SJP's MLB Winner's Circle (Tuesday---June 28th, 2011)

Forum: MLB Betting Page 1 of 8  1 2 3 4 5   »
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SJP's MLB Winner's Circle (Tuesday---June 28th, 2011)
SarahJPhilli PM SarahJPhilli
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 10104
 
SarahJPhilli
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:08:10 PM
14-5 run with a 1-1 Monday.

I'm intrigued by the afternoon Game 1 between the Giants and Cubs. Vogelsong has been the ace of the Giants staff to this point. He's having a truly unbelievable season after being a journeyman for much of his career. The Giants are 8-3 when he has taken the hill this season. Doug Davis has been fairly awful this season aside from the Yankees win he chalked up a week or so ago. The clear advantage in the bullpens goes to San Francisco. Run producing is where both teams are a complete question mark---not sure what you're going to get from either side. 

While I thought the Chicago Cubs were the play yesterday when facing the Colorado Rockies yesterday morning, I believe laying the chalk with a focused San Francisco Giants team is the call in the early game today. I'm not in love with this play, but I like it enough to take it. I expect the bullpens to get involved and if SF can't score on the Cubs BP, then I deserve to lose this bet.
  • San Francisco Giants ML (-121)
Best of luck to everyone today. Hopefully no one's head starts to hurt from an online posting forum.

If you have a great play or great analysis, post it! I've seen some amazing winning streaks in the thread with great analysis to boot.

SJP



Just an FYI- New column will be up tomorrow. Sorry for the delay.

AYDAKAY PM AYDAKAY
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 913
 
AYDAKAY
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:11:17 PM
ON IT WITH YOU... PUBLIC SEEMS TO BE ON THE CUBS AS THE LINE WENT UP TO 140 AND BACK DOWN TO 125.... VOGELSONG OWNS EM TODAY.... I LIKE THE DODGER AND PIRATES TONIGHT.. THOUGHTS SJP ( PLUS MY BREW CREW BUT IUNNO ABOUT THAT ONE)
Kushdoubt PM Kushdoubt
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1693
 
Kushdoubt
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:12:24 PM
what u think about the early game?
Dougheyez PM Dougheyez
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 386
 
Dougheyez
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:13:08 PM
Totally riding the giants! I love no score in 1st inning also. -115. Bol
Posted using a mobile device.
cuso PM cuso
Joined: Aug 2008
Posts: 3517
 
cuso
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:14:44 PM
As always, good luck today Sarah.
GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
Joined: Nov 2008
Posts: 21804
 
GiLmo574
Participation Meter
Covers Rehab
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:14:48 PM

I've been the loser, joining the winner's circle today, hopefully 

Kushdoubt PM Kushdoubt
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1693
 
Kushdoubt
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:17:17 PM
I was thinkin about the Under for game 1 of the giants game, theres good value on it too.
NotBettingToday PM NotBettingToday
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 129
 
NotBettingToday
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:17:22 PM
BOL Sarah
Makavelli PM Makavelli
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 224
 
Makavelli
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:21:57 PM
Public on Giants, but line movement going other way.
Makavelli PM Makavelli
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 224
 
Makavelli
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:23:59 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Kushdoubt:

I was thinkin about the Under for game 1 of the giants game, theres good value on it too.

What u think about the under and giants win parlay?

Kushdoubt PM Kushdoubt
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1693
 
Kushdoubt
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:26:54 PM

I'm leaning on both of those, but i dunno. Normally i would probably pass on this game, i''ll might place a small wager on it just because it starts in an hour and im bored lol. I do like the giants and the under tho.

scsiegel89 PM scsiegel89
Joined: Dec 2007
Posts: 4555
 
scsiegel89
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:28:47 PM
jumping on the SJP train on this one. Can't believe I actually uttered that phrase...
pdouble PM pdouble
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 7632
 
pdouble
Participation Meter
Captain
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:30:46 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by AYDAKAY:

ON IT WITH YOU... PUBLIC SEEMS TO BE ON THE CUBS AS THE LINE WENT UP TO 140 AND BACK DOWN TO 125.... VOGELSONG OWNS EM TODAY.... I LIKE THE DODGER AND PIRATES TONIGHT.. THOUGHTS SJP ( PLUS MY BREW CREW BUT IUNNO ABOUT THAT ONE)

imo, the public definetly isnt on the cubs, san fran is getting the public money, and chicago is getting the sharp money

that being said , i used to let that chase me away from games, but not so much anymore, i try to stick with my first gut instinct and then try and find reasons to play it. well there are alot of reasons to play on SF today, the cubs struggle to win at the best of times and although they are better at home, they have  a pitful .256 win % or close to it after a win

SarahJPhilli PM SarahJPhilli
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 10104
 
SarahJPhilli
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:37:29 PM
I have to work on a blog, so I'll check back on this when I'm finished.

Good luck on the Cubs/Giants game.
Kushdoubt PM Kushdoubt
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1693
 
Kushdoubt
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:38:27 PM
I just locked in my first bet of the day... SF/CHC - UNDER 8.5 (+105)
AYDAKAY PM AYDAKAY
Joined: May 2011
Posts: 913
 
AYDAKAY
Participation Meter
Rookie
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:39:01 PM
alright alright... either way.... i like sf.. and i think the under has value in it also
JamesPants PM JamesPants
Joined: Jul 2008
Posts: 2864
 
JamesPants
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:40:40 PM
JamesPants PM JamesPants
Joined: Jul 2008
Posts: 2864
 
JamesPants
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:41:11 PM
I hate the CUBS>  especially yesterday.
UKCrunch PM UKCrunch
Joined: Feb 2010
Posts: 220
 
UKCrunch
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 6/28/2011 1:56:44 PM
Anyone got any thoughts on the BOS/PHI game? I can't quite figure why the Bosox are dogs with Beckett at the plate for them and facing Lee, who has 5 straight losses against them too his name. Is the influence of no DH that great on the game or is this down to Lee's recent form. I'm looking for a reason not to play BOS, because I'm assuming I'm missing something. Any input is appreciated.

Best of luck, as ever!
Kushdoubt PM Kushdoubt
Joined: Feb 2011
Posts: 1693
 
Kushdoubt
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 2:00:30 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by UKCrunch:

Anyone got any thoughts on the BOS/PHI game? I can't quite figure why the Bosox are dogs with Beckett at the plate for them and facing Lee, who has 5 straight losses against them too his name. Is the influence of no DH that great on the game or is this down to Lee's recent form. I'm looking for a reason not to play BOS, because I'm assuming I'm missing something. Any input is appreciated.

Best of luck, as ever!

I cant pick a side in that game , but im leaning on the Under. not sure if i will play it. both those lineups have some big bats.

LetEMride PM LetEMride
Joined: May 2008
Posts: 3556
 
LetEMride
Participation Meter
Veteran
Posted: 6/28/2011 2:01:05 PM
Well said Sarah.

If Giants can score on CHI BP then I deserve to lose.

I can roll with that logic.
SarahJPhilli PM SarahJPhilli
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 10104
 
SarahJPhilli
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 6/28/2011 2:01:09 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by UKCrunch:

Anyone got any thoughts on the BOS/PHI game? I can't quite figure why the Bosox are dogs with Beckett at the plate for them and facing Lee, who has 5 straight losses against them too his name. Is the influence of no DH that great on the game or is this down to Lee's recent form. I'm looking for a reason not to play BOS, because I'm assuming I'm missing something. Any input is appreciated.

Best of luck, as ever!


For Boston, their lack of DH impacted them pretty badly against Pittsburgh. Is Crawford back?

Missing Crawford and Ortiz while adding a hitting pitcher to the lineup threw them into a funk this past weekend.
Makavelli PM Makavelli
Joined: Jun 2011
Posts: 224
 
Makavelli
Participation Meter
Prospect
Posted: 6/28/2011 2:02:49 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Kushdoubt:

I just locked in my first bet of the day... SF/CHC - UNDER 8.5 (+105)

 

Line is up to 9 with my book. 

pdouble PM pdouble
Joined: Jun 2009
Posts: 7632
 
pdouble
Participation Meter
Captain
Posted: 6/28/2011 2:04:16 PM
im pretty sure cliff lees home numbers are unbelievable 
SarahJPhilli PM SarahJPhilli
Joined: Dec 2010
Posts: 10104
 
SarahJPhilli
Participation Meter
All-Star
Posted: 6/28/2011 2:06:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pdouble:

im pretty sure cliff lees home numbers are unbelievable 


Well, Lee's 3-0 with a 0.35 ERA in his last 3 is pretty good, too. LOL!
Forum: MLB Betting Page 1 of 8  1 2 3 4 5   »
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.