullpen, #3
offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 20-23
(47%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 7 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #18 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #17 in
fielding. They have a home record of 25-23 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Lost 5 in a row.
all your pick sound great and love the breakdown im leaning on yankees and SF/SD under 6.5!! would like your opinion on the sf/sd under.......good luck hope to read more of your forum
all your pick sound great and love the breakdown im leaning on yankees and SF/SD under 6.5!! would like your opinion on the sf/sd under.......good luck hope to read more of your forum
#1: New York Yankees -141 The
'bombers' are facing another lefty starter. They're winning over 62%
of those in the last couple of years and are 18-8 this year. Colon is a
much better pitcher this year and is rested. I like the Yanks to get
'er done in this one!
#2: Cleveland Indians -107 Bit
pitching discrepancy here and better BP. Baltimore are 0-7 in their
last 7 against a team with a winning record and 10-34 on the season.
Reynolds and Guerrero are questionable for this one. Indians are 11-5
against Baltimore in their last 16 meetings. #3: San Francisco Giants +102 Not
sure how, since AT&T Park is one of the best pitchers' parks, but
Bumgarner's ERA is much better on the road than at home over the past 2
years. He has much better advanced stats in this one, while I expect
Harang to regress going forward.
Good Luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
#1: New York Yankees -141 The
'bombers' are facing another lefty starter. They're winning over 62%
of those in the last couple of years and are 18-8 this year. Colon is a
much better pitcher this year and is rested. I like the Yanks to get
'er done in this one!
#2: Cleveland Indians -107 Bit
pitching discrepancy here and better BP. Baltimore are 0-7 in their
last 7 against a team with a winning record and 10-34 on the season.
Reynolds and Guerrero are questionable for this one. Indians are 11-5
against Baltimore in their last 16 meetings. #3: San Francisco Giants +102 Not
sure how, since AT&T Park is one of the best pitchers' parks, but
Bumgarner's ERA is much better on the road than at home over the past 2
years. He has much better advanced stats in this one, while I expect
Harang to regress going forward.
Good Luck!
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
If ur gonna take the Yankees why not take them on the RL+115?
Of the 22 HOME losses, the Jays only covered the RL once. Of the 7 HOME losses as a dog, 6 of them was by 2 or more.
MLB [909] NY YANKEES -1½+115
[B. COLON -R/JJ REYES -L]
Risking / To Win 141.00 USD / 162.00 USD
thats a possibility of an extra 62% ROI.. for what i think is well worth the risk.
some strong situational trends for Yankees -1.5:
Yankees L3Y following a game where they shutout opp: SU: 15-4 (2.0 rpg) average line: -155 / +136 on / against: +$980 / -$1,040 ROI: +32.6% / -52.7% RL: 16-3 (1.1 rpg) average line: -108 / -105 on / against: +$1,553 / -$1,649 ROI: +65.8% / -71.1%
Blue Jays following a game where they held opp. to 1 run or less: SU: 1-6 (-0.9 rpg) average line: -103 / -107 on / against: -$632 / +$582 ROI: -75.7% / +71.6% RL: 2-5 (-1.1 rpg) average line: -102 / -111 on / against: -$331 / +$321 ROI: -36.7% / +33.1%
If ur gonna take the Yankees why not take them on the RL+115?
Of the 22 HOME losses, the Jays only covered the RL once. Of the 7 HOME losses as a dog, 6 of them was by 2 or more.
MLB [909] NY YANKEES -1½+115
[B. COLON -R/JJ REYES -L]
Risking / To Win 141.00 USD / 162.00 USD
thats a possibility of an extra 62% ROI.. for what i think is well worth the risk.
some strong situational trends for Yankees -1.5:
Yankees L3Y following a game where they shutout opp: SU: 15-4 (2.0 rpg) average line: -155 / +136 on / against: +$980 / -$1,040 ROI: +32.6% / -52.7% RL: 16-3 (1.1 rpg) average line: -108 / -105 on / against: +$1,553 / -$1,649 ROI: +65.8% / -71.1%
Blue Jays following a game where they held opp. to 1 run or less: SU: 1-6 (-0.9 rpg) average line: -103 / -107 on / against: -$632 / +$582 ROI: -75.7% / +71.6% RL: 2-5 (-1.1 rpg) average line: -102 / -111 on / against: -$331 / +$321 ROI: -36.7% / +33.1%
all your pick sound great and love the breakdown im leaning on yankees and SF/SD under 6.5!! would like your opinion on the sf/sd under.......good luck hope to read more of your forum
the UNDER is definitely a solid bet in that park and with those 2 pitchers on the mound. Both BP's are top 3 and the hitting is bottom 5. I might actually add that one to my card...
all your pick sound great and love the breakdown im leaning on yankees and SF/SD under 6.5!! would like your opinion on the sf/sd under.......good luck hope to read more of your forum
the UNDER is definitely a solid bet in that park and with those 2 pitchers on the mound. Both BP's are top 3 and the hitting is bottom 5. I might actually add that one to my card...
If ur gonna take the Yankees why not take them on the RL+115?
Of the 22 HOME losses, the Jays only covered the RL once. Of the 7 HOME losses as a dog, 6 of them was by 2 or more.
MLB [909] NY YANKEES -1½+115
[B. COLON -R/JJ REYES -L]
Risking / To Win 141.00 USD / 162.00 USD
thats a possibility of an extra 62% ROI.. for what i think is well worth the risk.
some strong situational trends for Yankees -1.5:
Yankees L3Y following a game where they shutout opp: SU: 15-4 (2.0 rpg) average line: -155 / +136 on / against: +$980 / -$1,040 ROI: +32.6% / -52.7% RL: 16-3 (1.1 rpg) average line: -108 / -105 on / against: +$1,553 / -$1,649 ROI: +65.8% / -71.1%
Blue Jays following a game where they held opp. to 1 run or less: SU: 1-6 (-0.9 rpg) average line: -103 / -107 on / against: -$632 / +$582 ROI: -75.7% / +71.6% RL: 2-5 (-1.1 rpg) average line: -102 / -111 on / against: -$331 / +$321 ROI: -36.7% / +33.1%
I've discussed RL vs ML in an early thread this year. For the most part, it's just not worth it to give 1.5 Runs. A -1 RL is probably a much safer way to reduce juice but even then you're giving up a win 28% of the time.
If ur gonna take the Yankees why not take them on the RL+115?
Of the 22 HOME losses, the Jays only covered the RL once. Of the 7 HOME losses as a dog, 6 of them was by 2 or more.
MLB [909] NY YANKEES -1½+115
[B. COLON -R/JJ REYES -L]
Risking / To Win 141.00 USD / 162.00 USD
thats a possibility of an extra 62% ROI.. for what i think is well worth the risk.
some strong situational trends for Yankees -1.5:
Yankees L3Y following a game where they shutout opp: SU: 15-4 (2.0 rpg) average line: -155 / +136 on / against: +$980 / -$1,040 ROI: +32.6% / -52.7% RL: 16-3 (1.1 rpg) average line: -108 / -105 on / against: +$1,553 / -$1,649 ROI: +65.8% / -71.1%
Blue Jays following a game where they held opp. to 1 run or less: SU: 1-6 (-0.9 rpg) average line: -103 / -107 on / against: -$632 / +$582 ROI: -75.7% / +71.6% RL: 2-5 (-1.1 rpg) average line: -102 / -111 on / against: -$331 / +$321 ROI: -36.7% / +33.1%
I've discussed RL vs ML in an early thread this year. For the most part, it's just not worth it to give 1.5 Runs. A -1 RL is probably a much safer way to reduce juice but even then you're giving up a win 28% of the time.
I think in this situation with colon vs jj reyes the pitcher that couldnt get a win for the life of him after 28 losses or whatever; the runline should apply and i rather the yanks at +105 -1.5 on the road here in this situation then lay the -142 juice other than in a parlay.
The line on the cubs game isnt out but my book opened it at 7.5 i quickly jumped on it and put 240/200 something to look at if you're not on that yet; my lean is on the cubs to win too but im not certain so it would jus be a guesstimate and i dont wanna make any of those any more.
It seems that everyone is on the giants but no one likes harang? The under was at 6.5 and has dropped rapidly to 6.
Orioles are auto fade and indians -107 and indians -1.5 +140 are both locked in.
I think in this situation with colon vs jj reyes the pitcher that couldnt get a win for the life of him after 28 losses or whatever; the runline should apply and i rather the yanks at +105 -1.5 on the road here in this situation then lay the -142 juice other than in a parlay.
The line on the cubs game isnt out but my book opened it at 7.5 i quickly jumped on it and put 240/200 something to look at if you're not on that yet; my lean is on the cubs to win too but im not certain so it would jus be a guesstimate and i dont wanna make any of those any more.
It seems that everyone is on the giants but no one likes harang? The under was at 6.5 and has dropped rapidly to 6.
Orioles are auto fade and indians -107 and indians -1.5 +140 are both locked in.
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