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[MLB Betting] Topic: Bodio's MLB Tue 04/26 |
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bodio |
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#1 Posted: 4/26/2011 1:45:57 AM 2011 MLB Record:
30 - 22 @ 58% for +5.26 Units
Tue, 04/26
San Francisco Giants -135
Cain
is coming off a really poor performance and I expect him to rebound
here. In his last 3 starts against the Pirates he has given up 13 hits
and 4 ER's in 22 innings pitched. He has 15K's to 6 BB's in those
starts with his team going 2-1. The current Pirates lineup is batting
.203 off him with .266 OBP and .571 OPS. On the season Cain has a 3.81
FIP and 3.99 xFIP with a 2.67 K/BB ratio and a BABIP of .280. Morton,
on the other hand, has a FIP of 4.79 (almost a full run higher) and xFIP
of 4.56. His .247 BABIP is the 22nd luckiest in the league. What's
really scary about Morton is that his BB/9 ratio of 5.0 is higher than
his K/9 ratio of 4.0. With his E-F of -1.45 (15th to the negative),
regression to the mean is expected. He got rocked his last time out and
I wouldn't be surprised if the Giants put up a few runs on him, since
they're batting .348 with OBP of .400 and OPS of 1.096 off him. Giants
had a day off, and I see them ending their 4-game losing streak against a
team that is 2-6 at home.
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
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claude_gir0ux |
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#2 Posted: 4/26/2011 1:49:38 AM GL SIR !
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THESHOOTER |
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#3 Posted: 4/26/2011 1:52:21 AM thought you would be going against Kershaw coming off his 120+ pitch performance |
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bodio |
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#4 Posted: 4/26/2011 1:56:19 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by THESHOOTER: thought you would be going against Kershaw coming off his 120+ pitch performance
Yeah, definitely thought about it but Volstad has been terrible!
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ICU |
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#5 Posted: 4/26/2011 1:56:42 AM |
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MEX_ROOKIE |
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#6 Posted: 4/26/2011 2:00:41 AM  |
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THESHOOTER |
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#7 Posted: 4/26/2011 2:00:59 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by bodio:
Yeah, definitely thought about it but Volstad has been terrible!
very good point, but thanks again for opening my eyes to that angle of fading starters coming off a game with high pitch counts |
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MatriXX |
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#8 Posted: 4/26/2011 3:04:37 AM GL... |
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papagunnz |
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#9 Posted: 4/26/2011 3:21:06 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by bodio:
Yeah, definitely thought about it but Volstad has been terrible!
just my opinion on the fish...ill admit iam a avid marlins fan, and i def dont bet like a fan when it comes to this (only laid one bet on them so far this season)...but id have to say so far there seems to be quite a bit of value on the marllins...the lineup is producing day in and day out..and i feel that the pitching and bullpen is underrated according to a lot of people...maybe consider taking a run line on JJ soon? he damn near carries a no no into the 5th or 6th inning every time he starts!! or perhaps a 5th inning line if the price is right...cant go wrong with those hot bats and strong young arms!! =)
 
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jorgehach |
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#10 Posted: 4/26/2011 3:28:58 AM |
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LasVegasLord |
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#11 Posted: 4/26/2011 3:43:19 AM  |
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#12 Posted: 4/26/2011 3:53:32 AM |
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Gbobgunn |
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#13 Posted: 4/26/2011 3:54:19 AM |
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2112 |
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#14 Posted: 4/26/2011 4:08:01 AM |
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#15 Posted: 4/26/2011 4:18:38 AM |
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#16 Posted: 4/26/2011 4:36:33 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Brakon00:
bodio how do u have so much time to write up in depth analysis for so many sports every day??? im amazed . u r very talented
he doesnt sleep lol..says its for the birds =P
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Orangemen44 |
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#17 Posted: 4/26/2011 5:06:11 AM |
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fishsticks |
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#18 Posted: 4/26/2011 6:01:45 AM |
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#19 Posted: 4/26/2011 6:16:37 AM |
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asphyxia_ |
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#20 Posted: 4/26/2011 6:17:10 AM |
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kinggeorge27 |
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#21 Posted: 4/26/2011 9:02:00 AM |
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jcjcjc24 |
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#22 Posted: 4/26/2011 9:11:59 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by bodio:
Yeah, definitely thought about it but Volstad has been terrible!
I posted a pick on the over in the LAD game. really like that one..GL with your pick. I like SF too |
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#23 Posted: 4/26/2011 9:32:45 AM |
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#24 Posted: 4/26/2011 9:37:25 AM |
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JD232 |
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#25 Posted: 4/26/2011 9:37:45 AM |
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