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MLB betting for July 20 - 26

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Legend
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Posted: #1
Monday, July 20th - Pitchers' #'s & Ratings:
 
COOL COLORS = good ratings/grades = lucky ephemerides
WARM COLORS = bad ratings/grades = unlucky ephemerides
 
+ = high or optimal physical bio
- = low or critical physical bio
 
David Hernández (2-2, 3.94) C+
Andy Pettitte (8-5, 4.85) C+ is 25-6 w/approx a 3.23 ERA in thirty-five career starts against the Orioles.
 
Mike Burns (2-2, 5.54) C-
Ross Ohlendorf (7-7, 4.64) B-
 
Ted Lilly (9-6, 3.18) C- is 1-3 w/a 4.88 ERA in four starts against the Phillies.
Rodrigo López (1-0, 3.18) C- is 0-1 w/a 15.43 ERA in one start against the Cubs.
 
Livan Hernández (5-5, 5.10) C is 10-5 w/a 3.74 ERA in sixteen career starts against the Nationals.
WAS: TBA
 
Jonathan Sánchez (3-8, 4.69) B/B- is 1-2 w/a 5.68 ERA against the Braves.
Tommy Hanson (4-0, 2.85) D
 
Kyle Lohse (4-5, 4.26) C+ is 5-4 w/approx a 2.74 ERA in 9 starts against the Astros.
Brian Moehler (6-5, 5.08) C+ is 4-0 w/a 4.13 ERA against the Cardinals.
 
John Smoltz (1-2, 5.40) C-
Kevin Millwood (8-7, 3.46) C+ is 5-4 w/a 4.07 ERA in thirteen career starts against the Red Sox.
 
Sean O'Sullivan (2-0, 3.80) B-
Sidney Ponson (1-5, 7.27) C is 7-2 w/approx a 4.30 ERA in twelve starts against the Angels.
 
David Price (3-3, 4.70) C-
Gavin Floyd (7-6, 4.44) B-
 
Doug Davis (4-9, 3.41) A+ is 2-4 w/a 3.72 ERA in eight career starts against the Rockies.
Jorge De La Rosa (6-7, 5.21) A+ is 2-2 w/a 2.00 ERA against the Diamondbacks. 
 
Nick Blackburn (8-4, 3.06) A is 0-1 w/a 3.32 ERA in three starts against the Athletics.
Gio González (1-2, 6.29) C-
 
Rick VandenHurk (0-0, 0.00) B-
Tim Stauffer (0-1, 2.57) B-/C+
 
Micah Owings (6-9, 4.94) C- is 1-1 w/a 3.50 ERA against the Dodgers.
Jason Schmidt (0-0, 0.00) C+ is 4-2 w/a 5.27 ERA in fifteen career starts against the Reds.
 
Pitchers i'm avoiding/fading on Monday:
 
Mike Burns
Tommy Hanson
John Smoltz
 
Possible values/winners for Monday:
 
Pittsburgh Pirates -116
San Francisco Giants +152
Texas Rangers -105
 
Veteran
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Posted: #2
 
Captain
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Posted: #3
My biorhythms are all fucked up today, and I'm wearing warm colors.
 
MVP
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Posted: #4
BOL
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
4-0 with a 2.85 ERA is definitely terrible...wtf are you sayinggg with these lol
 
Rookie
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Posted: #6
GL
 
Legend
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by spiff582:

4-0 with a 2.85 ERA is definitely terrible...wtf are you sayinggg with these lol

For that one in particular, i'm saying i wouldn't have my money on Tommy Hanson.

 
Banned
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Posts: 3358
Posted: #8
spiff- this cat named kane is a joke or at least his fucking assinine ratings that are based by bio soemhting charts not actual stats is a joke. ignroe this thread. 4-0 2.85 gets u a d with this shit but if ur 6-7 with 5.21 er wayw ay worse u get an a+ base don bio rythyms. LOL
 
guess hanson needs to be 413-0 with 0.01 era to get that a or maybe just 4-23 with 9.76 er and 4.13 whip.
 
lol
 
Legend
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Posted: #9
msu09 - You still don't get it, do you?
 
 
Some people never will.
 
How miniscule is your mind?
 
Veteran
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Posts: 3939
Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by msu09:

spiff- this cat named kane is a joke or at least his fucking assinine ratings that are based by bio soemhting charts not actual stats is a joke. ignroe this thread. 4-0 2.85 gets u a d with this shit but if ur 6-7 with 5.21 er wayw ay worse u get an a+ base don bio rythyms. LOL
 
guess hanson needs to be 413-0 with 0.01 era to get that a or maybe just 4-23 with 9.76 er and 4.13 whip.
 
lol

Over 3000 posts in almost 4 months. Go get a job and quit spanking on girls you can only dream about..

Kane is one of the few cappers on here worth tailing. He's made me a good amount in baseball. GO all-in on your parents allowance if you don't like the pick.

 
Captain
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by msu09:

spiff- this cat named kane is a joke or at least his fucking assinine ratings that are based by bio soemhting charts not actual stats is a joke. ignroe this thread. 4-0 2.85 gets u a d with this shit but if ur 6-7 with 5.21 er wayw ay worse u get an a+ base don bio rythyms. LOL
 
guess hanson needs to be 413-0 with 0.01 era to get that a or maybe just 4-23 with 9.76 er and 4.13 whip.
 
lol

Show some class msu. Really sad that you drop yourself to this level sometimes as HappyKane is respected for his efforts/input and the bs that you post sometimes makes you lose credibility and fast.

 
MVP
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Posted: #12
you the man kane goood stuff
 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #13
......gl today w/ ur plays.....get em!
 
Captain
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Posts: 6104
Posted: #14
Kane,
 
I enjoy looking at the biorhythms as you post them.  Something to look into as an avid gambler.  I see you've done well over the past months, good luck to you and your endeavors. 
 
I'm always trying to find value on teams and plus or minus each way and have looked into Kelly Criterion for money management for next season.  I'll ride the wave out this year as my handicapping has been down a couple units and this is a first for years past. 
 
I'd like to see how Smoltz holds up today against a good hitting Texas team.  I have the Sox with a little value as Millwood tends to regress in past years and the market may be over pricing him against a team that will have 6 300 hitters or 7 come lineup time.
 
GOOD LUCK
 
GEKKO
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by msu09:

spiff- this cat named kane is a joke or at least his fucking assinine ratings that are based by bio soemhting charts not actual stats is a joke. ignroe this thread. 4-0 2.85 gets u a d with this shit but if ur 6-7 with 5.21 er wayw ay worse u get an a+ base don bio rythyms. LOL
 
guess hanson needs to be 413-0 with 0.01 era to get that a or maybe just 4-23 with 9.76 er and 4.13 whip.
 
lol

Kane up by +4000 betting hundreds and Estes up by +40000 betting thousands..?? Despite his popularity (spell it!) Kane takes a lot strange post every day and compared to Estes +250 post threads, he could seem "overlooked". I just dont get it.

I dont think or act or know anything about biorythms, I just know that Kane should be very respected for his work.

I hardly ever post a covers, but this lured me out to support Kane. Hope you understand the message despite the spelling and gramma.

 
Hall of Fame
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Posted: #16
Texas Rangers -105
 
Veteran
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Posted: #17
Keep Rocking Kane!  Love the thread. Nice hit on the under last night.
 
Good Luck Always!!! 
 
Captain
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by The_Z:

Kane up by +4000 betting hundreds and Estes up by +40000 betting thousands..?? Despite his popularity (spell it!) Kane takes a lot strange post every day and compared to Estes +250 post threads, he could seem "overlooked". I just dont get it.

I dont think or act or know anything about biorythms, I just know that Kane should be very respected for his work.

I hardly ever post a covers, but this lured me out to support Kane. Hope you understand the message despite the spelling and gramma.

HappyKane - most underrated capper in the mlb section imo.

 
Legend
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Posts: 34973
Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Gordon Gekko:

Kane,
 
I enjoy looking at the biorhythms as you post them.  Something to look into as an avid gambler.  I see you've done well over the past months, good luck to you and your endeavors. 
 
I'm always trying to find value on teams and plus or minus each way and have looked into Kelly Criterion for money management for next season.  I'll ride the wave out this year as my handicapping has been down a couple units and this is a first for years past. 
 
I'd like to see how Smoltz holds up today against a good hitting Texas team.  I have the Sox with a little value as Millwood tends to regress in past years and the market may be over pricing him against a team that will have 6 300 hitters or 7 come lineup time.
 
GOOD LUCK
 
GEKKO

Oy, mate. I have the same sentiments as you regarding Kevin Millwood. He's not an A-grade pitcher like Halladay nor Haren but he's still pretty good.

And with Millwood on the home mound against a pitcher that should've hung up his gloves, i have to consider the home value here.

Did you forget the excellent game that Millwood pitched against the Red Sox in Fenway?

I think we all know that the Red Sox have been dominant against the Rangers these past seasons. But there is always a turning point somewhere. That point might have been when the Rangers took 2 out of 3 in Fenway earlier this season.

Millwood have been great at home; 6-1 w/a 2.49 ERA.

Red Sox bats aren't exactly sparkling at the moment. Albeit they did face an unknown pitcher and Roy Halladay this past weekend.

Faith in John Smoltz to turn it around is like blind faith in Francisco Liriano to become ace material. We might see flashes of brilliance now and then but... its not going to happen.

Rangers or stay away, my humble opinion.

 
Legend
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Posted: #20
NYM: Livan Hernandez (5-5, 5.10) C
WAS: J.D. Martin (0-0, NA) C-
 
Legend
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Posts: 34973
Posted: #21
< < < WAGER CARD & LEDGER > > > 
 
Month of April -$16
Month of May -$334
Month of June +$2718
Week of July 1-5 +$239
Week of July 6-12 +$1441
Week of July 13-19 +$109
YTD +$4157
 
Monday's POD:
 
300/306 Chicago Cubs +102
 
Other strong plays for Monday:
 
210/200 Pittsburgh Pirates -105
106/100 Texas Rangers -106
104/100 Chicago White Sox -104
105/100 Reds/Dodgers Over 9 -105
 
Captain
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Posts: 6104
Posted: #22
Kane,
 
Excellent points as always.  I played my Sox but agree with you with the White Sox and Cubs.  I like Houston as well as a small favorite.  With Berkman in the lineup they are a bit dangerous.
 
GOOD LUCK with your plays
 
GEKKO
 
Rookie
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Posts: 641
Posted: #23
Tim Stauffer (0-1, 2.57) B-/C+
 
I dont understand. How does he have a low or critical physical bio and a high or optimal physical bio at the same time?
 
Rookie
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Posts: 871
Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by Stew Baker:

Tim Stauffer (0-1, 2.57) B-/C+
 
I dont understand. How does he have a low or critical physical bio and a high or optimal physical bio at the same time?

 

Good question

 

 
 
Legend
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Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 34973
Posted: #25
Stew Baker - B-/C+ grades are the "in-between" ones.
 
His chart is not good enough for a B grade nor is it bad enough to be a C grade.
 
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