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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Some things to consider?
npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
npearl
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#1
Posted: 6/24/2011 12:20:27 PM
Injury News: Anybody know any news on Brandon Inge (DET), Matsui (Oakland), Pence (Houston), or Hafner (Cleveland)?  Hafner being held out because no DH in SF?

Weather:
Detroit, Wind out to left at 14 mph, 50% chance of showers
Houston, HOT, wind straight out at 14 mph
Texas, HOT, wind in at 14 mph
SF, wind out at 11 mph, game-time temp forecast at 55 degrees

Weather issues to consider in O/U

Line Movement:
Boston vs. Pittsburgh - As soon as Boston became -163 favs this morning, the line shot down to -157, it has been going back up ever since.  Sharp RLM?

TB vs. Houston - TB solidly fell for 3 1/2 hours from -134 to -127, went back up, then at -130ish, fell again, and has been up ever since...seem suspicious?

Cubs vs. KC - KC fell from -113 to -105, Cubs went from +106 to -101, then went back down

Washington vs. CWS - Public on CWS early on, but have fallen ever since

Toronto vs. St. Louis - line is constantly shifting

Atlanta vs. SD - ATL opened at -110, but any time it has been near there, it has shot back down to as low as +100.

Seattle vs. Florida (Played in Seattle) - strong early public backing on Seattle, has shifted down from -159 to -152...Sharp RLM?

Cleveland vs. SF - SF has been steadily falling since the line came out

Any thoughts?
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23Fisher send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#2
Posted: 6/24/2011 12:23:08 PM
Astros are a progressive be fade... I'm in Houston ... No wind at all ... Wind not a factor in Minute Made Park
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#3
Posted: 6/24/2011 12:26:25 PM
^"progressive bet fade"... Astros will not win back to back... BP sucks... The only way the Stros can get a win is with base running speed...
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2169 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Las Vegas Hotel and Casino |
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#4
Posted: 6/24/2011 12:26:33 PM
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npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#5
Posted: 6/24/2011 12:26:51 PM
just going on this...

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl
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npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#6
Posted: 6/24/2011 12:28:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by npearl:

just going on this...

http://dailybaseballdata.com/cgi-bin/weather.pl


Scroll down to TB vs. Houston, they'll certainly have the roof open?
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#7
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:33:57 PM
basically just waiting on the lineups before I post my official plays...
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tinfoils
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#8
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:37:02 PM
Good stuff npearl! Good luck!
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npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#9
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:42:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by tinfoils:

Good stuff npearl! Good luck!


thanks tin! 
just trying to add line movement to my capping arsenal to add that little extra.
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#10
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:43:23 PM
Nice write ups pearl!! Very nice.

BEST OF LUCK!!!

check out my plays in my thread, if you can and lemme know whatcha think

Best,

PIPE$
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npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#11
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:43:30 PM
Hafner is indeed being held out of normal Dhing duties because of no DH for the SF series.  He will be in pitch-hitting situations along with Shelly Duncan who was just recently called up.
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npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#12
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:44:57 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Samitz8:

Nice write ups pearl!! Very nice.

BEST OF LUCK!!!

check out my plays in my thread, if you can and lemme know whatcha think

Best,

PIPE$


thanks and best of luck to you as always.
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xboxtonx send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: The Greek |
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#13
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:56:48 PM
check out my friend request
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npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#14
Posted: 6/24/2011 3:58:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by xboxtonx:

check out my friend request


Confirmed!  Where do you go to school?  I go to UNC Chapel Hill in North Carolina
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23Fisher send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#15
Posted: 6/25/2011 12:07:05 AM

Good look on the website.... I can use that...  But yeah.. heads up on the "Stros Fade" they won't win more than 60somthing games... Although Pence's bat, Bourne's speed, the kid jason Bousguious speed...   they will win a few... like aginst Texas the other day... 

Their next couple of weeks will be about .35 wins...

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npearl send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#16
Posted: 6/25/2011 12:08:37 AM
completely agree with the Stros fade.  I don't think I've bet on them to win once yet.
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#17
Posted: 6/25/2011 12:09:39 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 23Fisher:

Good look on the website.... I can use that...  But yeah.. heads up on the "Stros Fade" they won't win more than 60somthing games... Although Pence's bat, Bourne's speed, the kid jason Bousguious speed...   they will win a few... like aginst Texas the other day... 

Their next couple of weeks will be about .35 wins...

Note: their was my dirty little secret..   I didn't play them because I promised myself not to bet on Friday's... because I don't want to ruin my night with a loss... But damn I knew TB was all over that...

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